Group H

Cape Verde Cape Verde

This profile is based on 100,000 simulations using the current WC26 simulator engine. The numbers are a model snapshot, not a guarantee. Team ratings, squads and injury updates may change over time.

Champion 0.0%
Group qualification 27.9%
Squad value €56.2m
Avg age 29.7
Avg height 1.818m
Manager Bubista

Group

Finish probabilities

1st 1.3%
2nd 9.6%
3rd qualified 16.9%
3rd not qualified 21.9%
4th 50.3%

Tournament

Stage reach probabilities

R32 27.9%
R16 5.1%
QF 1.0%
SF 0.2%
Final 0.0%
Champion 0.0%

Conditional path

Path by group finish

Finish Sample R32R16QFSFFinalChampion
1st 1.3% 100.0%24.8%3.8%0.7%0.2%0.0%
2nd 9.6% 100.0%12.5%3.2%0.6%0.1%0.0%
3rd 38.8% 43.6%9.3%1.7%0.2%0.0%0.0%

Overall opponent pool

Most common opponents by round

If reached shows the opponent split among this team's matches in that round. All sims shows how often the matchup happens across the full 100,000-simulation snapshot.

R32

Argentina Argentina If reached: 25.9% All sims: 7.2% Win rate: 7.7%
Mexico Mexico If reached: 15.4% All sims: 4.3% Win rate: 19.6%
South Korea South Korea If reached: 11.6% All sims: 3.2% Win rate: 24.7%
Belgium Belgium If reached: 9.7% All sims: 2.7% Win rate: 13.8%
Czechia Czechia If reached: 8.0% All sims: 2.2% Win rate: 28.6%

R16

England England If reached: 25.1% All sims: 1.3% Win rate: 11.1%
Croatia Croatia If reached: 9.4% All sims: 0.5% Win rate: 18.4%
USA USA If reached: 8.4% All sims: 0.4% Win rate: 19.9%
Türkiye Türkiye If reached: 8.2% All sims: 0.4% Win rate: 16.4%
Paraguay Paraguay If reached: 4.7% All sims: 0.2% Win rate: 29.1%

QF

Portugal Portugal If reached: 12.5% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 15.1%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 12.0% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 5.8%
Norway Norway If reached: 7.0% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 11.4%
France France If reached: 6.4% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 3.1%
Spain Spain If reached: 5.3% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 3.8%

SF

England England If reached: 9.4% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Argentina Argentina If reached: 8.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 7.7%
Spain Spain If reached: 7.5% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 8.3%
France France If reached: 7.5% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 8.3%
Germany Germany If reached: 6.3% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 10.0%

Final

France France If reached: 25.0% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Spain Spain If reached: 10.0% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Argentina Argentina If reached: 10.0% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
England England If reached: 10.0% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Mexico Mexico If reached: 10.0% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%

Finish 1st

Cape Verde opponent pool if finishing 1st

For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.

R32

Austria Austria If reached: 43.1% Path sims: 43.1% Win rate: 24.4%
Algeria Algeria If reached: 30.6% Path sims: 30.6% Win rate: 29.8%
Argentina Argentina If reached: 20.2% Path sims: 20.2% Win rate: 6.8%
Jordan Jordan If reached: 6.1% Path sims: 6.1% Win rate: 61.3%

R16

Croatia Croatia If reached: 24.5% Path sims: 6.1% Win rate: 12.7%
England England If reached: 22.6% Path sims: 5.6% Win rate: 8.2%
Colombia Colombia If reached: 18.0% Path sims: 4.5% Win rate: 12.1%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 17.6% Path sims: 4.4% Win rate: 10.5%
Ghana Ghana If reached: 8.0% Path sims: 2.0% Win rate: 38.5%

QF

Belgium Belgium If reached: 20.4% Path sims: 0.8% Win rate: 20.0%
Türkiye Türkiye If reached: 12.2% Path sims: 0.5% Win rate: 16.7%
Bosnia-Herz. Bosnia-Herz. If reached: 10.2% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 0.0%
Czechia Czechia If reached: 8.2% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 25.0%
USA USA If reached: 8.2% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 50.0%

SF

Japan Japan If reached: 22.2% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 50.0%
France France If reached: 22.2% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 0.0%
Switzerland Switzerland If reached: 11.1% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Morocco Morocco If reached: 11.1% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 100.0%
Germany Germany If reached: 11.1% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 0.0%

Final

Colombia Colombia If reached: 33.3% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Sweden Sweden If reached: 33.3% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Japan Japan If reached: 33.3% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 0.0%

Finish 2nd

Cape Verde opponent pool if finishing 2nd

For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.

