WC26 Simulator
Match Score Distributions
Score distributions for all 72 group-stage matches, with average score, total-goal bands, both-team scoring frequency, and common scorelines.
This score distribution snapshot is separate from tournament-path forecasts. Use it as a direct score-pattern preview for group-stage matches.
Average score Mexico 2.07 - 0.70 South Africa Total goals average 2.77
Mexico 69.4%
Draw 19.3%
South Africa 11.4%
3+ total goals 52.4%
Both teams score 44.2%
Top scoreline 2-0 (13.6%)
Total 4.5 At least 14.5% Below 85.5%
South Korea vs
Czechia
Average score South Korea 1.41 - 1.15 Czechia Total goals average 2.56
South Korea 42.9%
Draw 26.5%
Czechia 30.6%
3+ total goals 47.1%
Both teams score 51.7%
Top scoreline 1-1 (12.7%)
Total 4.5 At least 11.6% Below 88.5%
Canada vs
Bosnia-Herz.
Average score Canada 1.24 - 1.03 Bosnia-Herz. Total goals average 2.27
Canada 40.6%
Draw 28.9%
Bosnia-Herz. 30.5%
3+ total goals 39.9%
Both teams score 46.1%
Top scoreline 1-1 (13.2%)
Total 4.5 At least 8.2% Below 91.8%
USA vs
Paraguay
Average score USA 1.48 - 0.96 Paraguay Total goals average 2.44
USA 49.2%
Draw 26.4%
Paraguay 24.4%
3+ total goals 43.9%
Both teams score 47.3%
Top scoreline 1-0 (13.0%)
Total 4.5 At least 10.3% Below 89.8%
Haiti vs
Scotland
Average score Haiti 0.93 - 1.53 Scotland Total goals average 2.45
Haiti 22.9%
Draw 25.6%
Scotland 51.5%
3+ total goals 44.3%
Both teams score 47.3%
Top scoreline 0-1 (13.0%)
Total 4.5 At least 10.4% Below 89.6%
Australia vs
Türkiye
Average score Australia 0.75 - 1.40 Türkiye Total goals average 2.16
Australia 20.0%
Draw 27.5%
Türkiye 52.5%
3+ total goals 36.6%
Both teams score 39.6%
Top scoreline 0-1 (16.4%)
Total 4.5 At least 7.0% Below 93.0%
Brazil vs
Morocco
Average score Brazil 1.43 - 0.91 Morocco Total goals average 2.34
Brazil 49.0%
Draw 26.8%
Morocco 24.2%
3+ total goals 41.5%
Both teams score 45.4%
Top scoreline 1-0 (13.9%)
Total 4.5 At least 9.0% Below 91.0%
Qatar vs
Switzerland
Average score Qatar 0.68 - 1.94 Switzerland Total goals average 2.62
Qatar 12.2%
Draw 20.3%
Switzerland 67.5%
3+ total goals 48.6%
Both teams score 42.0%
Top scoreline 0-1 (14.4%)
Total 4.5 At least 12.6% Below 87.5%
Ivory Coast vs
Ecuador
Average score Ivory Coast 1.10 - 1.12 Ecuador Total goals average 2.22
Ivory Coast 35.3%
Draw 28.5%
Ecuador 36.2%
3+ total goals 38.4%
Both teams score 45.1%
Top scoreline 1-1 (13.2%)
Total 4.5 At least 7.4% Below 92.6%
Germany vs
Curaçao
Average score Germany 3.12 - 0.48 Curaçao Total goals average 3.60
Germany 88.5%
Draw 8.6%
Curaçao 2.9%
3+ total goals 70.0%
Both teams score 36.7%
Top scoreline 3-0 (14.1%)
Total 4.5 At least 29.3% Below 70.8%
Netherlands vs
Japan
Average score Netherlands 1.31 - 0.96 Japan Total goals average 2.27
Netherlands 44.6%
Draw 28.2%
Japan 27.2%
3+ total goals 39.6%
Both teams score 45.1%
Top scoreline 1-0 (13.4%)
Total 4.5 At least 8.0% Below 92.1%
Sweden vs
Tunisia
Average score Sweden 2.15 - 0.89 Tunisia Total goals average 3.04
Sweden 66.1%
Draw 19.6%
Tunisia 14.3%
3+ total goals 58.5%
Both teams score 52.0%
