Match analysis
Belgium vs Egypt 
Match forecast and score distribution for Match 16, Group G, generated from the current simulator ratings.
Forecast reference: Jun 10, 2026
Official result is now known: Belgium 1-1 Egypt ยท Final. This page shows the model's simulated score distribution for comparison.
Goal bands
Total goals distribution
0 5.6%
1 16.0%
2 22.9%
3 22.4%
4 15.8%
5+ 17.3%
Goal thresholds
Total-goal thresholds
Total 0.5 At least 94.4% Below 5.6%
Total 1.5 At least 78.4% Below 21.6%
Total 2.5 At least 55.5% Below 44.5%
Total 3.5 At least 33.1% Below 66.9%
Total 4.5 At least 17.3% Below 82.8%
Team goals
Belgium goal thresholds
Belgium 0.5 At least 83.8% Below 16.2%
Belgium 1.5 At least 54.5% Below 45.5%
Belgium 2.5 At least 27.7% Below 72.3%
Belgium 3.5 At least 11.4% Below 88.6%
Belgium 4.5 At least 3.8% Below 96.2%
Team goals
Egypt goal thresholds
Egypt 0.5 At least 66.0% Below 34.1%
Egypt 1.5 At least 28.9% Below 71.2%
Egypt 2.5 At least 9.7% Below 90.4%
Egypt 3.5 At least 2.4% Below 97.6%
Egypt 4.5 At least 0.5% Below 99.5%
Scoring frequency
Both teams scoring
Both teams score 55.4%
Belgium clean sheet 34.1%
Egypt clean sheet 16.2%
Common scorelines
Top exact scores
1 Belgium 1-1 Egypt 10.7%
2 Belgium 2-1 Egypt 10.0%
3 Belgium 1-0 Egypt 9.9%
4 Belgium 2-0 Egypt 9.0%
5 Belgium 0-1 Egypt 6.1%
6 Belgium 3-1 Egypt 5.9%
7 Belgium 1-2 Egypt 5.7%
8 Belgium 3-0 Egypt 5.7%
9 Belgium 0-0 Egypt 5.6%
10 Belgium 2-2 Egypt 5.0%
Guide
What this simulation preview shows
This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.
Score distribution
How to read the numbers
Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.
Model note
Simulation reference, not certainty
A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee or betting advice.