Match analysis

Colombia Colombia vs DR Congo DR Congo

Match forecast and score distribution for Match 48, Group K, generated from the current simulator ratings.

Group K Dallas, USA

Forecast last updated:

Average score Colombia 1.55 - 0.84 DR Congo Total goals average 2.39
Colombia win 54.1%
Draw 25.4%
DR Congo win 20.5%

Goal bands

Total goals distribution

0 9.2%
1 22.0%
2 25.9%
3 21.1%
4 12.4%
5+ 9.5%

Goal thresholds

Total-goal thresholds

Total 0.5 At least 90.8% Below 9.2%
Total 1.5 At least 68.9% Below 31.1%
Total 2.5 At least 43.0% Below 57.0%
Total 3.5 At least 21.9% Below 78.1%
Total 4.5 At least 9.5% Below 90.5%

Team goals

Colombia goal thresholds

Colombia 0.5 At least 78.6% Below 21.4%
Colombia 1.5 At least 45.9% Below 54.1%
Colombia 2.5 At least 20.5% Below 79.5%
Colombia 3.5 At least 7.2% Below 92.8%
Colombia 4.5 At least 2.2% Below 97.9%

Team goals

DR Congo goal thresholds

DR Congo 0.5 At least 56.9% Below 43.1%
DR Congo 1.5 At least 20.4% Below 79.6%
DR Congo 2.5 At least 5.3% Below 94.7%
DR Congo 3.5 At least 1.0% Below 99.0%
DR Congo 4.5 At least 0.2% Below 99.8%

Scoring frequency

Both teams scoring

Both teams score 44.7%
Colombia clean sheet 43.1%
DR Congo clean sheet 21.4%

Common scorelines

Top exact scores

1 Colombia 1-0 DR Congo 14.1%
2 Colombia 1-1 DR Congo 11.8%
3 Colombia 2-0 DR Congo 10.8%
4 Colombia 2-1 DR Congo 9.4%
5 Colombia 0-0 DR Congo 9.2%
6 Colombia 0-1 DR Congo 7.8%
7 Colombia 3-0 DR Congo 5.8%
8 Colombia 1-2 DR Congo 5.0%
9 Colombia 3-1 DR Congo 4.8%
10 Colombia 2-2 DR Congo 3.9%

Guide

What this simulation preview shows

This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.

Score distribution

How to read the numbers

Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.

Model note

Simulation reference, not certainty

A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee or betting advice.

Model note: These are simulation outputs for understanding possible score patterns. They are not betting advice or gambling guidance.