Top scoreline 2-0 (10.8%)
Total 4.5 At least 19.4% Below 80.6%
Saudi Arabia vs
Uruguay
Average score Saudi Arabia 0.67 - 1.85 Uruguay Total goals average 2.51
Saudi Arabia 12.4%
Draw 21.7%
Uruguay 65.8%
3+ total goals 45.9%
Both teams score 41.0%
Top scoreline 0-1 (15.0%)
Total 4.5 At least 11.1% Below 88.9%
Spain vs
Cape Verde
Average score Spain 2.50 - 0.46 Cape Verde Total goals average 2.97
Spain 81.8%
Draw 13.1%
Cape Verde 5.0%
3+ total goals 56.8%
Both teams score 33.9%
Top scoreline 2-0 (16.1%)
Total 4.5 At least 18.0% Below 82.0%
Iran vs
New Zealand
Average score Iran 1.45 - 1.13 New Zealand Total goals average 2.58
Iran 44.7%
Draw 25.7%
New Zealand 29.6%
3+ total goals 47.2%
Both teams score 51.5%
Top scoreline 1-1 (12.3%)
Total 4.5 At least 11.9% Below 88.1%
Belgium vs
Egypt
Average score Belgium 1.83 - 1.07 Egypt Total goals average 2.90
Belgium 55.0%
Draw 22.7%
Egypt 22.4%
3+ total goals 55.5%
Both teams score 55.4%
Top scoreline 1-1 (10.7%)
Total 4.5 At least 17.3% Below 82.8%
France vs
Senegal
Average score France 1.91 - 0.79 Senegal Total goals average 2.70
France 63.3%
Draw 21.9%
Senegal 14.9%
3+ total goals 50.4%
Both teams score 46.4%
Top scoreline 2-0 (12.6%)
Total 4.5 At least 13.9% Below 86.2%
Iraq vs
Norway
Average score Iraq 0.69 - 2.73 Norway Total goals average 3.42
Iraq 6.7%
Draw 13.1%
Norway 80.2%
3+ total goals 66.5%
Both teams score 46.9%
Top scoreline 0-2 (12.3%)
Total 4.5 At least 26.0% Below 74.0%
Argentina vs
Algeria
Average score Argentina 2.20 - 0.78 Algeria Total goals average 2.98
Argentina 69.6%
Draw 18.4%
Algeria 12.0%
3+ total goals 56.9%
Both teams score 48.4%
Top scoreline 2-0 (12.3%)
Total 4.5 At least 18.4% Below 81.6%
Austria vs
Jordan
Average score Austria 2.15 - 0.68 Jordan Total goals average 2.82
Austria 71.7%
Draw 18.1%
Jordan 10.2%
3+ total goals 53.6%
Both teams score 43.7%
Top scoreline 2-0 (13.9%)
Total 4.5 At least 15.6% Below 84.4%
Ghana vs
Panama
Average score Ghana 1.43 - 0.81 Panama Total goals average 2.24
Ghana 51.5%
Draw 27.2%
Panama 21.4%
3+ total goals 38.9%
Both teams score 42.4%
Top scoreline 1-0 (15.2%)
Total 4.5 At least 7.9% Below 92.1%
England vs
Croatia
Average score England 1.41 - 0.90 Croatia Total goals average 2.31
England 49.3%
Draw 26.9%
Croatia 23.8%
3+ total goals 40.4%
Both teams score 44.9%
Top scoreline 1-0 (14.2%)
Total 4.5 At least 8.6% Below 91.4%
Portugal vs
DR Congo
Average score Portugal 1.91 - 0.67 DR Congo Total goals average 2.57
Portugal 67.1%
Draw 20.7%
DR Congo 12.2%
3+ total goals 47.6%
Both teams score 41.5%
Top scoreline 1-0 (15.0%)
Total 4.5 At least 11.9% Below 88.1%
Uzbekistan vs
Colombia
Average score Uzbekistan 0.71 - 1.86 Colombia Total goals average 2.56
Uzbekistan 13.6%
Draw 21.6%
Colombia 64.8%
3+ total goals 47.6%
Both teams score 42.9%
Top scoreline 0-1 (14.2%)
Total 4.5 At least 11.6% Below 88.4%
South Africa vs
Czechia
Average score South Africa 0.85 - 1.78 Czechia Total goals average 2.63
South Africa 17.6%
Draw 22.7%
Czechia 59.7%
3+ total goals 48.7%
Both teams score 47.3%
Top scoreline 0-1 (13.0%)
