Group G

New Zealand New Zealand

This profile is based on 100,000 simulations using the current WC26 simulator engine. The numbers are a model snapshot, not a guarantee. Team ratings, squads and injury updates may change over time.

Champion 0.0%
Group qualification 31.5%
Squad value €35.4m
Avg age 28.1
Avg height 1.832m
Manager Darren Bazeley

Group

Finish probabilities

1st 2.9%
2nd 12.5%
3rd qualified 16.2%
3rd not qualified 13.6%
4th 54.8%

Tournament

Stage reach probabilities

R32 31.5%
R16 6.7%
QF 0.9%
SF 0.1%
Final 0.0%
Champion 0.0%

Conditional path

Path by group finish

Finish Sample R32R16QFSFFinalChampion
1st 2.9% 100.0%26.9%4.9%0.6%0.1%0.0%
2nd 12.5% 100.0%21.9%2.4%0.4%0.0%0.0%
3rd 29.8% 54.3%10.5%1.6%0.2%0.0%0.0%

Overall opponent pool

Most common opponents by round

If reached shows the opponent split among this team's matches in that round. All sims shows how often the matchup happens across the full 100,000-simulation snapshot.

R32

Switzerland Switzerland If reached: 20.7% All sims: 6.5% Win rate: 16.1%
Türkiye Türkiye If reached: 12.3% All sims: 3.9% Win rate: 16.8%
USA USA If reached: 12.0% All sims: 3.8% Win rate: 15.8%
Canada Canada If reached: 11.7% All sims: 3.7% Win rate: 24.1%
Paraguay Paraguay If reached: 9.5% All sims: 3.0% Win rate: 26.7%

R16

Argentina Argentina If reached: 19.5% All sims: 1.3% Win rate: 6.8%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 18.8% All sims: 1.3% Win rate: 10.4%
Uruguay Uruguay If reached: 10.0% All sims: 0.7% Win rate: 16.0%
Colombia Colombia If reached: 6.6% All sims: 0.4% Win rate: 13.4%
Spain Spain If reached: 5.7% All sims: 0.4% Win rate: 4.7%

QF

Argentina Argentina If reached: 18.7% All sims: 0.2% Win rate: 4.0%
Spain Spain If reached: 13.5% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 6.3%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 11.8% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 8.2%
Uruguay Uruguay If reached: 5.9% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 20.0%
Belgium Belgium If reached: 5.3% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 8.2%

SF

England England If reached: 11.8% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 10.9% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
France France If reached: 10.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Norway Norway If reached: 8.4% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 20.0%
Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 7.6% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%

Final

France France If reached: 16.7% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Spain Spain If reached: 16.7% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 16.7% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 8.3% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Germany Germany If reached: 8.3% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%

Finish 1st

New Zealand opponent pool if finishing 1st

For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.

R32

Czechia Czechia If reached: 20.0% Path sims: 20.0% Win rate: 28.1%
South Korea South Korea If reached: 17.8% Path sims: 17.8% Win rate: 19.7%
Mexico Mexico If reached: 14.9% Path sims: 14.9% Win rate: 14.5%
South Africa South Africa If reached: 14.4% Path sims: 14.4% Win rate: 43.1%
Algeria Algeria If reached: 4.9% Path sims: 4.9% Win rate: 30.5%

R16

Türkiye Türkiye If reached: 25.0% Path sims: 6.7% Win rate: 16.1%
USA USA If reached: 24.6% Path sims: 6.6% Win rate: 12.6%
Bosnia-Herz. Bosnia-Herz. If reached: 9.1% Path sims: 2.4% Win rate: 27.1%
Canada Canada If reached: 7.2% Path sims: 1.9% Win rate: 21.4%
Paraguay Paraguay If reached: 6.7% Path sims: 1.8% Win rate: 15.4%

QF

Spain Spain If reached: 45.1% Path sims: 2.2% Win rate: 4.7%
Croatia Croatia If reached: 10.6% Path sims: 0.5% Win rate: 6.7%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 8.5% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 0.0%
England England If reached: 8.5% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 8.3%
Austria Austria If reached: 7.7% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 18.2%

SF

France France If reached: 25.0% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Norway Norway If reached: 12.5% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 50.0%
Senegal Senegal If reached: 12.5% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Morocco Morocco If reached: 12.5% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 12.5% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 0.0%

Final

Türkiye Türkiye If reached: 50.0% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Paraguay Paraguay If reached: 50.0% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%

Finish 2nd

New Zealand opponent pool if finishing 2nd

For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.

