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2026 FIFA World Cup Simulator

Tournament complete: Spain are champions, the official path is locked, and alternate WC26 replays remain available. · v4.2
Tournament Complete Final path locked, replay simulator, manual scores, team profiles, archived forecasts, and score distributions.
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Official final state
Higher upset factor compresses team-strength gaps, making underdogs more competitive and spreading title probability more evenly. Few Many

Live state

Official completed tournament is locked into simulations.

ⓘ Tournament complete: Spain won the 2026 World Cup. The official completed tournament is locked in Live state.

Tournament complete

Spain won the 2026 World Cup

The official path is locked in Live state. You can still replay alternate scenarios with manual scores or Live state off.

Champion Spain Spain
Runner-up Argentina Argentina
Third place England England
Fourth place France France

Official final state in Live state. Turn Live state off to replay the tournament from scratch.

Official Final State - click to go to sim browser
All Stages - click header to sort - click row for journey
Team Group Grp.Qual R16 QF SF Final Champion

Expected group stage standings based on global simulation averages. Click '📊 Group Probabilities ▸' below to expand and view detailed advancement probabilities for each team.

All 104 matches from the last simulation, grouped by round. Click any match row to open its full report.

Visual knockout bracket following the official FIFA Annex C format. Click any match tile to open its report.

Forecast archive

Open archived knockout-phase forecast pages and team paths from the completed tournament.

Match Forecast Archive Archived pre-match model outputs with advance chances and score distributions. Bracket Forecast Archive Representative tournament tree reference with path probabilities.

Final-round archived team paths

Eliminated teams Group-stage team profile links
Algeria Algeria Australia Australia Austria Austria Belgium Belgium Bosnia-Herz. Bosnia-Herz. Brazil Brazil Canada Canada Cape Verde Cape Verde Colombia Colombia Croatia Croatia Curaçao Curaçao Czechia Czechia DR Congo DR Congo Ecuador Ecuador Egypt Egypt Germany Germany Ghana Ghana Haiti Haiti Iran Iran Iraq Iraq Ivory Coast Ivory Coast Japan Japan Jordan Jordan Mexico Mexico Morocco Morocco Netherlands Netherlands New Zealand New Zealand Norway Norway Panama Panama Paraguay Paraguay Portugal Portugal Qatar Qatar Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia Scotland Scotland Senegal Senegal South Africa South Africa South Korea South Korea Sweden Sweden Switzerland Switzerland Tunisia Tunisia Türkiye Türkiye Uruguay Uruguay USA USA Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Search and filter all simulations by team or round. Click any row to open the detailed report for that simulation.

Knockout progression for the selected nation across all simulations. Choose a team from the dropdown to explore.

Browse the 26-player squads and market values for all 48 qualified nations.

Updated on June 1, 2026

Live baseline DEF, MID, and ATT ratings are shown by default. Use Adjust to create custom scenarios. Baseline ratings stay unchanged.

Ratings may be updated based on injuries, suspensions, and recent form. Host teams receive a +2% match-level DEF/MID/ATT bonus when playing in their own host country.

Ratings last updated: June 14, 2026

Team DEF MID ATT Effect Scenario
ℹ Rate each team's DF, MF and FW. Click "Vote" per team.

Live state is controlled from the main simulator header. Official rows stay locked in Live state; manual scores remain editable for replay scenarios.

Patterns extracted from all simulations: dream finals, penalty kings, and the toughest groups.

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Completed tournament matches, official results, and archived community poll context.

Tournament complete: 104 official results locked Archive times shown in your local time

Tournament complete

Official match archive

Final and third-place official results are locked at the top. Earlier completed knockout rounds remain available below.

2 final

July 19, 2026

Spain Spain 1-0 Argentina Argentina
UTC Final 90m 0-0 | AET 1-0 Final
Result Spain 1-0 Argentina
Date & time UTC
Venue New York
Round Final
Status Final
Community poll - Voting closed

Voting is closed.

Poll closed.

July 18, 2026

France France 4-6 England England
UTC Third place 90m 4-6 Final
Result France 4-6 England
Date & time UTC
Venue Miami
Round Third place
Status Final
Community poll - Voting closed

Voting is closed.

Poll closed.

Archive

Completed Semifinals

Official semifinal results remain available below the final-round archive.

2 final

July 14, 2026

France France 0-2 Spain Spain
UTC Semifinals 90m 0-2 | Spain adv. Final
Result France 0-2 Spain
Date & time UTC
Venue Dallas
Round Semifinals
Status Final
Community poll - Voting closed

Voting is closed.

Poll closed.

July 15, 2026

England England 1-2 Argentina Argentina
UTC Semifinals 90m 1-2 | Argentina adv. Final
Result England 1-2 Argentina
Date & time UTC
Venue Atlanta
Round Semifinals
Status Final
Community poll - Voting closed

Voting is closed.