Total 4.5 At least 12.6% Below 87.4%
Bosnia-Herz. vs
Switzerland
Average score Bosnia-Herz. 0.85 - 1.47 Switzerland Total goals average 2.31
Bosnia-Herz. 21.6%
Draw 27.0%
Switzerland 51.4%
3+ total goals 40.9%
Both teams score 44.0%
Top scoreline 0-1 (14.5%)
Total 4.5 At least 8.5% Below 91.5%
Canada vs
Qatar
Average score Canada 1.62 - 0.81 Qatar Total goals average 2.43
Canada 56.7%
Draw 25.1%
Qatar 18.2%
3+ total goals 43.7%
Both teams score 44.8%
Top scoreline 1-0 (14.2%)
Total 4.5 At least 10.0% Below 90.1%
Mexico vs
South Korea
Average score Mexico 1.32 - 1.13 South Korea Total goals average 2.45
Mexico 40.8%
Draw 27.5%
South Korea 31.7%
3+ total goals 44.3%
Both teams score 50.0%
Top scoreline 1-1 (13.1%)
Total 4.5 At least 10.3% Below 89.7%
Brazil vs
Haiti
Average score Brazil 2.50 - 0.60 Haiti Total goals average 3.10
Brazil 78.9%
Draw 14.5%
Haiti 6.7%
3+ total goals 59.9%
Both teams score 41.3%
Top scoreline 2-0 (14.1%)
Total 4.5 At least 20.1% Below 79.9%
Morocco vs
Scotland
Average score Morocco 1.38 - 0.89 Scotland Total goals average 2.27
Morocco 48.2%
Draw 27.6%
Scotland 24.3%
3+ total goals 39.6%
Both teams score 44.3%
Top scoreline 1-0 (14.1%)
Total 4.5 At least 7.9% Below 92.1%
Paraguay vs
Türkiye
Average score Paraguay 0.93 - 1.40 Türkiye Total goals average 2.33
Paraguay 24.8%
Draw 27.5%
Türkiye 47.7%
3+ total goals 41.3%
Both teams score 46.3%
Top scoreline 0-1 (13.6%)
Total 4.5 At least 8.6% Below 91.3%
USA vs
Australia
Average score USA 1.49 - 0.74 Australia Total goals average 2.23
USA 54.5%
Draw 26.6%
Australia 18.9%
3+ total goals 38.4%
Both teams score 40.7%
Top scoreline 1-0 (15.4%)
Total 4.5 At least 7.4% Below 92.6%
Germany vs
Ivory Coast
Average score Germany 1.59 - 0.91 Ivory Coast Total goals average 2.50
Germany 53.5%
Draw 24.9%
Ivory Coast 21.6%
3+ total goals 45.7%
Both teams score 47.6%
Top scoreline 1-0 (13.2%)
Total 4.5 At least 10.8% Below 89.2%
Ecuador vs
Curaçao
Average score Ecuador 2.19 - 0.58 Curaçao Total goals average 2.78
Ecuador 74.4%
Draw 17.4%
Curaçao 8.3%
3+ total goals 52.7%
Both teams score 39.6%
Top scoreline 2-0 (14.8%)
Total 4.5 At least 14.7% Below 85.3%
Netherlands vs
Sweden
Average score Netherlands 1.56 - 1.00 Sweden Total goals average 2.56
Netherlands 50.1%
Draw 25.9%
Sweden 23.9%
3+ total goals 47.1%
Both teams score 50.5%
Top scoreline 1-1 (12.5%)
Total 4.5 At least 11.7% Below 88.3%
Japan vs
Tunisia
Average score Japan 2.08 - 0.75 Tunisia Total goals average 2.82
Japan 68.2%
Draw 19.6%
Tunisia 12.2%
3+ total goals 53.8%
Both teams score 46.4%
Top scoreline 2-0 (12.9%)
Total 4.5 At least 15.6% Below 84.4%
Uruguay vs
Cape Verde
Average score Uruguay 1.86 - 0.63 Cape Verde Total goals average 2.49
Uruguay 67.0%
Draw 20.9%
Cape Verde 12.1%
3+ total goals 45.2%
Both teams score 39.1%
Top scoreline 1-0 (15.7%)
Total 4.5 At least 10.8% Below 89.2%
Spain vs
Saudi Arabia
Average score Spain 2.48 - 0.48 Saudi Arabia Total goals average 2.96
Spain 81.5%
Draw 13.2%
Saudi Arabia 5.3%
3+ total goals 57.0%
Both teams score 34.7%
Top scoreline 2-0 (15.9%)
