Group
Finish probabilities
1st 0%
2nd 0%
3rd place 0% Qualified from 3rd 0% Eliminated in 3rd 0%
4th 100.0%
Group G
New Zealand
The dominant force in a weak confederation, which prepares you only so much for the world stage. Organized, physical, and genuinely committed. The technical quality gap against top opposition is severe and the squad depth is limited. A good group draw could see them through once: it has happened before.
This profile summarizes New Zealand's World Cup 2026 simulation path from the latest current-state snapshot: group outlook, finish distribution, possible knockout routes, opponent pools, squad context, and title chances.
Champion 0%
Group qualification 0%
Squad market €35.4m
Avg age 28.1
Avg height 1.832m
Manager Darren Bazeley
Saved forecast
Forecast as of Updated 2026-07-15 10:47 UTC, based on 10k current-state simulations. Tournament-wide official results included at that time stay fixed. These are saved model forecasts, not the team's actual final finish.
Tournament-wide result cutoff: France 0-2 Spain
Guide
How to read this team profile
Group finish and stage reach values are model outputs from the latest current-state team profile snapshot. Path sections show how New Zealand's route changes by group finish, while opponent pools summarize the teams most often appearing in each round.
Other forecast pages may show a different saved date. The interactive replay simulator is separate: changing Team Strength settings creates alternative scenarios without changing this saved forecast.
Tournament
Stage reach probabilities
R32 0%
R16 0%
QF 0%
SF 0%
Final 0%
Champion 0%
Conditional path
Path by group finish
| Finish | Sample | R32 | R16 | QF | SF | Final | Champion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | No longer possible | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2nd | No longer possible | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3rd | No longer possible | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Overall opponent pool
Most common opponents by round
If reached shows the opponent split among this team's matches in that round. All sims shows how often the matchup happens across the latest current-state snapshot.
R32
No opponent samples.
R16
No opponent samples.
QF
No opponent samples.
SF
No opponent samples.
Final
No opponent samples.
Finish 1st
New Zealand opponent pool if finishing 1st
For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.
R32
No longer possible
R16
No longer possible
QF
No longer possible
SF
No longer possible
Final
No longer possible
Finish 2nd
New Zealand opponent pool if finishing 2nd
For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.
R32
No longer possible
R16
No longer possible
QF
No longer possible
SF
No longer possible
Final
No longer possible
Finish 3rd
New Zealand opponent pool if finishing 3rd
For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.
R32
No longer possible
R16
No longer possible
QF
No longer possible
SF
No longer possible
Final
No longer possible
Squad
Current squad
| Pos | Player | Age | Height | Club | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GK | Max Crocombe | 32 | 1,94m | Millwall FC | €1.0m |
| GK | Alex Paulsen | 23 | 1,84m | Lechia Gdansk | €750k |
| GK | Michael Woud | 27 | 1,96m | Auckland FC | €400k |
| CB | Tyler Bindon | 21 | 1,88m | Sheffield United | €3.5m |
| CB | Finn Surman | 22 | 1,90m | Portland Timbers | €1.5m |
| CB | Nando Pijnaker | 27 | 1.92m | Auckland FC | €400k |
| CB | Michael Boxall | 37 | 1,88m | Minnesota United FC | €150k |
| CB | Tommy Smith | 36 | 1,88m | Braintree Town | €100k |
| LB | Liberato Cacace | 25 | 1.83m | Wrexham AFC | €2.5m |
| LB | Ben Old | 23 | 1,73m | AS Saint-Étienne | €1.8m |
| LB | Francis de Vries | 31 | 1,88m | Auckland FC | €600k |
| RB | Callan Elliot | 26 | 1,77m | Auckland FC | €450k |
| RB | Tim Payne | 32 | 1,79m | Wellington Phoenix | €350k |
| DM | Joe Bell | 27 | 1,82m | Viking FK | €3.5m |
| DM | Ryan Thomas | 31 | 1,74m | PEC Zwolle | €650k |
| DM | Alex Rufer | 30 | 1,84m | Wellington Phoenix | €600k |
| CM | Marko Stamenić | 24 | 1,88m | Swansea City | €3.0m |
| CM | Lachlan Bayliss | 23 | 1,79m | Newcastle United Jets | €550k |
| CM | Matthew Garbett | 24 | 1,88m | Peterborough United | €450k |
| AM | Callum McCowatt | 27 | 1,79m | Silkeborg IF | €2.5m |
| AM | Sarpreet Singh | 27 | 1.77m | Wellington Phoenix | €500k |
| LW | Jesse Randall | 23 | 1,76m | Auckland FC | €900k |
| RW | Elijah Just | 26 | 1,75m | Motherwell FC | €2.5m |
| CF | Chris Wood | 34 | 1.91m | Nottingham Forest | €6.0m |
| CF | Ben Waine | 25 | 1,79m | Port Vale FC | €400k |
| CF | Kosta Barbarouses | 36 | 1,71m | Western Sydney Wanderers | €300k |
Important note: This simulator and its probability outputs are for entertainment and informational purposes only. They are not investment advice, financial advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, trade, or participate in any prediction market. No real-money contest is offered or accepted on baplab.