Match analysis

DR Congo DR Congo vs Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Match forecast and score distribution for Match 72, Group K, generated from the current simulator ratings.

Group K Atlanta, USA

Forecast last updated:

Average score DR Congo 1.47 - 0.92 Uzbekistan Total goals average 2.39
DR Congo win 49.8%
Draw 26.5%
Uzbekistan win 23.6%

Goal bands

Total goals distribution

0 9.4%
1 22.0%
2 25.9%
3 20.6%
4 12.7%
5+ 9.5%

Goal thresholds

Total-goal thresholds

Total 0.5 At least 90.6% Below 9.4%
Total 1.5 At least 68.6% Below 31.4%
Total 2.5 At least 42.8% Below 57.3%
Total 3.5 At least 22.1% Below 77.9%
Total 4.5 At least 9.5% Below 90.5%

Team goals

DR Congo goal thresholds

DR Congo 0.5 At least 76.9% Below 23.2%
DR Congo 1.5 At least 43.1% Below 57.0%
DR Congo 2.5 At least 18.6% Below 81.5%
DR Congo 3.5 At least 6.2% Below 93.8%
DR Congo 4.5 At least 1.7% Below 98.4%

Team goals

Uzbekistan goal thresholds

Uzbekistan 0.5 At least 59.6% Below 40.4%
Uzbekistan 1.5 At least 23.5% Below 76.5%
Uzbekistan 2.5 At least 7.0% Below 93.1%
Uzbekistan 3.5 At least 1.5% Below 98.5%
Uzbekistan 4.5 At least 0.3% Below 99.7%

Scoring frequency

Both teams scoring

Both teams score 45.8%
DR Congo clean sheet 40.4%
Uzbekistan clean sheet 23.2%

Common scorelines

Top exact scores

1 DR Congo 1-0 Uzbekistan 13.7%
2 DR Congo 1-1 Uzbekistan 12.3%
3 DR Congo 2-0 Uzbekistan 9.8%
4 DR Congo 0-0 Uzbekistan 9.4%
5 DR Congo 2-1 Uzbekistan 8.8%
6 DR Congo 0-1 Uzbekistan 8.4%
7 DR Congo 1-2 Uzbekistan 5.5%
8 DR Congo 3-0 Uzbekistan 5.0%
9 DR Congo 3-1 Uzbekistan 4.5%
10 DR Congo 2-2 Uzbekistan 4.2%

Guide

What this simulation preview shows

This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.

Score distribution

How to read the numbers

Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.

Model note

Simulation reference, not certainty

A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee.

Model note: These are simulation outputs for understanding possible score patterns. They are not a guarantee of the match result.