Total 4.5 At least 17.7% Below 82.3%
Belgium vs
Iran
Average score Belgium 2.25 - 0.78 Iran Total goals average 3.04
Belgium 70.6%
Draw 17.8%
Iran 11.6%
3+ total goals 58.3%
Both teams score 48.5%
Top scoreline 2-0 (12.2%)
Total 4.5 At least 19.2% Below 80.8%
Egypt vs
New Zealand
Average score Egypt 1.99 - 0.90 New Zealand Total goals average 2.88
Egypt 62.6%
Draw 21.3%
New Zealand 16.1%
3+ total goals 55.2%
Both teams score 51.1%
Top scoreline 1-0 (11.1%)
Total 4.5 At least 16.4% Below 83.6%
Norway vs
Senegal
Average score Norway 1.63 - 1.16 Senegal Total goals average 2.79
Norway 48.4%
Draw 24.4%
Senegal 27.2%
3+ total goals 52.7%
Both teams score 55.3%
Top scoreline 1-1 (11.8%)
Total 4.5 At least 15.2% Below 84.8%
France vs
Iraq
Average score France 3.22 - 0.48 Iraq Total goals average 3.69
France 88.9%
Draw 8.2%
Iraq 2.9%
3+ total goals 71.5%
Both teams score 36.6%
Top scoreline 3-0 (14.0%)
Total 4.5 At least 31.3% Below 68.7%
Argentina vs
Austria
Average score Argentina 1.74 - 0.85 Austria Total goals average 2.59
Argentina 58.4%
Draw 23.6%
Austria 18.0%
3+ total goals 47.9%
Both teams score 47.3%
Top scoreline 1-0 (13.2%)
Total 4.5 At least 12.4% Below 87.6%
Algeria vs
Jordan
Average score Algeria 1.96 - 0.85 Jordan Total goals average 2.81
Algeria 63.5%
Draw 21.1%
Jordan 15.4%
3+ total goals 53.5%
Both teams score 49.2%
Top scoreline 2-0 (12.0%)
Total 4.5 At least 15.3% Below 84.7%
England vs
Ghana
Average score England 1.96 - 0.70 Ghana Total goals average 2.65
England 67.2%
Draw 20.8%
Ghana 11.9%
3+ total goals 49.9%
Both teams score 43.5%
Top scoreline 1-0 (13.9%)
Total 4.5 At least 13.0% Below 87.1%
Panama vs
Croatia
Average score Panama 0.58 - 1.80 Croatia Total goals average 2.38
Panama 11.6%
Draw 21.9%
Croatia 66.5%
3+ total goals 42.7%
Both teams score 36.9%
Top scoreline 0-1 (16.2%)
Total 4.5 At least 9.3% Below 90.7%
Portugal vs
Uzbekistan
Average score Portugal 2.31 - 0.57 Uzbekistan Total goals average 2.88
Portugal 76.4%
Draw 16.1%
Uzbekistan 7.5%
3+ total goals 55.1%
Both teams score 39.3%
Top scoreline 2-0 (14.5%)
Total 4.5 At least 16.2% Below 83.8%
Colombia vs
DR Congo
Average score Colombia 1.55 - 0.84 DR Congo Total goals average 2.39
Colombia 54.1%
Draw 25.4%
DR Congo 20.5%
3+ total goals 43.0%
Both teams score 44.7%
Top scoreline 1-0 (14.1%)
Total 4.5 At least 9.5% Below 90.5%
Brazil vs
Scotland
Average score Brazil 1.81 - 0.74 Scotland Total goals average 2.54
Brazil 63.0%
Draw 22.1%
Scotland 14.9%
3+ total goals 46.5%
Both teams score 43.1%
Top scoreline 1-0 (14.1%)
Total 4.5 At least 11.4% Below 88.6%
Morocco vs
Haiti
Average score Morocco 1.94 - 0.72 Haiti Total goals average 2.66
Morocco 66.2%
Draw 20.6%
Haiti 13.2%
3+ total goals 49.7%
Both teams score 43.9%
Top scoreline 1-0 (13.9%)
Total 4.5 At least 12.8% Below 87.2%
Canada vs
Switzerland
Average score Canada 0.97 - 1.36 Switzerland Total goals average 2.33
Canada 26.9%
Draw 27.4%
Switzerland 45.7%
3+ total goals 41.4%
Both teams score 46.2%
Top scoreline 0-1 (13.5%)
Total 4.5 At least 8.7% Below 91.3%
Qatar vs
Bosnia-Herz.