Poll closed.

Archive

Completed Quarterfinals

Official quarterfinal results remain available as completed knockout reference.

4 final

July 9, 2026

France France 2-0 Morocco Morocco
UTC Quarterfinals 90m 2-0 | France adv. Final
Result France 2-0 Morocco
Date & time UTC
Venue Boston
Round Quarterfinals
Status Final
Community poll - Voting closed

Voting is closed.

Poll closed.

July 10, 2026

Spain Spain 2-1 Belgium Belgium
UTC Quarterfinals 90m 2-1 | Spain adv. Final
Result Spain 2-1 Belgium
Date & time UTC
Venue Los Angeles
Round Quarterfinals
Status Final
Community poll - Voting closed

Voting is closed.

Poll closed.

July 11, 2026

Norway Norway 1-2 England England
UTC Quarterfinals 90m 1-1 | AET 1-2 | England adv. Final
Result Norway 1-2 England
Date & time UTC
Venue Miami
Round Quarterfinals
Status Final
Community poll - Voting closed

Voting is closed.

Poll closed.

July 12, 2026

Argentina Argentina 3-1 Switzerland Switzerland
UTC Quarterfinals 90m 1-1 | AET 3-1 | Argentina adv. Final
Result Argentina 3-1 Switzerland
Date & time UTC
Venue Kansas City
Round Quarterfinals
Status Final
Community poll - Voting closed

Voting is closed.

Poll closed.

Archive

Completed Round of 16

Official Round of 16 results remain available as completed knockout reference.

8 final

July 4, 2026

Canada Canada 0-3 Morocco Morocco
UTC Round of 16 90m 0-3 | Morocco adv. Final
Result Canada 0-3 Morocco
Date & time UTC
Venue Houston
Round Round of 16
Status Final
Community poll - Voting closed

Voting is closed.

Poll closed.

Paraguay Paraguay 0-1 France France
UTC Round of 16 90m 0-1 | France adv. Final
Result Paraguay 0-1 France
Date & time UTC
Venue Philadelphia
Round Round of 16
Status Final
Community poll - Voting closed

Voting is closed.

Poll closed.

July 5, 2026

Brazil Brazil 1-2 Norway Norway
UTC Round of 16 90m 1-2 | Norway adv. Final
Result Brazil 1-2 Norway
Date & time UTC
Venue New York
Round Round of 16
Status Final
Community poll - Voting closed

Voting is closed.

Poll closed.

July 6, 2026

Mexico Mexico 2-3 England England
UTC Round of 16 90m 2-3 | England adv. Final
Result Mexico 2-3 England
Date & time UTC
Venue Mexico City
Round Round of 16
Status Final
Community poll - Voting closed

Voting is closed.

Poll closed.

Portugal Portugal 0-1 Spain Spain
UTC Round of 16 90m 0-1 | Spain adv. Final
Result Portugal 0-1 Spain
Date & time UTC
Venue Dallas
Round Round of 16
Status Final
Community poll - Voting closed

Voting is closed.

Poll closed.

July 7, 2026

USA USA 1-4 Belgium Belgium
UTC Round of 16 90m 1-4 | Belgium adv. Final
Result USA 1-4 Belgium
Date & time UTC
Venue Seattle
Round Round of 16
Status Final
Community poll - Voting closed

Voting is closed.

Poll closed.

Argentina Argentina 3-2 Egypt Egypt
UTC Round of 16 90m 3-2 | Argentina adv. Final
Result Argentina 3-2 Egypt
Date & time UTC
Venue Atlanta
Round Round of 16
Status Final
Community poll - Voting closed

Voting is closed.

Poll closed.

Switzerland Switzerland 0-0 Colombia Colombia
UTC Round of 16 90m 0-0 | AET 0-0 | Pens 4-3 | Switzerland adv. Final
Result Switzerland 0-0 Colombia
Date & time UTC
Venue Vancouver
Round Round of 16
Status Final
Community poll - Voting closed

Voting is closed.

Poll closed.

Archive

Completed Round of 32

Official Round of 32 results remain available as completed knockout reference.

16 final

June 28, 2026

South Africa South Africa 0-1 Canada Canada
UTC Round of 32 Canada adv. Final
Result South Africa 0-1 Canada
Date & time UTC
Venue Los Angeles
Round Round of 32
Status Final
Community poll - Voting closed

Voting is closed.

Poll closed.

June 29, 2026

Brazil Brazil 2-1 Japan Japan
UTC Round of 32 Brazil adv. Final
Result Brazil 2-1 Japan
Date & time UTC
Venue Houston
Round Round of 32
Status Final
Community poll - Voting closed

Voting is closed.

