Match analysis
Portugal vs Colombia 
Match forecast and score distribution for Match 71, Group K, generated from the current simulator ratings.
Forecast last updated:
Goal bands
Total goals distribution
0 9.8%
1 22.4%
2 26.1%
3 20.5%
4 12.2%
5+ 9.1%
Goal thresholds
Total-goal thresholds
Total 0.5 At least 90.3% Below 9.8%
Total 1.5 At least 67.9% Below 32.1%
Total 2.5 At least 41.8% Below 58.2%
Total 3.5 At least 21.3% Below 78.7%
Total 4.5 At least 9.1% Below 90.9%
Team goals
Portugal goal thresholds
Portugal 0.5 At least 75.8% Below 24.2%
Portugal 1.5 At least 41.7% Below 58.3%
Portugal 2.5 At least 17.4% Below 82.6%
Portugal 3.5 At least 5.8% Below 94.2%
Portugal 4.5 At least 1.6% Below 98.5%
Team goals
Colombia goal thresholds
Colombia 0.5 At least 60.4% Below 39.6%
Colombia 1.5 At least 23.7% Below 76.4%
Colombia 2.5 At least 6.7% Below 93.3%
Colombia 3.5 At least 1.5% Below 98.5%
Colombia 4.5 At least 0.3% Below 99.7%
Scoring frequency
Both teams scoring
Both teams score 45.9%
Portugal clean sheet 39.6%
Colombia clean sheet 24.2%
Common scorelines
Top exact scores
1 Portugal 1-0 Colombia 13.4%
2 Portugal 1-1 Colombia 12.5%
3 Portugal 0-0 Colombia 9.8%
4 Portugal 2-0 Colombia 9.6%
5 Portugal 0-1 Colombia 9.0%
6 Portugal 2-1 Colombia 8.8%
7 Portugal 1-2 Colombia 5.8%
8 Portugal 3-0 Colombia 4.6%
9 Portugal 3-1 Colombia 4.3%
10 Portugal 2-2 Colombia 4.2%
Guide
What this simulation preview shows
This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.
Score distribution
How to read the numbers
Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.
Model note
Simulation reference, not certainty
A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee.