Group G

Iran Iran

This profile is based on 100,000 simulations using the current WC26 simulator engine. The numbers are a model snapshot, not a guarantee. Team ratings, squads and injury updates may change over time.

Champion 0.0%
Group qualification 51.9%
Squad value €32.6m
Avg age 30.4
Avg height 1.829m
Manager Amir Ghalenoei

Group

Finish probabilities

1st 6.8%
2nd 21.8%
3rd qualified 23.3%
3rd not qualified 16.0%
4th 32.1%

Tournament

Stage reach probabilities

R32 51.9%
R16 14.7%
QF 2.7%
SF 0.5%
Final 0.1%
Champion 0.0%

Conditional path

Path by group finish

Finish Sample R32R16QFSFFinalChampion
1st 6.8% 100.0%33.8%9.5%1.3%0.2%0.0%
2nd 21.8% 100.0%29.3%4.5%0.9%0.1%0.0%
3rd 39.2% 59.3%15.4%2.7%0.4%0.1%0.0%

Overall opponent pool

Most common opponents by round

If reached shows the opponent split among this team's matches in that round. All sims shows how often the matchup happens across the full 100,000-simulation snapshot.

R32

Switzerland Switzerland If reached: 18.1% All sims: 9.4% Win rate: 23.2%
USA USA If reached: 12.8% All sims: 6.7% Win rate: 22.6%
Türkiye Türkiye If reached: 12.7% All sims: 6.6% Win rate: 22.6%
Paraguay Paraguay If reached: 10.3% All sims: 5.4% Win rate: 35.1%
Canada Canada If reached: 9.8% All sims: 5.1% Win rate: 30.8%

R16

Argentina Argentina If reached: 20.2% All sims: 3.0% Win rate: 9.1%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 16.6% All sims: 2.4% Win rate: 11.0%
Uruguay Uruguay If reached: 10.7% All sims: 1.6% Win rate: 20.8%
Colombia Colombia If reached: 6.4% All sims: 1.0% Win rate: 20.5%
Spain Spain If reached: 6.4% All sims: 0.9% Win rate: 7.3%

QF

Argentina Argentina If reached: 15.7% All sims: 0.4% Win rate: 7.3%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 13.6% All sims: 0.4% Win rate: 12.5%
Spain Spain If reached: 12.6% All sims: 0.3% Win rate: 8.8%
Uruguay Uruguay If reached: 6.6% All sims: 0.2% Win rate: 18.0%
Switzerland Switzerland If reached: 5.8% All sims: 0.2% Win rate: 21.0%

SF

Brazil Brazil If reached: 17.8% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 12.3%
England England If reached: 16.5% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 12.0%
France France If reached: 12.1% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 7.3%
Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 6.2% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 14.3%
Germany Germany If reached: 6.2% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 21.4%

Final

France France If reached: 18.4% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Germany Germany If reached: 14.5% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 18.2%
Spain Spain If reached: 10.5% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 12.5%
Belgium Belgium If reached: 10.5% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 12.5%
Argentina Argentina If reached: 6.6% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%

Finish 1st

Iran opponent pool if finishing 1st

For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.

R32

Czechia Czechia If reached: 21.8% Path sims: 21.8% Win rate: 33.9%
South Korea South Korea If reached: 17.7% Path sims: 17.7% Win rate: 27.8%
Mexico Mexico If reached: 15.5% Path sims: 15.5% Win rate: 24.3%
South Africa South Africa If reached: 14.2% Path sims: 14.2% Win rate: 50.4%
Algeria Algeria If reached: 5.3% Path sims: 5.3% Win rate: 31.9%

R16

USA USA If reached: 25.2% Path sims: 8.5% Win rate: 23.4%
Türkiye Türkiye If reached: 24.5% Path sims: 8.3% Win rate: 22.4%
Canada Canada If reached: 8.2% Path sims: 2.8% Win rate: 38.8%
Bosnia-Herz. Bosnia-Herz. If reached: 8.1% Path sims: 2.7% Win rate: 40.5%
Paraguay Paraguay If reached: 7.0% Path sims: 2.4% Win rate: 35.8%

QF

Spain Spain If reached: 39.5% Path sims: 3.8% Win rate: 7.8%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 10.4% Path sims: 1.0% Win rate: 13.4%
England England If reached: 9.6% Path sims: 0.9% Win rate: 9.7%
Croatia Croatia If reached: 8.1% Path sims: 0.8% Win rate: 17.3%
Colombia Colombia If reached: 7.1% Path sims: 0.7% Win rate: 15.2%

SF

France France If reached: 31.8% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 10.7%
Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 15.9% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 14.3%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 11.4% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 30.0%
Germany Germany If reached: 9.1% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 25.0%
Japan Japan If reached: 4.5% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 0.0%

Final

Germany Germany If reached: 18.8% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 18.8% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Colombia Colombia If reached: 12.5% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 50.0%
Belgium Belgium If reached: 12.5% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
England England If reached: 6.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%

Finish 2nd

Iran opponent pool if finishing 2nd

For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.

