Match analysis

South Korea South Korea vs Czechia Czechia

Match forecast and score distribution for Match 2, Group A, generated from the current simulator ratings.

Group A Guadalajara, Mexico

Forecast reference: Jun 10, 2026

Official result is now known: South Korea 2-1 Czechia ยท Final. This page shows the model's simulated score distribution for comparison.

Average score South Korea 1.41 - 1.15 Czechia Total goals average 2.56
South Korea win 42.9%
Draw 26.5%
Czechia win 30.6%

Goal bands

Total goals distribution

0 7.6%
1 20.2%
2 25.1%
3 21.8%
4 13.8%
5+ 11.6%

Goal thresholds

Total-goal thresholds

Total 0.5 At least 92.4% Below 7.6%
Total 1.5 At least 72.2% Below 27.8%
Total 2.5 At least 47.1% Below 52.9%
Total 3.5 At least 25.4% Below 74.6%
Total 4.5 At least 11.6% Below 88.5%

Team goals

South Korea goal thresholds

South Korea 0.5 At least 75.6% Below 24.4%
South Korea 1.5 At least 41.1% Below 58.9%
South Korea 2.5 At least 17.1% Below 82.9%
South Korea 3.5 At least 5.5% Below 94.5%
South Korea 4.5 At least 1.5% Below 98.5%

Team goals

Czechia goal thresholds

Czechia 0.5 At least 68.5% Below 31.5%
Czechia 1.5 At least 31.5% Below 68.5%
Czechia 2.5 At least 10.7% Below 89.3%
Czechia 3.5 At least 3.0% Below 97.0%
Czechia 4.5 At least 0.7% Below 99.3%

Scoring frequency

Both teams scoring

Both teams score 51.7%
South Korea clean sheet 31.5%
Czechia clean sheet 24.4%

Common scorelines

Top exact scores

1 South Korea 1-1 Czechia 12.7%
2 South Korea 1-0 Czechia 10.9%
3 South Korea 0-1 Czechia 9.3%
4 South Korea 2-1 Czechia 8.9%
5 South Korea 0-0 Czechia 7.6%
6 South Korea 2-0 Czechia 7.5%
7 South Korea 1-2 Czechia 7.3%
8 South Korea 2-2 Czechia 5.1%
9 South Korea 0-2 Czechia 4.9%
10 South Korea 3-1 Czechia 4.1%

Guide

What this simulation preview shows

This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.

Score distribution

How to read the numbers

Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.

Model note

Simulation reference, not certainty

A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee or betting advice.

Model note: These are simulation outputs for understanding possible score patterns. They are not betting advice or gambling guidance.