Group A

South Korea South Korea

This profile is based on 100,000 simulations using the current WC26 simulator engine. The numbers are a model snapshot, not a guarantee. Team ratings, squads and injury updates may change over time.

Champion 0.6%
Group qualification 81.1%
Squad value €142.3m
Avg age 28.3
Avg height 1.820m
Manager Hong Myung-bo

Group

Finish probabilities

1st 31.5%
2nd 30.7%
3rd qualified 19.0%
3rd not qualified 5.8%
4th 13.1%

Tournament

Stage reach probabilities

R32 81.1%
R16 42.6%
QF 17.0%
SF 5.5%
Final 1.9%
Champion 0.6%

Conditional path

Path by group finish

Finish Sample R32R16QFSFFinalChampion
1st 31.5% 100.0%53.6%19.1%6.4%2.3%0.6%
2nd 30.7% 100.0%56.8%22.6%7.4%2.4%0.8%
3rd 24.8% 76.5%33.7%16.4%4.9%1.7%0.5%

Overall opponent pool

Most common opponents by round

If reached shows the opponent split among this team's matches in that round. All sims shows how often the matchup happens across the full 100,000-simulation snapshot.

R32

Belgium Belgium If reached: 15.3% All sims: 12.4% Win rate: 36.3%
Canada Canada If reached: 12.4% All sims: 10.1% Win rate: 55.5%
Switzerland Switzerland If reached: 10.8% All sims: 8.8% Win rate: 43.8%
Bosnia-Herz. Bosnia-Herz. If reached: 10.4% All sims: 8.5% Win rate: 62.7%
Ivory Coast Ivory Coast If reached: 6.0% All sims: 4.9% Win rate: 47.0%

R16

England England If reached: 18.3% All sims: 7.8% Win rate: 25.1%
Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 12.8% All sims: 5.5% Win rate: 31.9%
Morocco Morocco If reached: 8.0% All sims: 3.4% Win rate: 42.9%
Croatia Croatia If reached: 6.7% All sims: 2.9% Win rate: 39.6%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 6.3% All sims: 2.7% Win rate: 25.8%

QF

France France If reached: 18.6% All sims: 3.2% Win rate: 20.3%
Germany Germany If reached: 11.3% All sims: 1.9% Win rate: 32.3%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 10.0% All sims: 1.7% Win rate: 25.5%
Spain Spain If reached: 9.0% All sims: 1.5% Win rate: 20.7%
Norway Norway If reached: 8.0% All sims: 1.4% Win rate: 35.6%

SF

Spain Spain If reached: 15.0% All sims: 0.8% Win rate: 17.9%
Argentina Argentina If reached: 10.6% All sims: 0.6% Win rate: 26.2%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 9.2% All sims: 0.5% Win rate: 28.0%
Belgium Belgium If reached: 7.0% All sims: 0.4% Win rate: 39.1%
France France If reached: 6.6% All sims: 0.4% Win rate: 23.4%

Final

Spain Spain If reached: 11.4% All sims: 0.2% Win rate: 13.6%
France France If reached: 11.0% All sims: 0.2% Win rate: 24.8%
Argentina Argentina If reached: 9.7% All sims: 0.2% Win rate: 25.1%
England England If reached: 9.5% All sims: 0.2% Win rate: 16.8%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 8.8% All sims: 0.2% Win rate: 32.5%

Finish 1st

South Korea opponent pool if finishing 1st

For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.

