Match analysis
Uzbekistan vs Colombia 
Match forecast and score distribution for Match 24, Group K, generated from the current simulator ratings.
Forecast last updated:
Goal bands
Total goals distribution
0 7.9%
1 19.5%
2 25.1%
3 21.9%
4 14.0%
5+ 11.6%
Goal thresholds
Total-goal thresholds
Total 0.5 At least 92.1% Below 7.9%
Total 1.5 At least 72.6% Below 27.4%
Total 2.5 At least 47.6% Below 52.4%
Total 3.5 At least 25.7% Below 74.4%
Total 4.5 At least 11.6% Below 88.4%
Team goals
Uzbekistan goal thresholds
Uzbekistan 0.5 At least 50.8% Below 49.2%
Uzbekistan 1.5 At least 16.1% Below 83.9%
Uzbekistan 2.5 At least 3.4% Below 96.6%
Uzbekistan 3.5 At least 0.5% Below 99.5%
Uzbekistan 4.5 At least 0.1% Below 99.9%
Team goals
Colombia goal thresholds
Colombia 0.5 At least 84.3% Below 15.7%
Colombia 1.5 At least 55.3% Below 44.7%
Colombia 2.5 At least 28.6% Below 71.4%
Colombia 3.5 At least 11.7% Below 88.3%
Colombia 4.5 At least 3.9% Below 96.1%
Scoring frequency
Both teams scoring
Both teams score 42.9%
Uzbekistan clean sheet 15.7%
Colombia clean sheet 49.2%
Common scorelines
Top exact scores
1 Uzbekistan 0-1 Colombia 14.2%
2 Uzbekistan 0-2 Colombia 13.1%
3 Uzbekistan 1-1 Colombia 10.0%
4 Uzbekistan 1-2 Colombia 9.4%
5 Uzbekistan 0-3 Colombia 8.3%
6 Uzbekistan 0-0 Colombia 7.9%
7 Uzbekistan 1-3 Colombia 5.9%
8 Uzbekistan 1-0 Colombia 5.3%
9 Uzbekistan 0-4 Colombia 3.9%
10 Uzbekistan 2-1 Colombia 3.7%
Guide
What this simulation preview shows
This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.
Score distribution
How to read the numbers
Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.
Model note
Simulation reference, not certainty
A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee or betting advice.