Group
Finish probabilities
1st 100.0%
2nd 0%
3rd place 0% Qualified from 3rd 0% Eliminated in 3rd 0%
4th 0%
Group K
Colombia
One of the most aesthetically pleasing teams in South America when it clicks. James Rodríguez still orchestrates from deep when his body cooperates, which is increasingly the condition. The attacking midfield is genuinely creative, the defense is genuinely unreliable. A team that can beat anyone and lose to anyone, sometimes in the same week.
This profile summarizes Colombia's World Cup 2026 simulation path from the latest current-state snapshot: group outlook, finish distribution, possible knockout routes, opponent pools, squad context, and title chances.
Champion 0%
Group qualification 100%
Squad market €305.4m
Avg age 30.1
Avg height 1.804m
Manager Néstor Lorenzo
Current-state snapshot
This profile is based on 10k current-state simulations using the WC26 simulator engine. The numbers are a model snapshot, not a guarantee. Team ratings, squads and injury updates may change over time.
Latest result included: France 0-2 Spain
Guide
How to read this team profile
Group finish and stage reach values are model outputs from the latest current-state team profile snapshot. Path sections show how Colombia's route changes by group finish, while opponent pools summarize the teams most often appearing in each round.
This page uses Knockout-phase current-state snapshot using latest committed Match Updates, official locked results, current ratings, and fixed knockout bracket state as of 15 Jul 2026 1:47 PM UTC+3. Other public forecast pages may still use root compatibility datasets until they are updated separately, and custom Team Strength settings can change future tournament paths in the live simulator.
Tournament
Stage reach probabilities
R32 100%
R16 100%
QF 0%
SF 0%
Final 0%
Champion 0%
Conditional path
Path by group finish
| Finish | Sample | R32 | R16 | QF | SF | Final | Champion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 100.0% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 2nd | No longer possible | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3rd | No longer possible | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Overall opponent pool
Most common opponents by round
If reached shows the opponent split among this team's matches in that round. All sims shows how often the matchup happens across the latest current-state snapshot.
R32
Ghana If reached: 100.0% All sims: 100.0% Matchup win rate: 100.0% R16
Switzerland If reached: 100.0% All sims: 100.0% Matchup win rate: 0% QF
No opponent samples.
SF
No opponent samples.
Final
No opponent samples.
Finish 1st
Colombia opponent pool if finishing 1st
For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.
R32
Ghana If reached: 100.0% Path sims: 100.0% Matchup win rate: 100.0% R16
Switzerland If reached: 100.0% Path sims: 100.0% Matchup win rate: 0% QF
Not enough samples.
SF
Not enough samples.
Final
Not enough samples.
Finish 2nd
Colombia opponent pool if finishing 2nd
For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.
R32
No longer possible
R16
No longer possible
QF
No longer possible
SF
No longer possible
Final
No longer possible
Finish 3rd
Colombia opponent pool if finishing 3rd
For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.
R32
No longer possible
R16
No longer possible
QF
No longer possible
SF
No longer possible
Final
No longer possible
Squad
Current squad
| Pos | Player | Age | Height | Club | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GK | Álvaro Montero | 31 | 1,99m | CA Vélez Sarsfield | €2.5m |
| GK | Camilo Vargas | 37 | 1,83m | Atlas Guadalajara | €450k |
| GK | David Ospina | 37 | 1,83m | Atlético Nacional | €200k |
| CB | Jhon Lucumí | 27 | 1,87m | Bologna FC 1909 | €22.0m |
| CB | Davinson Sánchez | 30 | 1,87m | Galatasaray | €16.0m |
| CB | Willer Ditta | 28 | 1,80m | CD Cruz Azul | €5.5m |
| CB | Yerry Mina | 31 | 1,95m | Cagliari Calcio | €2.5m |
| LB | Deiver Machado | 32 | 1,80m | FC Nantes | €2.0m |
| LB | Johan Mojica | 33 | 1,85m | RCD Mallorca | €1.8m |
| RB | Daniel Muñoz | 30 | 1,81m | Crystal Palace | €27.0m |
| RB | Santiago Arias | 34 | 1,78m | CA Independiente | €1.2m |
| DM | Richard Ríos | 26 | 1,87m | SL Benfica | €25.0m |
| DM | Jefferson Lerma | 31 | 1,79m | Crystal Palace | €8.0m |
| DM | Kevin Castaño | 25 | 1,77m | CA River Plate | €5.0m |
| CM | Juan Portilla | 27 | 1,83m | Club Athletico Paranaense | €5.0m |
| CM | Gustavo Puerta | 22 | 1,71m | Racing Santander | €5.0m |
| AM | Jorge Carrascal | 28 | 1,80m | CR Flamengo | €13.0m |
| AM | James Rodríguez | 34 | 1,80m | Minnesota United FC | €2.0m |
| AM | Juan Fernando Quintero | 33 | 1,68m | CA River Plate | €1.8m |
| LW | Luis Díaz | 29 | 1,80m | Bayern Munich | €70.0m |
| LW | Andrés Gómez | 23 | 1,71m | Vasco da Gama | €11.0m |
| LW | Jáminton Campaz | 26 | 1,65m | CA Rosario Central | €5.5m |
| RW | Jhon Arias | 28 | 1,68m | SE Palmeiras | €15.0m |
| CF | Luis Suárez | 29 | 1,81m | Sporting CP | €30.0m |
| CF | Cucho Hernández | 27 | 1,75m | Real Betis Balompié | €18.0m |
| CF | Jhon Córdoba | 33 | 1,88m | FC Krasnodar | €10.0m |
Important note: This simulator and its probability outputs are for entertainment and informational purposes only. They are not investment advice, financial advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, trade, or participate in any prediction market. No real-money contest is offered or accepted on baplab.