R32

Ivory Coast Ivory Coast If reached: 14.9% Path sims: 14.9% Win rate: 47.0%
Ecuador Ecuador If reached: 14.0% Path sims: 14.0% Win rate: 44.8%
Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia If reached: 11.8% Path sims: 11.8% Win rate: 73.8%
Scotland Scotland If reached: 10.4% Path sims: 10.4% Win rate: 57.3%
Cape Verde Cape Verde If reached: 10.2% Path sims: 10.2% Win rate: 75.3%

R16

England England If reached: 46.2% Path sims: 24.7% Win rate: 25.1%
Croatia Croatia If reached: 17.1% Path sims: 9.1% Win rate: 39.6%
Colombia Colombia If reached: 6.2% Path sims: 3.3% Win rate: 40.4%
DR Congo DR Congo If reached: 5.9% Path sims: 3.2% Win rate: 61.6%
Senegal Senegal If reached: 4.2% Path sims: 2.2% Win rate: 48.6%

QF

Brazil Brazil If reached: 26.2% Path sims: 5.0% Win rate: 25.5%
France France If reached: 13.0% Path sims: 2.5% Win rate: 20.3%
Norway Norway If reached: 12.4% Path sims: 2.4% Win rate: 34.7%
Germany Germany If reached: 8.6% Path sims: 1.6% Win rate: 31.8%
Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 8.1% Path sims: 1.5% Win rate: 35.5%

SF

Argentina Argentina If reached: 23.9% Path sims: 1.5% Win rate: 25.5%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 17.4% Path sims: 1.1% Win rate: 26.8%
Spain Spain If reached: 8.1% Path sims: 0.5% Win rate: 18.3%
Uruguay Uruguay If reached: 7.4% Path sims: 0.5% Win rate: 44.0%
Switzerland Switzerland If reached: 6.1% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 44.7%

Final

Spain Spain If reached: 20.3% Path sims: 0.5% Win rate: 12.4%
France France If reached: 15.5% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 23.4%
Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 6.8% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 34.7%
Germany Germany If reached: 6.4% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 30.4%
Belgium Belgium If reached: 6.3% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 31.1%

Finish 2nd

South Korea opponent pool if finishing 2nd

For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.

R32

Canada Canada If reached: 32.9% Path sims: 32.9% Win rate: 55.5%
Switzerland Switzerland If reached: 28.6% Path sims: 28.6% Win rate: 43.8%
Bosnia-Herz. Bosnia-Herz. If reached: 27.6% Path sims: 27.6% Win rate: 62.7%
Qatar Qatar If reached: 10.9% Path sims: 10.9% Win rate: 79.7%

R16

Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 31.1% Path sims: 17.7% Win rate: 31.9%
Morocco Morocco If reached: 19.6% Path sims: 11.2% Win rate: 43.0%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 15.5% Path sims: 8.8% Win rate: 25.8%
Japan Japan If reached: 13.0% Path sims: 7.4% Win rate: 46.0%
Sweden Sweden If reached: 10.0% Path sims: 5.7% Win rate: 48.8%

QF

France France If reached: 34.4% Path sims: 7.8% Win rate: 20.2%
Germany Germany If reached: 20.4% Path sims: 4.6% Win rate: 32.5%
Norway Norway If reached: 8.8% Path sims: 2.0% Win rate: 36.6%
Ecuador Ecuador If reached: 4.9% Path sims: 1.1% Win rate: 40.7%
Ivory Coast Ivory Coast If reached: 4.3% Path sims: 1.0% Win rate: 46.4%

SF

Spain Spain If reached: 28.7% Path sims: 2.1% Win rate: 17.5%
Belgium Belgium If reached: 12.7% Path sims: 0.9% Win rate: 35.9%
England England If reached: 7.3% Path sims: 0.5% Win rate: 24.4%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 6.8% Path sims: 0.5% Win rate: 31.4%
Croatia Croatia If reached: 5.4% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 35.0%

Final

Argentina Argentina If reached: 15.2% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 23.2%
England England If reached: 13.6% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 21.0%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 10.7% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 39.2%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 9.8% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 23.6%
France France If reached: 8.0% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 27.1%

Finish 3rd

South Korea opponent pool if finishing 3rd

For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.

