Match analysis

South Korea South Korea vs South Africa South Africa

Match forecast and score distribution for Match 54, Group A, generated from the current simulator ratings.

Group A Kansas City, USA

Forecast last updated:

Average score South Korea 1.97 - 0.79 South Africa Total goals average 2.76
South Korea win 64.8%
Draw 20.6%
South Africa win 14.6%

Goal bands

Total goals distribution

0 6.5%
1 17.7%
2 23.8%
3 22.0%
4 15.4%
5+ 14.7%

Goal thresholds

Total-goal thresholds

Total 0.5 At least 93.5% Below 6.5%
Total 1.5 At least 75.9% Below 24.1%
Total 2.5 At least 52.1% Below 47.9%
Total 3.5 At least 30.1% Below 69.9%
Total 4.5 At least 14.7% Below 85.3%

Team goals

South Korea goal thresholds

South Korea 0.5 At least 85.7% Below 14.3%
South Korea 1.5 At least 58.6% Below 41.5%
South Korea 2.5 At least 31.4% Below 68.6%
South Korea 3.5 At least 13.9% Below 86.1%
South Korea 4.5 At least 5.0% Below 95.1%

Team goals

South Africa goal thresholds

South Africa 0.5 At least 54.5% Below 45.5%
South Africa 1.5 At least 19.1% Below 80.9%
South Africa 2.5 At least 4.8% Below 95.2%
South Africa 3.5 At least 0.9% Below 99.1%
South Africa 4.5 At least 0.1% Below 99.9%

Scoring frequency

Both teams scoring

Both teams score 46.6%
South Korea clean sheet 45.5%
South Africa clean sheet 14.3%

Common scorelines

Top exact scores

1 South Korea 1-0 South Africa 12.5%
2 South Korea 2-0 South Africa 12.3%
3 South Korea 2-1 South Africa 9.5%
4 South Korea 1-1 South Africa 9.4%
5 South Korea 3-0 South Africa 8.0%
6 South Korea 0-0 South Africa 6.5%
7 South Korea 3-1 South Africa 6.2%
8 South Korea 0-1 South Africa 5.2%
9 South Korea 4-0 South Africa 4.0%
10 South Korea 1-2 South Africa 4.0%

Guide

What this simulation preview shows

This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.

Score distribution

How to read the numbers

Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.

Model note

Simulation reference, not certainty

A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee or betting advice.

Model note: These are simulation outputs for understanding possible score patterns. They are not betting advice or gambling guidance.