Group K

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

This profile is based on 100,000 simulations using the current WC26 simulator engine. The numbers are a model snapshot, not a guarantee. Team ratings, squads and injury updates may change over time.

Champion 0.0%
Group qualification 29.4%
Squad value €70.3m
Avg age 28.5
Avg height 1.825m
Manager Fabio Cannavaro

Group

Finish probabilities

1st 3.1%
2nd 10.9%
3rd qualified 15.4%
3rd not qualified 13.3%
4th 57.3%

Tournament

Stage reach probabilities

R32 29.4%
R16 6.1%
QF 1.4%
SF 0.3%
Final 0.0%
Champion 0.0%

Conditional path

Path by group finish

Finish Sample R32R16QFSFFinalChampion
1st 3.1% 100.0%29.4%9.9%2.1%0.4%0.1%
2nd 10.9% 100.0%24.4%3.7%0.9%0.1%0.0%
3rd 28.7% 53.7%8.8%2.5%0.4%0.1%0.0%

Overall opponent pool

Most common opponents by round

If reached shows the opponent split among this team's matches in that round. All sims shows how often the matchup happens across the full 100,000-simulation snapshot.

R32

England England If reached: 43.8% All sims: 12.9% Win rate: 11.0%
Croatia Croatia If reached: 32.0% All sims: 9.4% Win rate: 20.7%
Ghana Ghana If reached: 15.0% All sims: 4.4% Win rate: 35.9%
Panama Panama If reached: 5.2% All sims: 1.5% Win rate: 54.5%
Senegal Senegal If reached: 1.2% All sims: 0.3% Win rate: 25.2%

R16

Spain Spain If reached: 25.0% All sims: 1.5% Win rate: 9.3%
Mexico Mexico If reached: 10.0% All sims: 0.6% Win rate: 26.6%
Austria Austria If reached: 7.1% All sims: 0.4% Win rate: 23.6%
Uruguay Uruguay If reached: 6.9% All sims: 0.4% Win rate: 22.0%
South Korea South Korea If reached: 6.8% All sims: 0.4% Win rate: 28.2%

QF

Brazil Brazil If reached: 14.1% All sims: 0.2% Win rate: 11.4%
Belgium Belgium If reached: 9.8% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 15.0%
Argentina Argentina If reached: 8.2% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 14.7%
Norway Norway If reached: 7.2% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 12.6%
France France If reached: 6.7% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 14.7%

SF

France France If reached: 13.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 8.6%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 9.0% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Norway Norway If reached: 7.8% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 19.0%
Argentina Argentina If reached: 7.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 10.5%
Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 6.7% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 11.1%

Final

Germany Germany If reached: 12.8% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 16.7%
Spain Spain If reached: 10.6% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
France France If reached: 10.6% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 20.0%
England England If reached: 10.6% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 20.0%
Croatia Croatia If reached: 8.5% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 50.0%

Finish 1st

Uzbekistan opponent pool if finishing 1st

For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.

R32

Ghana Ghana If reached: 25.9% Path sims: 25.9% Win rate: 35.7%
Croatia Croatia If reached: 16.4% Path sims: 16.4% Win rate: 19.5%
Panama Panama If reached: 12.2% Path sims: 12.2% Win rate: 50.8%
Senegal Senegal If reached: 11.4% Path sims: 11.4% Win rate: 25.2%
Norway Norway If reached: 7.3% Path sims: 7.3% Win rate: 18.3%

R16

Switzerland Switzerland If reached: 30.7% Path sims: 9.0% Win rate: 29.0%
Canada Canada If reached: 14.9% Path sims: 4.4% Win rate: 35.1%
Algeria Algeria If reached: 9.9% Path sims: 2.9% Win rate: 28.1%
Bosnia-Herz. Bosnia-Herz. If reached: 8.9% Path sims: 2.6% Win rate: 47.5%
Egypt Egypt If reached: 7.3% Path sims: 2.2% Win rate: 34.8%

QF

Argentina Argentina If reached: 36.2% Path sims: 3.6% Win rate: 15.5%
Spain Spain If reached: 13.5% Path sims: 1.3% Win rate: 7.3%
Uruguay Uruguay If reached: 12.8% Path sims: 1.3% Win rate: 28.2%
Türkiye Türkiye If reached: 6.6% Path sims: 0.7% Win rate: 10.0%
USA USA If reached: 6.3% Path sims: 0.6% Win rate: 21.1%

SF

Brazil Brazil If reached: 18.8% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 8.3%
France France If reached: 10.9% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 0.0%
Norway Norway If reached: 10.9% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 28.6%
Ecuador Ecuador If reached: 7.8% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 40.0%
England England If reached: 7.8% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 20.0%

Final

Germany Germany If reached: 38.5% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 20.0%
Spain Spain If reached: 15.4% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Croatia Croatia If reached: 15.4% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 50.0%
France France If reached: 15.4% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 50.0%
Morocco Morocco If reached: 7.7% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%

Finish 2nd

Uzbekistan opponent pool if finishing 2nd

For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.