R32

Belgium Belgium If reached: 65.6% Path sims: 50.2% Win rate: 36.3%
Egypt Egypt If reached: 20.9% Path sims: 16.0% Win rate: 57.1%
Iran Iran If reached: 6.3% Path sims: 4.8% Win rate: 72.3%
New Zealand New Zealand If reached: 2.7% Path sims: 2.1% Win rate: 80.3%
Germany Germany If reached: 2.3% Path sims: 1.7% Win rate: 28.0%

R16

USA USA If reached: 24.0% Path sims: 8.1% Win rate: 42.9%
Türkiye Türkiye If reached: 22.7% Path sims: 7.7% Win rate: 42.2%
Paraguay Paraguay If reached: 8.0% Path sims: 2.7% Win rate: 58.4%
Bosnia-Herz. Bosnia-Herz. If reached: 7.6% Path sims: 2.6% Win rate: 64.8%
Canada Canada If reached: 7.4% Path sims: 2.5% Win rate: 53.0%

QF

Spain Spain If reached: 37.7% Path sims: 6.2% Win rate: 20.6%
England England If reached: 10.0% Path sims: 1.6% Win rate: 26.4%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 8.6% Path sims: 1.4% Win rate: 26.4%
Croatia Croatia If reached: 8.5% Path sims: 1.4% Win rate: 39.6%
Colombia Colombia If reached: 7.9% Path sims: 1.3% Win rate: 36.4%

SF

France France If reached: 26.3% Path sims: 1.3% Win rate: 24.0%
Germany Germany If reached: 11.0% Path sims: 0.5% Win rate: 37.3%
Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 10.9% Path sims: 0.5% Win rate: 27.1%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 8.9% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 20.2%
Norway Norway If reached: 5.8% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 33.8%

Final

England England If reached: 12.7% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 11.1%
Argentina Argentina If reached: 12.5% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 34.0%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 11.8% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 34.0%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 10.1% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 25.6%
France France If reached: 8.5% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 25.0%

Squad

Current squad

26 players
Pos Player Age Height Club Value
GK Bum-keun Song 28 1,94m Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors €1.0m
GK Hyeon-woo Jo 34 1,89m Ulsan HD FC €650k
GK Seung-gyu Kim 35 1,89m FC Tokyo €600k
CB Min-jae Kim 29 1,90m Bayern Munich €20.0m
RB Young-woo Seol 28 1,83m Red Star Belgrade €5.0m
CB Han-beom Lee 23 1,90m FC Midtjylland €3.0m
LB Tae-seok Lee 23 1,74m Austria Vienna €2.0m
CB Yu-min Cho 29 1,85m Sharjah FC €1.7m
CB Gi-hyuk Lee 25 1,84m Gangwon FC €800k
RB Moon-hwan Kim 30 1,73m Daejeon Hana Citizen €750k
CB Tae-hyeon Kim 25 1,87m Kashima Antlers €700k
DM In-beom Hwang 29 1,77m Feyenoord Rotterdam €7.0m
DM Jin-seob Park 30 1,82m Zhejiang FC €1.0m
CM Jens Castrop 22 1,77m Borussia Mönchengladbach €10.0m
CM Seung-ho Paik 29 1,82m Birmingham City €2.0m
CM Jin-gyu Kim 29 1,77m Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors €1.2m
RW Hyun-jun Yang 24 1,76m Celtic FC €5.0m
AM Kang-in Lee 25 1,73m Paris Saint-Germain €28.0m
AM Jun-ho Bae 22 1,80m Stoke City €4.0m
AM Jae-sung Lee 33 1,80m 1.FSV Mainz 05 €2.0m
AM Dong-gyeong Lee 28 1,76m Ulsan HD FC €1.6m
CF Hyeon-gyu Oh 25 1,87m Besiktas JK €15.0m
CF Hee-chan Hwang 30 1,77m Wolverhampton Wanderers €8.0m
CF Gue-sung Cho 28 1,88m FC Midtjylland €2.5m
LW Heung-min Son 33 1,83m Los Angeles FC €17.0m
LW Ji-sung Eom 24 1,78m Swansea City €1.8m