Match analysis
Belgium vs New Zealand 
Match forecast and score distribution for Match 64, Group G, generated from the current simulator ratings.
Forecast last updated:
Goal bands
Total goals distribution
0 4.8%
1 14.5%
2 22.3%
3 22.5%
4 16.9%
5+ 19.1%
Goal thresholds
Total-goal thresholds
Total 0.5 At least 95.2% Below 4.8%
Total 1.5 At least 80.7% Below 19.3%
Total 2.5 At least 58.4% Below 41.6%
Total 3.5 At least 35.9% Below 64.1%
Total 4.5 At least 19.1% Below 81.0%
Team goals
Belgium goal thresholds
Belgium 0.5 At least 91.0% Below 9.0%
Belgium 1.5 At least 69.3% Below 30.7%
Belgium 2.5 At least 42.9% Below 57.1%
Belgium 3.5 At least 21.9% Below 78.1%
Belgium 4.5 At least 9.5% Below 90.5%
Team goals
New Zealand goal thresholds
New Zealand 0.5 At least 47.1% Below 52.9%
New Zealand 1.5 At least 13.3% Below 86.7%
New Zealand 2.5 At least 2.8% Below 97.2%
New Zealand 3.5 At least 0.4% Below 99.6%
New Zealand 4.5 At least 0.0% Below 100.0%
Scoring frequency
Both teams scoring
Both teams score 42.9%
Belgium clean sheet 52.9%
New Zealand clean sheet 9.0%
Common scorelines
Top exact scores
1 Belgium 2-0 New Zealand 14.1%
2 Belgium 1-0 New Zealand 11.4%
3 Belgium 3-0 New Zealand 11.1%
4 Belgium 2-1 New Zealand 8.8%
5 Belgium 1-1 New Zealand 7.3%
6 Belgium 3-1 New Zealand 7.1%
7 Belgium 4-0 New Zealand 6.5%
8 Belgium 0-0 New Zealand 4.8%
9 Belgium 4-1 New Zealand 4.4%
10 Belgium 5-0 New Zealand 3.1%
Guide
What this simulation preview shows
This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.
Score distribution
How to read the numbers
Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.
Model note
Simulation reference, not certainty
A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee or betting advice.