Group
Finish probabilities
1st 100.0%
2nd 0%
3rd place 0% Qualified from 3rd 0% Eliminated in 3rd 0%
4th 0%
Group G
Belgium
The golden generation didn't win anything, and now it's over. De Bruyne is still here for one last campaign, which is either inspiring or heartbreaking depending on your perspective. The new core around Trossard and Onana is talented but unproven at this level. Technically strong, physically fading, emotionally complicated.
This profile summarizes Belgium's World Cup 2026 simulation path from the latest current-state snapshot: group outlook, finish distribution, possible knockout routes, opponent pools, squad context, and title chances.
Champion 0%
Group qualification 100%
Squad market €530.2m
Avg age 27.6
Avg height 1.861m
Manager Rudi Garcia
Current-state snapshot
This profile is based on 10k current-state simulations using the WC26 simulator engine. The numbers are a model snapshot, not a guarantee. Team ratings, squads and injury updates may change over time.
Latest result included: France 0-2 Spain
Guide
How to read this team profile
Group finish and stage reach values are model outputs from the latest current-state team profile snapshot. Path sections show how Belgium's route changes by group finish, while opponent pools summarize the teams most often appearing in each round.
This page uses Knockout-phase current-state snapshot using latest committed Match Updates, official locked results, current ratings, and fixed knockout bracket state as of 15 Jul 2026 1:47 PM UTC+3. Other public forecast pages may still use root compatibility datasets until they are updated separately, and custom Team Strength settings can change future tournament paths in the live simulator.
Tournament
Stage reach probabilities
R32 100%
R16 100%
QF 100%
SF 0%
Final 0%
Champion 0%
Conditional path
Path by group finish
| Finish | Sample | R32 | R16 | QF | SF | Final | Champion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 100.0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 2nd | n/a | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3rd | No longer possible | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Overall opponent pool
Most common opponents by round
If reached shows the opponent split among this team's matches in that round. All sims shows how often the matchup happens across the latest current-state snapshot.
R32
Senegal If reached: 100.0% All sims: 100.0% Matchup win rate: 100.0% R16
USA If reached: 100.0% All sims: 100.0% Matchup win rate: 100.0% QF
Spain If reached: 100.0% All sims: 100.0% Matchup win rate: 0% SF
No opponent samples.
Final
No opponent samples.
Finish 1st
Belgium opponent pool if finishing 1st
For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.
R32
Senegal If reached: 100.0% Path sims: 100.0% Matchup win rate: 100.0% R16
USA If reached: 100.0% Path sims: 100.0% Matchup win rate: 100.0% QF
Spain If reached: 100.0% Path sims: 100.0% Matchup win rate: 0% SF
Not enough samples.
Final
Not enough samples.
Finish 2nd
Belgium opponent pool if finishing 2nd
For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.
R32
Not enough samples.
R16
Not enough samples.
QF
Not enough samples.
SF
Not enough samples.
Final
Not enough samples.
Finish 3rd
Belgium opponent pool if finishing 3rd
For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.
R32
No longer possible
R16
No longer possible
QF
No longer possible
SF
No longer possible
Final
No longer possible
Squad
Current squad
| Pos | Player | Age | Height | Club | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GK | Senne Lammens | 23 | 1,93m | Manchester United | €30.0m |
| GK | Mike Penders | 20 | 2,00m | RC Strasbourg Alsace | €22.0m |
| GK | Thibaut Courtois | 34 | 2,00m | Real Madrid | €18.0m |
| CB | Zeno Debast | 22 | 1,91m | Sporting CP | €28.0m |
| CB | Koni de Winter | 24 | 1,91m | AC Milan | €23.0m |
| CB | Nathan Ngoy | 23 | 1,83m | LOSC Lille | €20.0m |
| CB | Arthur Theate | 26 | 1,85m | Eintracht Frankfurt | €17.0m |
| CB | Brandon Mechele | 33 | 1,90m | Club Brugge KV | €3.0m |
| LB | Maxim De Cuyper | 25 | 1,82m | Brighton & Hove Albion | €22.0m |
| LB | Joaquin Seys | 21 | 1,78m | Club Brugge KV | €17.0m |
| RB | Timothy Castagne | 30 | 1,85m | Fulham FC | €10.0m |
| RB | Thomas Meunier | 34 | 1,91m | LOSC Lille | €1.8m |
| DM | Amadou Onana | 24 | 1,95m | Aston Villa | €45.0m |
| DM | Nicolas Raskin | 25 | 1,78m | Rangers FC | €12.0m |
| DM | Axel Witsel | 37 | 1,86m | Girona FC | €1.4m |
| CM | Youri Tielemans | 29 | 1,77m | Aston Villa | €35.0m |
| LM | Diego Moreira | 21 | 1,79m | RC Strasbourg Alsace | €25.0m |
| RM | Alexis Saelemaekers | 26 | 1,80m | AC Milan | €20.0m |
| AM | Charles De Ketelaere | 25 | 1,92m | Atalanta BC | €30.0m |
| AM | Kevin De Bruyne | 34 | 1,81m | SSC Napoli | €8.0m |
| AM | Hans Vanaken | 33 | 1,95m | Club Brugge KV | €6.0m |
| LW | Jérémy Doku | 24 | 1,73m | Manchester City | €65.0m |
| LW | Leandro Trossard | 31 | 1.72m | Arsenal FC | €20.0m |
| RW | Dodi Lukébakio | 28 | 1,87m | SL Benfica | €15.0m |
| CF | Matias Fernandez-Pardo | 21 | 1,83m | LOSC Lille | €30.0m |
| CF | Romelu Lukaku | 33 | 1.91m | SSC Napoli | €6.0m |
Important note: This simulator and its probability outputs are for entertainment and informational purposes only. They are not investment advice, financial advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, trade, or participate in any prediction market. No real-money contest is offered or accepted on baplab.