Match analysis

Portugal Portugal vs Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Match forecast and score distribution for Match 47, Group K, generated from the current simulator ratings.

Group K Kansas City, USA

Forecast last updated:

Average score Portugal 2.31 - 0.57 Uzbekistan Total goals average 2.88
Portugal win 76.4%
Draw 16.1%
Uzbekistan win 7.5%

Goal bands

Total goals distribution

0 5.4%
1 16.3%
2 23.2%
3 22.5%
4 16.4%
5+ 16.2%

Goal thresholds

Total-goal thresholds

Total 0.5 At least 94.6% Below 5.4%
Total 1.5 At least 78.3% Below 21.7%
Total 2.5 At least 55.1% Below 44.9%
Total 3.5 At least 32.6% Below 67.4%
Total 4.5 At least 16.2% Below 83.8%

Team goals

Portugal goal thresholds

Portugal 0.5 At least 90.3% Below 9.7%
Portugal 1.5 At least 66.9% Below 33.1%
Portugal 2.5 At least 40.6% Below 59.4%
Portugal 3.5 At least 20.2% Below 79.8%
Portugal 4.5 At least 8.4% Below 91.6%

Team goals

Uzbekistan goal thresholds

Uzbekistan 0.5 At least 43.7% Below 56.3%
Uzbekistan 1.5 At least 11.4% Below 88.6%
Uzbekistan 2.5 At least 2.1% Below 97.9%
Uzbekistan 3.5 At least 0.2% Below 99.8%
Uzbekistan 4.5 At least 0.0% Below 100.0%

Scoring frequency

Both teams scoring

Both teams score 39.3%
Portugal clean sheet 56.3%
Uzbekistan clean sheet 9.7%

Common scorelines

Top exact scores

1 Portugal 2-0 Uzbekistan 14.5%
2 Portugal 1-0 Uzbekistan 13.2%
3 Portugal 3-0 Uzbekistan 11.6%
4 Portugal 2-1 Uzbekistan 8.6%
5 Portugal 1-1 Uzbekistan 7.7%
6 Portugal 4-0 Uzbekistan 6.8%
7 Portugal 3-1 Uzbekistan 6.5%
8 Portugal 0-0 Uzbekistan 5.4%
9 Portugal 4-1 Uzbekistan 3.7%
10 Portugal 0-1 Uzbekistan 3.2%

Guide

What this simulation preview shows

This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.

Score distribution

How to read the numbers

Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.

Model note

Simulation reference, not certainty

A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee or betting advice.

Model note: These are simulation outputs for understanding possible score patterns. They are not betting advice or gambling guidance.