Match analysis
Mexico vs South Korea 
Match forecast and score distribution for Match 28, Group A, generated from the current simulator ratings.
Forecast last updated:
Goal bands
Total goals distribution
0 8.7%
1 20.7%
2 26.4%
3 20.9%
4 13.0%
5+ 10.3%
Goal thresholds
Total-goal thresholds
Total 0.5 At least 91.3% Below 8.7%
Total 1.5 At least 70.6% Below 29.4%
Total 2.5 At least 44.3% Below 55.8%
Total 3.5 At least 23.3% Below 76.7%
Total 4.5 At least 10.3% Below 89.7%
Team goals
Mexico goal thresholds
Mexico 0.5 At least 73.5% Below 26.5%
Mexico 1.5 At least 38.1% Below 61.9%
Mexico 2.5 At least 14.6% Below 85.4%
Mexico 3.5 At least 4.4% Below 95.6%
Mexico 4.5 At least 1.1% Below 98.9%
Team goals
South Korea goal thresholds
South Korea 0.5 At least 67.8% Below 32.2%
South Korea 1.5 At least 31.5% Below 68.5%
South Korea 2.5 At least 10.6% Below 89.4%
South Korea 3.5 At least 2.8% Below 97.2%
South Korea 4.5 At least 0.6% Below 99.5%
Scoring frequency
Both teams scoring
Both teams score 50.0%
Mexico clean sheet 32.2%
South Korea clean sheet 26.5%
Common scorelines
Top exact scores
1 Mexico 1-1 South Korea 13.1%
2 Mexico 1-0 South Korea 11.3%
3 Mexico 0-1 South Korea 9.5%
4 Mexico 0-0 South Korea 8.7%
5 Mexico 2-1 South Korea 8.5%
6 Mexico 2-0 South Korea 7.6%
7 Mexico 1-2 South Korea 7.2%
8 Mexico 0-2 South Korea 5.6%
9 Mexico 2-2 South Korea 4.9%
10 Mexico 3-1 South Korea 3.8%
Guide
What this simulation preview shows
This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.
Score distribution
How to read the numbers
Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.
Model note
Simulation reference, not certainty
A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee or betting advice.