Poll closed.

Germany Germany 1-1 Paraguay Paraguay
UTC Round of 32 AET 1-1 | Pens 3-4 | Paraguay adv. Final
Result Germany 1-1 Paraguay
Date & time UTC
Venue Boston
Round Round of 32
Status Final
Community poll - Voting closed

Voting is closed.

Poll closed.

June 30, 2026

Netherlands Netherlands 1-1 Morocco Morocco
UTC Round of 32 AET 1-1 | Pens 2-3 | Morocco adv. Final
Result Netherlands 1-1 Morocco
Date & time UTC
Venue Monterrey
Round Round of 32
Status Final
Community poll - Voting closed

Voting is closed.

Poll closed.

Ivory Coast Ivory Coast 1-2 Norway Norway
UTC Round of 32 Norway adv. Final
Result Ivory Coast 1-2 Norway
Date & time UTC
Venue Dallas
Round Round of 32
Status Final
Community poll - Voting closed

Voting is closed.

Poll closed.

France France 3-0 Sweden Sweden
UTC Round of 32 France adv. Final
Result France 3-0 Sweden
Date & time UTC
Venue New York
Round Round of 32
Status Final
Community poll - Voting closed

Voting is closed.

Poll closed.

July 1, 2026

Mexico Mexico 2-0 Ecuador Ecuador
UTC Round of 32 Mexico adv. Final
Result Mexico 2-0 Ecuador
Date & time UTC
Venue Mexico City
Round Round of 32
Status Final
Community poll - Voting closed

Voting is closed.

Poll closed.

England England 2-1 DR Congo DR Congo
UTC Round of 32 England adv. Final
Result England 2-1 DR Congo
Date & time UTC
Venue Atlanta
Round Round of 32
Status Final
Community poll - Voting closed

Voting is closed.

Poll closed.

Belgium Belgium 3-2 Senegal Senegal
UTC Round of 32 90m 2-2 | AET 3-2 | Belgium adv. Final
Result Belgium 3-2 Senegal
Date & time UTC
Venue Seattle
Round Round of 32
Status Final
Community poll - Voting closed

Voting is closed.

Poll closed.

July 2, 2026

USA USA 2-0 Bosnia-Herz. Bosnia-Herz.
UTC Round of 32 90m 2-0 | USA adv. Final
Result USA 2-0 Bosnia-Herz.
Date & time UTC
Venue SF Bay Area
Round Round of 32
Status Final
Community poll - Voting closed

Voting is closed.

Poll closed.

Spain Spain 3-0 Austria Austria
UTC Round of 32 90m 3-0 | Spain adv. Final
Result Spain 3-0 Austria
Date & time UTC
Venue Los Angeles
Round Round of 32
Status Final
Community poll - Voting closed

Voting is closed.

Poll closed.

Portugal Portugal 2-1 Croatia Croatia
UTC Round of 32 90m 2-1 | Portugal adv. Final
Result Portugal 2-1 Croatia
Date & time UTC
Venue Toronto
Round Round of 32
Status Final
Community poll - Voting closed

Voting is closed.

Poll closed.

July 3, 2026

Switzerland Switzerland 2-0 Algeria Algeria
UTC Round of 32 90m 2-0 | Switzerland adv. Final
Result Switzerland 2-0 Algeria
Date & time UTC
Venue Vancouver
Round Round of 32
Status Final
Community poll - Voting closed

Voting is closed.

Poll closed.

Australia Australia 1-1 Egypt Egypt
UTC Round of 32 90m 1-1 | AET 1-1 | Pens 2-4 | Egypt adv. Final
Result Australia 1-1 Egypt
Date & time UTC
Venue Dallas
Round Round of 32
Status Final
Community poll - Voting closed

Voting is closed.

Poll closed.

Argentina Argentina 3-2 Cape Verde Cape Verde
UTC Round of 32 90m 1-1 | AET 3-2 | Argentina adv. Final
Result Argentina 3-2 Cape Verde
Date & time UTC
Venue Miami
Round Round of 32
Status Final
Community poll - Voting closed

Voting is closed.

Poll closed.

July 4, 2026

Colombia Colombia 1-0 Ghana Ghana
UTC Round of 32 90m 1-0 | Colombia adv. Final
Result Colombia 1-0 Ghana
Date & time UTC
Venue Kansas City
Round Round of 32
Status Final
Community poll - Voting closed

Voting is closed.

Poll closed.

Official final and third-place results are locked. Replay scenarios remain available from the simulator controls.

Important note: This simulator and its probability outputs are for entertainment and informational purposes only. They are not betting, gambling, investment advice, financial advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, trade, or participate in any prediction market. No real-money wagering is offered or accepted on BapLab.