Group A

Czechia Czechia

This profile is based on 100,000 simulations using the current WC26 simulator engine. The numbers are a model snapshot, not a guarantee. Team ratings, squads and injury updates may change over time.

Champion 0.2%
Group qualification 71.4%
Squad value €190.2m
Avg age 27.6
Avg height 1.846m
Manager Miroslav Koubek

Group

Finish probabilities

1st 21.2%
2nd 27.7%
3rd qualified 22.6%
3rd not qualified 8.0%
4th 20.5%

Tournament

Stage reach probabilities

R32 71.4%
R16 32.8%
QF 11.6%
SF 3.2%
Final 0.9%
Champion 0.2%

Conditional path

Path by group finish

Finish Sample R32R16QFSFFinalChampion
1st 21.2% 100.0%48.3%15.0%4.3%1.2%0.3%
2nd 27.7% 100.0%50.3%17.1%4.8%1.4%0.4%
3rd 30.6% 73.8%28.2%12.1%3.2%0.9%0.2%

Overall opponent pool

Most common opponents by round

If reached shows the opponent split among this team's matches in that round. All sims shows how often the matchup happens across the full 100,000-simulation snapshot.

R32

Belgium Belgium If reached: 20.7% All sims: 14.8% Win rate: 29.9%
Canada Canada If reached: 12.5% All sims: 8.9% Win rate: 48.0%
Switzerland Switzerland If reached: 11.0% All sims: 7.9% Win rate: 39.6%
Bosnia-Herz. Bosnia-Herz. If reached: 11.0% All sims: 7.8% Win rate: 54.9%
Egypt Egypt If reached: 6.6% All sims: 4.7% Win rate: 52.5%

R16

England England If reached: 14.2% All sims: 4.7% Win rate: 21.2%
Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 13.2% All sims: 4.3% Win rate: 28.1%
Morocco Morocco If reached: 8.3% All sims: 2.7% Win rate: 36.0%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 6.8% All sims: 2.2% Win rate: 21.5%
USA USA If reached: 6.0% All sims: 2.0% Win rate: 38.4%

QF

France France If reached: 17.6% All sims: 2.0% Win rate: 17.0%
Spain Spain If reached: 12.3% All sims: 1.4% Win rate: 16.6%
Germany Germany If reached: 10.2% All sims: 1.2% Win rate: 27.8%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 8.4% All sims: 1.0% Win rate: 22.8%
Norway Norway If reached: 6.8% All sims: 0.8% Win rate: 27.9%

SF

Spain Spain If reached: 15.4% All sims: 0.5% Win rate: 16.6%
Argentina Argentina If reached: 9.3% All sims: 0.3% Win rate: 19.6%
France France If reached: 8.3% All sims: 0.3% Win rate: 18.0%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 7.5% All sims: 0.2% Win rate: 23.8%
Belgium Belgium If reached: 5.9% All sims: 0.2% Win rate: 31.2%

Final

Argentina Argentina If reached: 12.9% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 20.7%
England England If reached: 9.9% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 18.0%
France France If reached: 9.9% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 20.2%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 9.5% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 22.4%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 7.8% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 25.7%

Finish 1st

Czechia opponent pool if finishing 1st

For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.

R32

Ivory Coast Ivory Coast If reached: 15.1% Path sims: 15.1% Win rate: 41.2%
Ecuador Ecuador If reached: 14.0% Path sims: 14.0% Win rate: 39.2%
Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia If reached: 11.8% Path sims: 11.8% Win rate: 69.6%
Cape Verde Cape Verde If reached: 10.5% Path sims: 10.5% Win rate: 71.4%
Scotland Scotland If reached: 10.0% Path sims: 10.0% Win rate: 51.7%

R16

England England If reached: 45.6% Path sims: 22.0% Win rate: 21.2%
Croatia Croatia If reached: 16.2% Path sims: 7.8% Win rate: 33.9%
Colombia Colombia If reached: 6.7% Path sims: 3.2% Win rate: 34.4%
DR Congo DR Congo If reached: 5.6% Path sims: 2.7% Win rate: 54.8%
Senegal Senegal If reached: 4.9% Path sims: 2.4% Win rate: 40.6%

QF

Brazil Brazil If reached: 27.7% Path sims: 4.1% Win rate: 22.7%
France France If reached: 12.8% Path sims: 1.9% Win rate: 17.4%
Norway Norway If reached: 11.7% Path sims: 1.8% Win rate: 28.8%
Germany Germany If reached: 7.7% Path sims: 1.2% Win rate: 27.0%
Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 7.3% Path sims: 1.1% Win rate: 23.8%

SF

Argentina Argentina If reached: 25.6% Path sims: 1.1% Win rate: 20.3%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 17.9% Path sims: 0.8% Win rate: 23.5%
Spain Spain If reached: 7.3% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 6.1%
Uruguay Uruguay If reached: 6.4% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 39.7%
Switzerland Switzerland If reached: 5.9% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 34.0%

Final

Spain Spain If reached: 15.8% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 17.5%
France France If reached: 15.4% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 25.6%
Germany Germany If reached: 7.1% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 11.1%
Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 6.3% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 31.3%
Argentina Argentina If reached: 6.3% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 25.0%

Finish 2nd

Czechia opponent pool if finishing 2nd

For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.