Average score Qatar 0.87 - 1.45 Bosnia-Herz. Total goals average 2.32
Qatar 22.4%
Draw 27.1%
Bosnia-Herz. 50.5%
3+ total goals 40.9%
Both teams score 44.9%
Top scoreline 0-1 (14.0%)
Total 4.5 At least 8.6% Below 91.4%
Mexico vs
Czechia
Average score Mexico 1.33 - 1.09 Czechia Total goals average 2.42
Mexico 42.2%
Draw 27.2%
Czechia 30.6%
3+ total goals 43.5%
Both teams score 48.6%
Top scoreline 1-1 (12.9%)
Total 4.5 At least 10.1% Below 89.9%
South Korea vs
South Africa
Average score South Korea 1.97 - 0.79 South Africa Total goals average 2.76
South Korea 64.8%
Draw 20.6%
South Africa 14.6%
3+ total goals 52.1%
Both teams score 46.6%
Top scoreline 1-0 (12.5%)
Total 4.5 At least 14.7% Below 85.3%
Ivory Coast vs
Curaçao
Average score Ivory Coast 2.31 - 0.63 Curaçao Total goals average 2.94
Ivory Coast 75.4%
Draw 16.1%
Curaçao 8.5%
3+ total goals 56.3%
Both teams score 42.7%
Top scoreline 2-0 (14.3%)
Total 4.5 At least 17.6% Below 82.4%
Germany vs
Ecuador
Average score Germany 1.51 - 0.87 Ecuador Total goals average 2.37
Germany 52.4%
Draw 26.3%
Ecuador 21.3%
3+ total goals 42.4%
Both teams score 45.4%
Top scoreline 1-0 (14.2%)
Total 4.5 At least 9.1% Below 90.9%
Japan vs
Sweden
Average score Japan 1.34 - 1.19 Sweden Total goals average 2.53
Japan 40.1%
Draw 26.9%
Sweden 33.0%
3+ total goals 46.9%
Both teams score 51.9%
Top scoreline 1-1 (12.8%)
Total 4.5 At least 11.2% Below 88.8%
Netherlands vs
Tunisia
Average score Netherlands 2.39 - 0.63 Tunisia Total goals average 3.02
Netherlands 76.1%
Draw 15.8%
Tunisia 8.1%
3+ total goals 58.0%
Both teams score 42.5%
Top scoreline 2-0 (13.9%)
Total 4.5 At least 18.9% Below 81.1%
USA vs
Türkiye
Average score USA 1.19 - 1.14 Türkiye Total goals average 2.33
USA 37.3%
Draw 28.0%
Türkiye 34.8%
3+ total goals 41.3%
Both teams score 47.6%
Top scoreline 1-1 (13.1%)
Total 4.5 At least 8.6% Below 91.4%
Paraguay vs
Australia
Average score Paraguay 1.18 - 0.92 Australia Total goals average 2.10
Paraguay 41.7%
Draw 29.7%
Australia 28.6%
3+ total goals 35.0%
Both teams score 42.1%
Top scoreline 1-0 (14.3%)
Total 4.5 At least 6.3% Below 93.7%
France vs
Norway
Average score France 1.75 - 1.04 Norway Total goals average 2.79
France 54.3%
Draw 23.8%
Norway 21.9%
3+ total goals 52.7%
Both teams score 53.8%
Top scoreline 1-1 (11.2%)
Total 4.5 At least 15.3% Below 84.7%
Senegal vs
Iraq
Average score Senegal 2.11 - 0.75 Iraq Total goals average 2.85
Senegal 69.1%
Draw 19.2%
Iraq 11.8%
3+ total goals 54.5%
Both teams score 46.5%
