Match analysis

DR Congo DR Congo vs Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Match forecast and score distribution for Match 72, Group K, generated from the current simulator ratings.

Group K Atlanta, USA

Forecast last updated:

Average score DR Congo 1.37 - 0.97 Uzbekistan Total goals average 2.34
DR Congo win 45.7%
Draw 27.3%
Uzbekistan win 27.0%

Goal bands

Total goals distribution

0 9.9%
1 22.4%
2 26.5%
3 20.4%
4 12.0%
5+ 8.8%

Goal thresholds

Total-goal thresholds

Total 0.5 At least 90.1% Below 9.9%
Total 1.5 At least 67.7% Below 32.3%
Total 2.5 At least 41.2% Below 58.8%
Total 3.5 At least 20.8% Below 79.2%
Total 4.5 At least 8.8% Below 91.2%

Team goals

DR Congo goal thresholds

DR Congo 0.5 At least 74.2% Below 25.8%
DR Congo 1.5 At least 39.6% Below 60.5%
DR Congo 2.5 At least 16.0% Below 84.0%
DR Congo 3.5 At least 5.0% Below 95.0%
DR Congo 4.5 At least 1.4% Below 98.7%

Team goals

Uzbekistan goal thresholds

Uzbekistan 0.5 At least 62.0% Below 38.0%
Uzbekistan 1.5 At least 25.4% Below 74.6%
Uzbekistan 2.5 At least 7.6% Below 92.4%
Uzbekistan 3.5 At least 1.7% Below 98.3%
Uzbekistan 4.5 At least 0.3% Below 99.7%

Scoring frequency

Both teams scoring

Both teams score 46.1%
DR Congo clean sheet 38.0%
Uzbekistan clean sheet 25.8%

Common scorelines

Top exact scores

1 DR Congo 1-0 Uzbekistan 13.0%
2 DR Congo 1-1 Uzbekistan 12.7%
3 DR Congo 0-0 Uzbekistan 9.9%
4 DR Congo 0-1 Uzbekistan 9.5%
5 DR Congo 2-0 Uzbekistan 9.2%
6 DR Congo 2-1 Uzbekistan 8.4%
7 DR Congo 1-2 Uzbekistan 6.4%
8 DR Congo 0-2 Uzbekistan 4.6%
9 DR Congo 3-1 Uzbekistan 4.2%
10 DR Congo 2-2 Uzbekistan 4.1%

Guide

What this simulation preview shows

This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.

Score distribution

How to read the numbers

Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.

Model note

Simulation reference, not certainty

A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee or betting advice.

Model note: These are simulation outputs for understanding possible score patterns. They are not betting advice or gambling guidance.