Match analysis

Egypt Egypt vs Iran Iran

Match forecast and score distribution for Match 63, Group G, generated from the current simulator ratings.

Group G Houston, USA

Forecast last updated:

Average score Egypt 1.90 - 1.10 Iran Total goals average 3.00
Egypt win 55.9%
Draw 22.6%
Iran win 21.5%

Goal bands

Total goals distribution

0 5.1%
1 15.0%
2 22.1%
3 22.1%
4 17.4%
5+ 18.4%

Goal thresholds

Total-goal thresholds

Total 0.5 At least 94.9% Below 5.1%
Total 1.5 At least 79.9% Below 20.1%
Total 2.5 At least 57.8% Below 42.2%
Total 3.5 At least 35.7% Below 64.3%
Total 4.5 At least 18.4% Below 81.7%

Team goals

Egypt goal thresholds

Egypt 0.5 At least 85.2% Below 14.9%
Egypt 1.5 At least 56.8% Below 43.3%
Egypt 2.5 At least 29.5% Below 70.5%
Egypt 3.5 At least 12.3% Below 87.7%
Egypt 4.5 At least 4.3% Below 95.7%

Team goals

Iran goal thresholds

Iran 0.5 At least 66.7% Below 33.3%
Iran 1.5 At least 30.3% Below 69.7%
Iran 2.5 At least 10.0% Below 90.0%
Iran 3.5 At least 2.7% Below 97.4%
Iran 4.5 At least 0.5% Below 99.5%

Scoring frequency

Both teams scoring

Both teams score 56.9%
Egypt clean sheet 33.3%
Iran clean sheet 14.9%

Common scorelines

Top exact scores

1 Egypt 1-1 Iran 10.3%
2 Egypt 2-1 Iran 10.0%
3 Egypt 1-0 Iran 9.6%
4 Egypt 2-0 Iran 8.8%
5 Egypt 3-1 Iran 6.4%
6 Egypt 2-2 Iran 5.7%
7 Egypt 3-0 Iran 5.6%
8 Egypt 1-2 Iran 5.5%
9 Egypt 0-1 Iran 5.4%
10 Egypt 0-0 Iran 5.1%

Guide

What this simulation preview shows

This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.

Score distribution

How to read the numbers

Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.

Model note

Simulation reference, not certainty

A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee or betting advice.

Model note: These are simulation outputs for understanding possible score patterns. They are not betting advice or gambling guidance.