R32

Türkiye Türkiye If reached: 31.3% Path sims: 31.3% Win rate: 16.8%
USA USA If reached: 30.3% Path sims: 30.3% Win rate: 15.8%
Paraguay Paraguay If reached: 24.1% Path sims: 24.1% Win rate: 26.7%
Australia Australia If reached: 14.3% Path sims: 14.3% Win rate: 38.3%

R16

Argentina Argentina If reached: 47.0% Path sims: 10.3% Win rate: 6.8%
Uruguay Uruguay If reached: 24.2% Path sims: 5.3% Win rate: 16.0%
Spain Spain If reached: 14.0% Path sims: 3.1% Win rate: 4.7%
Austria Austria If reached: 8.3% Path sims: 1.8% Win rate: 16.8%
Algeria Algeria If reached: 4.1% Path sims: 0.9% Win rate: 19.5%

QF

Portugal Portugal If reached: 32.3% Path sims: 0.8% Win rate: 9.2%
Switzerland Switzerland If reached: 13.9% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 14.3%
Colombia Colombia If reached: 10.2% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 22.6%
Egypt Egypt If reached: 4.6% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Canada Canada If reached: 4.3% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 23.1%

SF

Brazil Brazil If reached: 16.7% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 12.5% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Norway Norway If reached: 10.4% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 20.0%
England England If reached: 8.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Ivory Coast Ivory Coast If reached: 8.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%

Final

France France If reached: 50.0% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Germany Germany If reached: 25.0% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Belgium Belgium If reached: 25.0% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%

Finish 3rd

New Zealand opponent pool if finishing 3rd

For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.

R32

Switzerland Switzerland If reached: 40.4% Path sims: 21.9% Win rate: 16.1%
Canada Canada If reached: 22.7% Path sims: 12.3% Win rate: 24.1%
Bosnia-Herz. Bosnia-Herz. If reached: 13.8% Path sims: 7.5% Win rate: 30.0%
France France If reached: 12.3% Path sims: 6.7% Win rate: 5.5%
Norway Norway If reached: 5.0% Path sims: 2.7% Win rate: 12.7%

R16

Portugal Portugal If reached: 39.7% Path sims: 4.2% Win rate: 10.4%
Colombia Colombia If reached: 14.0% Path sims: 1.5% Win rate: 13.4%
Ghana Ghana If reached: 6.5% Path sims: 0.7% Win rate: 31.7%
Croatia Croatia If reached: 5.2% Path sims: 0.5% Win rate: 16.7%
Germany Germany If reached: 4.4% Path sims: 0.5% Win rate: 8.8%

QF

Argentina Argentina If reached: 33.3% Path sims: 0.5% Win rate: 4.3%
Spain Spain If reached: 12.8% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 8.1%
Uruguay Uruguay If reached: 10.1% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 18.4%
Belgium Belgium If reached: 8.0% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 10.3%
USA USA If reached: 6.8% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 9.1%

SF

England England If reached: 18.2% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Croatia Croatia If reached: 7.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 7.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
France France If reached: 7.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Spain Spain If reached: 5.5% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%

Final

Spain Spain If reached: 33.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 33.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 16.7% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
England England If reached: 16.7% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%

Squad

Current squad

26 players
Pos Player Age Height Club Value
GK Max Crocombe 32 1,94m Millwall FC €1.0m
GK Alex Paulsen 23 1,84m Lechia Gdansk €750k
GK Michael Woud 27 1,96m Auckland FC €400k
CB Tyler Bindon 21 1,88m Sheffield United €3.5m
CB Finn Surman 22 1,90m Portland Timbers €1.5m
CB Nando Pijnaker 27 1.92m Auckland FC €400k
CB Michael Boxall 37 1,88m Minnesota United FC €150k
CB Tommy Smith 36 1,88m Braintree Town €100k
LB Liberato Cacace 25 1.83m Wrexham AFC €2.5m
LB Ben Old 23 1,73m AS Saint-Étienne €1.8m
LB Francis de Vries 31 1,88m Auckland FC €600k
RB Callan Elliot 26 1,77m Auckland FC €450k
RB Tim Payne 32 1,79m Wellington Phoenix €350k
DM Joe Bell 27 1,82m Viking FK €3.5m
DM Ryan Thomas 31 1,74m PEC Zwolle €650k
DM Alex Rufer 30 1,84m Wellington Phoenix €600k
CM Marko Stamenić 24 1,88m Swansea City €3.0m
CM Lachlan Bayliss 23 1,79m Newcastle United Jets €550k
CM Matthew Garbett 24 1,88m Peterborough United €450k
AM Callum McCowatt 27 1,79m Silkeborg IF €2.5m
AM Sarpreet Singh 27 1.77m Wellington Phoenix €500k
LW Jesse Randall 23 1,76m Auckland FC €900k
RW Elijah Just 26 1,75m Motherwell FC €2.5m
CF Chris Wood 34 1.91m Nottingham Forest €6.0m
CF Ben Waine 25 1,79m Port Vale FC €400k
CF Kosta Barbarouses 36 1,71m Western Sydney Wanderers €300k