Match analysis

Belgium Belgium vs Iran Iran

Match forecast and score distribution for Match 39, Group G, generated from the current simulator ratings.

Group G Dallas, USA

Forecast last updated:

Average score Belgium 2.25 - 0.78 Iran Total goals average 3.04
Belgium win 70.6%
Draw 17.8%
Iran win 11.6%

Goal bands

Total goals distribution

0 4.9%
1 14.7%
2 22.1%
3 22.4%
4 16.7%
5+ 19.2%

Goal thresholds

Total-goal thresholds

Total 0.5 At least 95.1% Below 4.9%
Total 1.5 At least 80.4% Below 19.6%
Total 2.5 At least 58.3% Below 41.7%
Total 3.5 At least 35.9% Below 64.1%
Total 4.5 At least 19.2% Below 80.8%

Team goals

Belgium goal thresholds

Belgium 0.5 At least 89.3% Below 10.7%
Belgium 1.5 At least 65.6% Below 34.4%
Belgium 2.5 At least 39.1% Below 60.9%
Belgium 3.5 At least 19.4% Below 80.6%
Belgium 4.5 At least 7.8% Below 92.2%

Team goals

Iran goal thresholds

Iran 0.5 At least 54.3% Below 45.7%
Iran 1.5 At least 18.4% Below 81.6%
Iran 2.5 At least 4.6% Below 95.4%
Iran 3.5 At least 0.8% Below 99.3%
Iran 4.5 At least 0.1% Below 99.9%

Scoring frequency

Both teams scoring

Both teams score 48.5%
Belgium clean sheet 45.7%
Iran clean sheet 10.7%

Common scorelines

Top exact scores

1 Belgium 2-0 Iran 12.2%
2 Belgium 1-0 Iran 10.8%
3 Belgium 2-1 Iran 9.6%
4 Belgium 3-0 Iran 9.1%
5 Belgium 1-1 Iran 8.3%
6 Belgium 3-1 Iran 7.1%
7 Belgium 4-0 Iran 5.1%
8 Belgium 0-0 Iran 4.9%
9 Belgium 4-1 Iran 4.3%
10 Belgium 0-1 Iran 3.8%

Guide

What this simulation preview shows

This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.

Score distribution

How to read the numbers

Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.

Model note

Simulation reference, not certainty

A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee or betting advice.

Model note: These are simulation outputs for understanding possible score patterns. They are not betting advice or gambling guidance.