Match analysis
Belgium vs New Zealand 
Match forecast and score distribution for Match 64, Group G, generated from the current simulator ratings.
Forecast last updated:
Goal bands
Total goals distribution
0 5.0%
1 15.1%
2 22.4%
3 22.7%
4 16.8%
5+ 18.0%
Goal thresholds
Total-goal thresholds
Total 0.5 At least 95.0% Below 5.0%
Total 1.5 At least 79.9% Below 20.1%
Total 2.5 At least 57.5% Below 42.5%
Total 3.5 At least 34.8% Below 65.2%
Total 4.5 At least 18.0% Below 82.0%
Team goals
Belgium goal thresholds
Belgium 0.5 At least 90.3% Below 9.7%
Belgium 1.5 At least 68.2% Below 31.8%
Belgium 2.5 At least 41.5% Below 58.6%
Belgium 3.5 At least 20.5% Below 79.5%
Belgium 4.5 At least 8.5% Below 91.5%
Team goals
New Zealand goal thresholds
New Zealand 0.5 At least 47.8% Below 52.2%
New Zealand 1.5 At least 13.8% Below 86.2%
New Zealand 2.5 At least 2.8% Below 97.2%
New Zealand 3.5 At least 0.3% Below 99.7%
New Zealand 4.5 At least 0.0% Below 100.0%
Scoring frequency
Both teams scoring
Both teams score 43.1%
Belgium clean sheet 52.2%
New Zealand clean sheet 9.7%
Common scorelines
Top exact scores
1 Belgium 2-0 New Zealand 13.9%
2 Belgium 1-0 New Zealand 11.8%
3 Belgium 3-0 New Zealand 11.2%
4 Belgium 2-1 New Zealand 8.9%
5 Belgium 1-1 New Zealand 7.4%
6 Belgium 3-1 New Zealand 7.1%
7 Belgium 4-0 New Zealand 6.0%
8 Belgium 0-0 New Zealand 5.0%
9 Belgium 4-1 New Zealand 4.3%
10 Belgium 0-1 New Zealand 3.3%
Guide
What this simulation preview shows
This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.
Score distribution
How to read the numbers
Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.
Model note
Simulation reference, not certainty
A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee.