Match analysis

South Africa South Africa vs Czechia Czechia

Match forecast and score distribution for Match 25, Group A, generated from the current simulator ratings.

Group A Atlanta, USA

Forecast last updated:

Average score South Africa 0.85 - 1.78 Czechia Total goals average 2.63
South Africa win 17.6%
Draw 22.7%
Czechia win 59.7%

Goal bands

Total goals distribution

0 7.1%
1 18.9%
2 25.4%
3 21.7%
4 14.3%
5+ 12.6%

Goal thresholds

Total-goal thresholds

Total 0.5 At least 92.9% Below 7.1%
Total 1.5 At least 74.0% Below 26.0%
Total 2.5 At least 48.7% Below 51.3%
Total 3.5 At least 26.9% Below 73.1%
Total 4.5 At least 12.6% Below 87.4%

Team goals

South Africa goal thresholds

South Africa 0.5 At least 56.9% Below 43.1%
South Africa 1.5 At least 21.2% Below 78.8%
South Africa 2.5 At least 5.5% Below 94.5%
South Africa 3.5 At least 1.3% Below 98.7%
South Africa 4.5 At least 0.2% Below 99.8%

Team goals

Czechia goal thresholds

Czechia 0.5 At least 83.3% Below 16.7%
Czechia 1.5 At least 53.2% Below 46.8%
Czechia 2.5 At least 26.1% Below 73.9%
Czechia 3.5 At least 10.6% Below 89.4%
Czechia 4.5 At least 3.4% Below 96.6%

Scoring frequency

Both teams scoring

Both teams score 47.3%
South Africa clean sheet 16.7%
Czechia clean sheet 43.1%

Common scorelines

Top exact scores

1 South Africa 0-1 Czechia 13.0%
2 South Africa 0-2 Czechia 11.9%
3 South Africa 1-1 Czechia 10.7%
4 South Africa 1-2 Czechia 9.7%
5 South Africa 0-0 Czechia 7.1%
6 South Africa 0-3 Czechia 6.6%
7 South Africa 1-0 Czechia 5.9%
8 South Africa 1-3 Czechia 5.7%
9 South Africa 2-1 Czechia 4.7%
10 South Africa 2-2 Czechia 4.1%

Guide

What this simulation preview shows

This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.

Score distribution

How to read the numbers

Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.

Model note

Simulation reference, not certainty

A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee or betting advice.

Model note: These are simulation outputs for understanding possible score patterns. They are not betting advice or gambling guidance.