R32

Croatia Croatia If reached: 42.7% Path sims: 42.7% Win rate: 20.4%
England England If reached: 27.0% Path sims: 27.0% Win rate: 11.1%
Ghana Ghana If reached: 22.2% Path sims: 22.2% Win rate: 36.0%
Panama Panama If reached: 8.1% Path sims: 8.1% Win rate: 57.3%

R16

Spain Spain If reached: 56.3% Path sims: 13.7% Win rate: 9.2%
Austria Austria If reached: 13.9% Path sims: 3.4% Win rate: 23.7%
Uruguay Uruguay If reached: 12.9% Path sims: 3.1% Win rate: 21.9%
Argentina Argentina If reached: 9.9% Path sims: 2.4% Win rate: 8.3%
Algeria Algeria If reached: 6.2% Path sims: 1.5% Win rate: 41.0%

QF

Belgium Belgium If reached: 31.1% Path sims: 1.1% Win rate: 14.5%
USA USA If reached: 15.0% Path sims: 0.5% Win rate: 21.7%
Türkiye Türkiye If reached: 11.5% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 23.9%
South Korea South Korea If reached: 4.8% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 36.8%
Mexico Mexico If reached: 3.8% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 40.0%

SF

France France If reached: 26.6% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 8.0%
Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 17.0% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 6.3%
Germany Germany If reached: 13.8% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 23.1%
Norway Norway If reached: 11.7% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 6.4% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 16.7%

Final

England England If reached: 16.7% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Norway Norway If reached: 8.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Argentina Argentina If reached: 8.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Croatia Croatia If reached: 8.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0%
Ivory Coast Ivory Coast If reached: 8.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 100.0%

Finish 3rd

Uzbekistan opponent pool if finishing 3rd

For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.

R32

England England If reached: 62.9% Path sims: 33.8% Win rate: 10.9%
Croatia Croatia If reached: 27.5% Path sims: 14.8% Win rate: 21.0%
Ghana Ghana If reached: 7.8% Path sims: 4.2% Win rate: 35.6%
Panama Panama If reached: 1.8% Path sims: 0.9% Win rate: 50.4%

R16

Mexico Mexico If reached: 24.0% Path sims: 2.1% Win rate: 26.6%
South Korea South Korea If reached: 16.3% Path sims: 1.4% Win rate: 28.2%
Czechia Czechia If reached: 10.4% Path sims: 0.9% Win rate: 32.7%
Ivory Coast Ivory Coast If reached: 9.4% Path sims: 0.8% Win rate: 26.2%
Ecuador Ecuador If reached: 9.2% Path sims: 0.8% Win rate: 30.7%

QF

Brazil Brazil If reached: 27.9% Path sims: 0.7% Win rate: 11.4%
Norway Norway If reached: 13.2% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 12.6%
France France If reached: 12.8% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 15.2%
Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 8.1% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 12.1%
Japan Japan If reached: 6.5% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 12.8%

SF

Portugal Portugal If reached: 19.1% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Argentina Argentina If reached: 17.3% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 10.5%
Colombia Colombia If reached: 9.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 50.0%
Uruguay Uruguay If reached: 8.2% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 22.2%
Belgium Belgium If reached: 5.5% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 33.3%

Final

France France If reached: 13.6% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
England England If reached: 13.6% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 33.3%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 9.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Morocco Morocco If reached: 9.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 50.0%
Türkiye Türkiye If reached: 9.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 50.0%

Squad

Current squad

26 players
Pos Player Age Height Club Value
GK Abduvokhid Nematov 25 1,82m Nasaf Qarshi €1.5m
GK Utkir Yusupov 35 1,85m Navbahor Namangan €500k
GK Botirali Ergashev 30 1,92m Neftchi Fergana €500k
CB Abdukodir Khusanov 22 1,86m Manchester City €35.0m
CB Rustam Ashurmatov 29 1,86m Esteghlal FC €750k
CB Jakhongir Urozov 22 1,90m Dinamo Samarqand €600k
CB Avazbek Ulmasaliev 26 1,87m FC OKMK Olmaliq €500k
CB Umar Eshmurodov 33 1,85m Nasaf Qarshi €450k
LB Sherzod Nasrullaev 27 1,83m Pakhtakor Tashkent €1.2m
LB Farrukh Sayfiev 35 1,83m Neftchi Fergana €225k
RB Khozhiakbar Alizhonov 29 1,80m Pakhtakor Tashkent €1.3m
RB Bekhruz Karimov 18 1,80m Surkhon Termiz €350k
DM Odildzhon Khamrobekov 30 1,80m Tractor FC €1.0m
DM Abdulla Abdullaev 28 1,81m Dibba SCC €500k
CM Aziz Ganiev 28 1,80m Al-Bataeh CSC €2.0m
CM Otabek Shukurov 29 1,83m FC Baniyas €1.5m
CM Akmal Mozgovoy 27 1,80m Pakhtakor Tashkent €1.4m
CM Sherzod Esanov 23 1,90m FC Buxoro €450k
AM Jamshid Iskanderov 32 1,71m Neftchi Fergana €1.0m
CF Azizbek Amanov 28 1,81m Dinamo Samarqand €500k
LW Oston Urunov 25 1,81m Persepolis FC €2.0m
LW Jaloliddin Masharipov 32 1,72m Esteghlal FC €1.0m
RW Abbosbek Fayzullaev 23 1,70m Basaksehir FK €7.0m
RW Dostonbek Khamdamov 29 1,80m Pakhtakor Tashkent €900k
CF Eldor Shomurodov 30 1,90m Basaksehir FK €7.0m
CF Igor Sergeev 33 1,86m Persepolis FC €1.2m