R32

Canada Canada If reached: 32.3% Path sims: 32.3% Win rate: 48.0%
Switzerland Switzerland If reached: 28.5% Path sims: 28.5% Win rate: 39.6%
Bosnia-Herz. Bosnia-Herz. If reached: 28.3% Path sims: 28.3% Win rate: 54.9%
Qatar Qatar If reached: 10.9% Path sims: 10.9% Win rate: 73.7%

R16

Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 30.9% Path sims: 15.6% Win rate: 28.0%
Morocco Morocco If reached: 19.5% Path sims: 9.8% Win rate: 36.0%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 16.0% Path sims: 8.0% Win rate: 21.5%
Japan Japan If reached: 13.0% Path sims: 6.6% Win rate: 37.2%
Sweden Sweden If reached: 10.1% Path sims: 5.1% Win rate: 42.5%

QF

France France If reached: 34.7% Path sims: 5.9% Win rate: 16.9%
Germany Germany If reached: 19.8% Path sims: 3.4% Win rate: 27.9%
Norway Norway If reached: 8.9% Path sims: 1.5% Win rate: 27.0%
Ecuador Ecuador If reached: 4.9% Path sims: 0.8% Win rate: 40.7%
Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 4.3% Path sims: 0.7% Win rate: 22.7%

SF

Spain Spain If reached: 31.4% Path sims: 1.5% Win rate: 18.6%
Belgium Belgium If reached: 10.5% Path sims: 0.5% Win rate: 30.9%
England England If reached: 6.8% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 20.0%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 5.8% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 24.7%
USA USA If reached: 5.3% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 38.6%

Final

Argentina Argentina If reached: 16.6% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 17.5%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 13.7% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 23.1%
England England If reached: 11.8% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 22.2%
France France If reached: 9.2% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 17.1%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 8.9% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 29.4%

Finish 3rd

Czechia opponent pool if finishing 3rd

For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.

R32

Belgium Belgium If reached: 65.3% Path sims: 48.2% Win rate: 29.9%
Egypt Egypt If reached: 21.0% Path sims: 15.5% Win rate: 52.5%
Iran Iran If reached: 6.5% Path sims: 4.8% Win rate: 66.1%
New Zealand New Zealand If reached: 2.6% Path sims: 1.9% Win rate: 71.9%
Germany Germany If reached: 2.4% Path sims: 1.8% Win rate: 25.6%

R16

USA USA If reached: 22.9% Path sims: 6.5% Win rate: 38.4%
Türkiye Türkiye If reached: 22.3% Path sims: 6.3% Win rate: 34.7%
Bosnia-Herz. Bosnia-Herz. If reached: 8.1% Path sims: 2.3% Win rate: 58.3%
Paraguay Paraguay If reached: 7.9% Path sims: 2.2% Win rate: 53.4%
Canada Canada If reached: 7.6% Path sims: 2.1% Win rate: 52.3%

QF

Spain Spain If reached: 38.1% Path sims: 4.6% Win rate: 16.7%
England England If reached: 9.7% Path sims: 1.2% Win rate: 22.9%
Croatia Croatia If reached: 9.0% Path sims: 1.1% Win rate: 29.2%
Colombia Colombia If reached: 8.2% Path sims: 1.0% Win rate: 33.7%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 7.9% Path sims: 1.0% Win rate: 25.6%

SF

France France If reached: 25.6% Path sims: 0.8% Win rate: 18.9%
Germany Germany If reached: 11.7% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 21.1%
Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 10.7% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 22.1%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 8.2% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 23.8%
Morocco Morocco If reached: 6.7% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 26.2%

Final

Argentina Argentina If reached: 14.0% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 24.3%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 12.5% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 24.2%
England England If reached: 12.1% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 15.6%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 9.5% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 24.0%
France France If reached: 5.7% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 13.3%

Squad

Current squad

26 players
Pos Player Age Height Club Value
GK Lukas Hornicek 23 1,98m SC Braga €18.0m
GK Matěj Kovář 26 1,96m PSV Eindhoven €8.0m
GK Jindřich Staněk 30 1,92m SK Slavia Prague €2.0m
CB Ladislav Krejčí 27 1,91m Wolverhampton Wanderers €22.0m
CB Robin Hranáč 26 1,90m TSG 1899 Hoffenheim €10.0m
CB Stepan Chaloupek 23 1,88m SK Slavia Prague €10.0m
CB David Zima 25 1,88m SK Slavia Prague €7.0m
CB Tomáš Holeš 33 1,80m SK Slavia Prague €1.0m
CB Jaroslav Zelený 33 1,90m AC Sparta Prague €600k
LB David Jurásek 25 1,83m SK Slavia Prague €5.0m
RB Vladimír Coufal 33 1,74m TSG 1899 Hoffenheim €2.5m
DM Tomáš Souček 31 1,92m West Ham United €12.0m
CM Michal Sadílek 27 1,69m SK Slavia Prague €8.0m
CM Lukáš Cerv 25 1,78m FC Viktoria Plzen €6.0m
CM Hugo Sochurek 18 1,76m AC Sparta Prague €3.5m
CM Alexandr Sojka 23 1,74m FC Viktoria Plzen €2.3m
CM Vladimír Darida 35 1,72m FC Hradec Kralove €375k
RM David Doudera 28 1,78m SK Slavia Prague €3.5m
AM Pavel Sulc 25 1,77m Olympique Lyon €20.0m
AM Denis Visinsky 23 1,76m FC Viktoria Plzen €3.0m
LW Lukáš Provod 29 1,89m SK Slavia Prague €8.0m
CF Patrik Schick 30 1,91m Bayer 04 Leverkusen €18.0m
CF Adam Hlozek 23 1,87m TSG 1899 Hoffenheim €10.0m
CF Mojmír Chytil 27 1,87m SK Slavia Prague €4.0m
CF Jan Kuchta 29 1,85m AC Sparta Prague €2.7m
CF Tomas Chory 31 1,99m SK Slavia Prague €2.7m