Match analysis

Mexico Mexico vs Czechia Czechia

Match forecast and score distribution for Match 53, Group A, generated from the current simulator ratings.

Group A Dallas, USA

Forecast last updated:

Average score Mexico 1.33 - 1.09 Czechia Total goals average 2.42
Mexico win 42.2%
Draw 27.2%
Czechia win 30.6%

Goal bands

Total goals distribution

0 9.1%
1 21.6%
2 25.9%
3 20.9%
4 12.5%
5+ 10.1%

Goal thresholds

Total-goal thresholds

Total 0.5 At least 91.0% Below 9.1%
Total 1.5 At least 69.4% Below 30.6%
Total 2.5 At least 43.5% Below 56.5%
Total 3.5 At least 22.6% Below 77.4%
Total 4.5 At least 10.1% Below 89.9%

Team goals

Mexico goal thresholds

Mexico 0.5 At least 73.5% Below 26.6%
Mexico 1.5 At least 38.0% Below 62.0%
Mexico 2.5 At least 15.1% Below 84.9%
Mexico 3.5 At least 4.6% Below 95.4%
Mexico 4.5 At least 1.2% Below 98.8%

Team goals

Czechia goal thresholds

Czechia 0.5 At least 66.1% Below 33.9%
Czechia 1.5 At least 29.9% Below 70.1%
Czechia 2.5 At least 10.1% Below 90.0%
Czechia 3.5 At least 2.6% Below 97.4%
Czechia 4.5 At least 0.5% Below 99.6%

Scoring frequency

Both teams scoring

Both teams score 48.6%
Mexico clean sheet 33.9%
Czechia clean sheet 26.6%

Common scorelines

Top exact scores

1 Mexico 1-1 Czechia 12.9%
2 Mexico 1-0 Czechia 12.0%
3 Mexico 0-1 Czechia 9.5%
4 Mexico 0-0 Czechia 9.1%
5 Mexico 2-1 Czechia 8.2%
6 Mexico 2-0 Czechia 7.9%
7 Mexico 1-2 Czechia 7.2%
8 Mexico 0-2 Czechia 5.1%
9 Mexico 2-2 Czechia 4.4%
10 Mexico 3-1 Czechia 4.0%

Guide

What this simulation preview shows

This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.

Score distribution

How to read the numbers

Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.

Model note

Simulation reference, not certainty

A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee or betting advice.

Model note: These are simulation outputs for understanding possible score patterns. They are not betting advice or gambling guidance.