Group
Finish probabilities
1st 0%
2nd 100.0%
3rd place 0% Qualified from 3rd 0% Eliminated in 3rd 0%
4th 0%
Group A
South Africa
Bafana Bafana qualified against expectations, which is a familiar and appreciated plot. Physically athletic with legitimate counter-attacking threat. The technical quality drops off quickly beyond the starting eleven and the tactical approach can be reactive to a fault. A team that will compete in every game and may steal one.
This profile summarizes South Africa's World Cup 2026 simulation path from the latest current-state snapshot: group outlook, finish distribution, possible knockout routes, opponent pools, squad context, and title chances.
Champion 0%
Group qualification 100%
Squad market €45.8m
Avg age 26.8
Avg height 1.793m
Manager Hugo Broos
Current-state snapshot
This profile is based on 10k current-state simulations using the WC26 simulator engine. The numbers are a model snapshot, not a guarantee. Team ratings, squads and injury updates may change over time.
Latest result included: France 0-2 Spain
Guide
How to read this team profile
Group finish and stage reach values are model outputs from the latest current-state team profile snapshot. Path sections show how South Africa's route changes by group finish, while opponent pools summarize the teams most often appearing in each round.
This page uses Knockout-phase current-state snapshot using latest committed Match Updates, official locked results, current ratings, and fixed knockout bracket state as of 15 Jul 2026 1:47 PM UTC+3. Other public forecast pages may still use root compatibility datasets until they are updated separately, and custom Team Strength settings can change future tournament paths in the live simulator.
Tournament
Stage reach probabilities
R32 100%
R16 0%
QF 0%
SF 0%
Final 0%
Champion 0%
Conditional path
Path by group finish
| Finish | Sample | R32 | R16 | QF | SF | Final | Champion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | No longer possible | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2nd | 100.0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3rd | No longer possible | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Overall opponent pool
Most common opponents by round
If reached shows the opponent split among this team's matches in that round. All sims shows how often the matchup happens across the latest current-state snapshot.
R32
Canada If reached: 100.0% All sims: 100.0% Matchup win rate: 0% R16
No opponent samples.
QF
No opponent samples.
SF
No opponent samples.
Final
No opponent samples.
Finish 1st
South Africa opponent pool if finishing 1st
For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.
R32
No longer possible
R16
No longer possible
QF
No longer possible
SF
No longer possible
Final
No longer possible
Finish 2nd
South Africa opponent pool if finishing 2nd
For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.
R32
Canada If reached: 100.0% Path sims: 100.0% Matchup win rate: 0% R16
Not enough samples.
QF
Not enough samples.
SF
Not enough samples.
Final
Not enough samples.
Finish 3rd
South Africa opponent pool if finishing 3rd
For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.
R32
No longer possible
R16
No longer possible
QF
No longer possible
SF
No longer possible
Final
No longer possible
Squad
Current squad
| Pos | Player | Age | Height | Club | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GK | Sipho Chaine | 29 | 1,84m | Orlando Pirates | €1.4m |
| GK | Ronwen Williams | 34 | 1,84m | Mamelodi Sundowns FC | €900k |
| GK | Ricardo Goss | 32 | 1,81m | Siwelele Football Club | €350k |
| CB | Mbekezeli Mbokazi | 20 | 1,77m | Chicago Fire FC | €2.5m |
| LB | Samukele Kabini | 22 | 1,81m | Molde FK | €2.5m |
| CB | Ime Okon | 22 | 1,87m | Hannover 96 | €2.0m |
| CB | Olwethu Makhanya | 22 | 1,88m | Philadelphia Union | €2.0m |
| LB | Aubrey Modiba | 30 | 1,67m | Mamelodi Sundowns FC | €1.8m |
| CB | Nkosinathi Sibisi | 30 | 1,77m | Orlando Pirates | €1.6m |
| RB | Khuliso Mudau | 31 | 1,81m | Mamelodi Sundowns FC | €1.2m |
| RB | Thabang Matuludi | 27 | 1,89m | Polokwane City FC | €900k |
| RB | Kamogelo Sebelebele | 23 | 1,66m | Orlando Pirates | €850k |
| CB | Khulumani Ndamane | 22 | 1,83m | Mamelodi Sundowns FC | €800k |
| LB | Bradley Cross | 25 | 1,83m | Kaizer Chiefs | €650k |
| DM | Teboho Mokoena | 29 | 1,76m | Mamelodi Sundowns FC | €2.5m |
| CM | Thalente Mbatha | 26 | 1,80m | Orlando Pirates | €1.6m |
| CM | Jayden Adams | 25 | 1,75m | Mamelodi Sundowns FC | €1.4m |
| CM | Yaya Sithole | 27 | 1,86m | CD Tondela | €600k |
| AM | Themba Zwane | 36 | 1,79m | Mamelodi Sundowns FC | €300k |
| CF | Lyle Foster | 25 | 1,85m | Burnley FC | €10.0m |
| CF | Iqraam Rayners | 30 | 1,76m | Mamelodi Sundowns FC | €3.0m |
| CF | Evidence Makgopa | 26 | 1,88m | Orlando Pirates | €1.2m |
| LW | Oswin Appollis | 24 | 1,71m | Orlando Pirates | €2.0m |
| LW | Relebohile Mofokeng | 21 | 1,66m | Orlando Pirates | €2.0m |
| LW | Tshepang Moremi | 26 | 1,74m | Orlando Pirates | €1.0m |
| LW | Thapelo Maseko | 22 | 1,78m | AEL Limassol | €750k |
Important note: This simulator and its probability outputs are for entertainment and informational purposes only. They are not investment advice, financial advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, trade, or participate in any prediction market. No real-money contest is offered or accepted on baplab.