R32

USA USA If reached: 30.5% Path sims: 30.5% Win rate: 22.6%
Türkiye Türkiye If reached: 30.2% Path sims: 30.2% Win rate: 22.6%
Paraguay Paraguay If reached: 24.6% Path sims: 24.6% Win rate: 35.1%
Australia Australia If reached: 14.7% Path sims: 14.7% Win rate: 47.6%

R16

Argentina Argentina If reached: 46.2% Path sims: 13.5% Win rate: 9.1%
Uruguay Uruguay If reached: 24.7% Path sims: 7.3% Win rate: 20.8%
Spain Spain If reached: 14.7% Path sims: 4.3% Win rate: 7.3%
Austria Austria If reached: 7.7% Path sims: 2.3% Win rate: 26.5%
Algeria Algeria If reached: 3.6% Path sims: 1.1% Win rate: 32.6%

QF

Portugal Portugal If reached: 30.3% Path sims: 1.4% Win rate: 12.3%
Switzerland Switzerland If reached: 15.1% Path sims: 0.7% Win rate: 20.7%
Colombia Colombia If reached: 8.6% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 17.6%
Canada Canada If reached: 4.9% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 24.5%
Egypt Egypt If reached: 4.8% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 31.3%

SF

Brazil Brazil If reached: 23.1% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 11.1%
England England If reached: 22.6% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 13.6%
France France If reached: 8.2% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Germany Germany If reached: 6.7% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 15.4%
Mexico Mexico If reached: 5.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 30.0%

Final

France France If reached: 16.7% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Spain Spain If reached: 13.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Germany Germany If reached: 13.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 25.0%
Belgium Belgium If reached: 10.0% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 33.3%
Argentina Argentina If reached: 10.0% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%

Finish 3rd

Iran opponent pool if finishing 3rd

For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.

R32

Switzerland Switzerland If reached: 40.3% Path sims: 23.9% Win rate: 23.2%
Canada Canada If reached: 21.8% Path sims: 12.9% Win rate: 30.8%
Bosnia-Herz. Bosnia-Herz. If reached: 14.4% Path sims: 8.5% Win rate: 38.4%
France France If reached: 12.6% Path sims: 7.4% Win rate: 7.9%
Norway Norway If reached: 5.1% Path sims: 3.1% Win rate: 15.4%

R16

Portugal Portugal If reached: 40.5% Path sims: 6.2% Win rate: 11.0%
Colombia Colombia If reached: 15.7% Path sims: 2.4% Win rate: 20.5%
Croatia Croatia If reached: 5.8% Path sims: 0.9% Win rate: 18.3%
Ghana Ghana If reached: 5.7% Path sims: 0.9% Win rate: 32.8%
Germany Germany If reached: 5.1% Path sims: 0.8% Win rate: 11.4%

QF

Argentina Argentina If reached: 33.7% Path sims: 0.9% Win rate: 6.6%
Uruguay Uruguay If reached: 13.1% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 20.0%
Spain Spain If reached: 7.9% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 11.8%
Belgium Belgium If reached: 6.7% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 15.3%
Egypt Egypt If reached: 6.7% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 29.2%

SF

England England If reached: 18.0% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 9.7%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 15.1% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 7.7%
Croatia Croatia If reached: 9.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 25.0%
France France If reached: 6.4% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 9.1%
Spain Spain If reached: 5.8% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 10.0%

Final

France France If reached: 30.0% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Spain Spain If reached: 13.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 25.0%
Germany Germany If reached: 13.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 25.0%
Belgium Belgium If reached: 10.0% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Austria Austria If reached: 6.7% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%

Squad

Current squad

26 players
Pos Player Age Height Club Value
GK Payam Niazmand 31 1,94m Persepolis FC €700k
GK Alireza Beiranvand 33 1,94m Tractor FC €650k
GK Seyed Hossein Hosseini 33 1,87m Sepahan FC €500k
CB Hossein Kanaani 32 1,88m Persepolis FC €1.6m
CB Danial Eiri 22 1,85m Malavan Bandar Anzali €1.0m
CB Ali Nemati 30 1,82m Foolad FC €550k
CB Shoja Khalilzadeh 37 1,80m Tractor FC €100k
LB Milad Mohammadi 32 1,78m Persepolis FC €900k
LB Ehsan Hajsafi 36 1,78m Sepahan FC €250k
RB Arya Yousefi 24 1,81m Sepahan FC €1.5m
RB Saleh Hardani 27 1,76m Esteghlal FC €800k
RB Ramin Rezaeian 36 1,84m Foolad FC €250k
DM Saeed Ezatolahi 30 1,84m Shabab Al-Ahli Club €1.8m
DM Mohammad Ghorbani 25 1,90m Al-Wahda FC €1.2m
DM Roozbeh Cheshmi 32 1,82m Esteghlal FC €450k
CM Amirmohammad Razzaghinia 20 1,87m Esteghlal FC €1.2m
AM Saman Ghoddos 32 1,75m Kalba FC €1.2m
LW Mehdi Ghayedi 28 1,66m Al-Nasr SC (UAE) €4.5m
LW Mohammad Mohebi 27 1,86m FC Rostov €2.5m
LW Mehdi Torabi 31 1,78m Tractor FC €1.2m
RW Alireza Jahanbakhsh 32 1,81m FCV Dender EH €600k
CF Mehdi Taremi 33 1,85m Olympiacos Piraeus €2.5m
CF Amirhossein Hosseinzadeh 25 1,78m Tractor FC €2.2m
CF Dennis Eckert Ayensa 29 1,83m Standard Liège €2.0m
CF Ali Alipour 30 1,81m Persepolis FC €1.7m
CF Shahriar Moghanlou 31 1,93m Kalba FC €800k