Match analysis

Egypt Egypt vs Iran Iran

Match forecast and score distribution for Match 63, Group G, generated from the current simulator ratings.

Group G Houston, USA

Forecast last updated:

Average score Egypt 1.85 - 1.11 Iran Total goals average 2.96
Egypt win 54.5%
Draw 22.9%
Iran win 22.7%

Goal bands

Total goals distribution

0 5.1%
1 15.2%
2 23.1%
3 22.4%
4 16.6%
5+ 17.6%

Goal thresholds

Total-goal thresholds

Total 0.5 At least 94.9% Below 5.1%
Total 1.5 At least 79.7% Below 20.3%
Total 2.5 At least 56.6% Below 43.4%
Total 3.5 At least 34.3% Below 65.7%
Total 4.5 At least 17.6% Below 82.4%

Team goals

Egypt goal thresholds

Egypt 0.5 At least 84.4% Below 15.6%
Egypt 1.5 At least 54.9% Below 45.1%
Egypt 2.5 At least 28.3% Below 71.7%
Egypt 3.5 At least 11.6% Below 88.5%
Egypt 4.5 At least 4.1% Below 96.0%

Team goals

Iran goal thresholds

Iran 0.5 At least 67.1% Below 32.9%
Iran 1.5 At least 30.5% Below 69.5%
Iran 2.5 At least 10.1% Below 89.9%
Iran 3.5 At least 2.5% Below 97.5%
Iran 4.5 At least 0.5% Below 99.5%

Scoring frequency

Both teams scoring

Both teams score 56.6%
Egypt clean sheet 32.9%
Iran clean sheet 15.6%

Common scorelines

Top exact scores

1 Egypt 1-1 Iran 10.9%
2 Egypt 2-1 Iran 9.8%
3 Egypt 1-0 Iran 9.6%
4 Egypt 2-0 Iran 8.7%
5 Egypt 3-1 Iran 6.2%
6 Egypt 1-2 Iran 5.9%
7 Egypt 3-0 Iran 5.6%
8 Egypt 0-1 Iran 5.5%
9 Egypt 2-2 Iran 5.4%
10 Egypt 0-0 Iran 5.1%

Guide

What this simulation preview shows

This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.

Score distribution

How to read the numbers

Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.

Model note

Simulation reference, not certainty

A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee.

Model note: These are simulation outputs for understanding possible score patterns. They are not a guarantee of the match result.