Top scoreline 2-0 (12.8%)
Total 4.5 At least 16.0% Below 84.0%
Egypt vs
Iran
Average score Egypt 1.90 - 1.10 Iran Total goals average 3.00
Egypt 55.9%
Draw 22.6%
Iran 21.5%
3+ total goals 57.8%
Both teams score 56.9%
Top scoreline 1-1 (10.3%)
Total 4.5 At least 18.4% Below 81.7%
Belgium vs
New Zealand
Average score Belgium 2.40 - 0.64 New Zealand Total goals average 3.03
Belgium 76.5%
Draw 15.5%
New Zealand 8.0%
3+ total goals 58.4%
Both teams score 42.9%
Top scoreline 2-0 (14.1%)
Total 4.5 At least 19.1% Below 81.0%
Cape Verde vs
Saudi Arabia
Average score Cape Verde 1.01 - 1.07 Saudi Arabia Total goals average 2.08
Cape Verde 33.6%
Draw 29.9%
Saudi Arabia 36.5%
3+ total goals 34.4%
Both teams score 41.2%
Top scoreline 0-1 (13.4%)
Total 4.5 At least 6.0% Below 94.0%
Spain vs
Uruguay
Average score Spain 1.55 - 0.85 Uruguay Total goals average 2.40
Spain 53.9%
Draw 25.7%
Uruguay 20.5%
3+ total goals 43.0%
Both teams score 45.1%
Top scoreline 1-0 (14.3%)
Total 4.5 At least 9.7% Below 90.3%
England vs
Panama
Average score England 2.38 - 0.48 Panama Total goals average 2.86
England 80.4%
Draw 14.0%
Panama 5.6%
3+ total goals 54.6%
Both teams score 34.6%
Top scoreline 2-0 (16.4%)
Total 4.5 At least 16.2% Below 83.8%
Croatia vs
Ghana
Average score Croatia 1.49 - 0.83 Ghana Total goals average 2.33
Croatia 52.9%
Draw 26.2%
Ghana 20.9%
3+ total goals 41.1%
Both teams score 44.1%
Top scoreline 1-0 (14.7%)
Total 4.5 At least 8.7% Below 91.3%
Austria vs
Algeria
Average score Austria 1.36 - 1.01 Algeria Total goals average 2.37
Austria 44.7%
Draw 27.2%
Algeria 28.1%
3+ total goals 42.5%
Both teams score 47.4%
Top scoreline 1-1 (12.7%)
Total 4.5 At least 9.2% Below 90.9%
Argentina vs
Jordan
Average score Argentina 3.43 - 0.53 Jordan Total goals average 3.96
Argentina 90.2%
Draw 7.0%
Jordan 2.8%
3+ total goals 75.8%
Both teams score 39.9%
Top scoreline 3-0 (13.0%)
Total 4.5 At least 36.2% Below 63.8%
Portugal vs
Colombia
Average score Portugal 1.44 - 0.91 Colombia Total goals average 2.36
Portugal 49.4%
Draw 26.6%
Colombia 24.0%
3+ total goals 41.9%
Both teams score 45.5%
Top scoreline 1-0 (13.5%)
Total 4.5 At least 9.0% Below 91.0%
DR Congo vs
Uzbekistan
Average score DR Congo 1.37 - 0.97 Uzbekistan Total goals average 2.34
DR Congo 45.7%
Draw 27.3%
Uzbekistan 27.0%
3+ total goals 41.2%
Both teams score 46.1%
Top scoreline 1-0 (13.0%)
Total 4.5 At least 8.8% Below 91.2%
These pages summarize model outputs for score patterns only. They do not change live simulator results.