R32

Argentina Argentina If reached: 72.3% Path sims: 72.3% Win rate: 7.7%
Austria Austria If reached: 17.1% Path sims: 17.1% Win rate: 21.8%
Algeria Algeria If reached: 9.9% Path sims: 9.9% Win rate: 28.8%
Jordan Jordan If reached: 0.7% Path sims: 0.7% Win rate: 50.0%

R16

USA USA If reached: 19.2% Path sims: 2.4% Win rate: 18.5%
Türkiye Türkiye If reached: 19.0% Path sims: 2.4% Win rate: 18.3%
Egypt Egypt If reached: 19.0% Path sims: 2.4% Win rate: 29.3%
Paraguay Paraguay If reached: 14.2% Path sims: 1.8% Win rate: 28.7%
Belgium Belgium If reached: 14.0% Path sims: 1.8% Win rate: 17.2%

QF

Portugal Portugal If reached: 35.4% Path sims: 1.1% Win rate: 15.6%
Switzerland Switzerland If reached: 14.0% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 20.9%
Colombia Colombia If reached: 8.8% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 14.8%
Canada Canada If reached: 5.2% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 43.8%
Norway Norway If reached: 4.2% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 7.7%

SF

England England If reached: 22.0% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 11.9% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Norway Norway If reached: 10.2% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Croatia Croatia If reached: 10.2% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 16.7%
France France If reached: 10.2% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 0.0%

Final

France France If reached: 33.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Spain Spain If reached: 33.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Belgium Belgium If reached: 16.7% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Mexico Mexico If reached: 16.7% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%

Finish 3rd

Cape Verde opponent pool if finishing 3rd

For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.

R32

Mexico Mexico If reached: 25.4% Path sims: 11.1% Win rate: 19.6%
South Korea South Korea If reached: 19.0% Path sims: 8.3% Win rate: 24.7%
Belgium Belgium If reached: 15.9% Path sims: 6.9% Win rate: 13.8%
Czechia Czechia If reached: 13.2% Path sims: 5.7% Win rate: 28.6%
France France If reached: 9.0% Path sims: 3.9% Win rate: 7.0%

R16

England England If reached: 33.8% Path sims: 3.1% Win rate: 11.3%
Croatia Croatia If reached: 11.2% Path sims: 1.0% Win rate: 19.5%
USA USA If reached: 5.5% Path sims: 0.5% Win rate: 21.5%
Türkiye Türkiye If reached: 5.3% Path sims: 0.5% Win rate: 14.1%
Senegal Senegal If reached: 4.4% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 25.2%

QF

Brazil Brazil If reached: 18.6% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 5.8%
France France If reached: 9.4% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 3.3%
Norway Norway If reached: 8.8% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 12.3%
Spain Spain If reached: 7.7% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 4.0%
Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 7.1% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 15.2%

SF

Argentina Argentina If reached: 14.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 7.7%
Spain Spain If reached: 13.0% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 8.3%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 8.7% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 12.5%
Türkiye Türkiye If reached: 7.6% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 42.9%
Switzerland Switzerland If reached: 6.5% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%

Final

France France If reached: 27.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Argentina Argentina If reached: 18.2% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
England England If reached: 18.2% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 9.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Switzerland Switzerland If reached: 9.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%

Squad

Current squad

26 players
Pos Player Age Height Club Value
GK CJ Dos Santos 25 1,94m San Diego FC €1.2m
GK Márcio Rosa 29 1,87m Montana €350k
GK Vozinha 40 1,89m GD Chaves €50k
CB Logan Costa 25 1,90m Villarreal CF €18.0m
RB Wagner Pina 24 1,80m Trabzonspor €11.0m
RB Sidny Lopes Cabral 23 1,76m SL Benfica €4.0m
RB Steven Moreira 31 1,80m Columbus Crew €1.5m
CB Diney Borges 31 1,85m Al-Bataeh CSC €900k
CB Kelvin Pires 26 1,93m SJK Seinäjoki €300k
CB Roberto Lopes 33 1,86m Shamrock Rovers €250k
CB Stopira 38 1,80m SC União Torreense €50k
DM Kevin Lenini 29 1,81m FC Krasnodar €5.0m
DM Laros Duarte 29 1,80m Puskás Akadémia FC €1.0m
DM João Paulo 28 1,80m FCSB €700k
CM Deroy Duarte 26 1,77m Ludogorets Razgrad €1.8m
CM Jamiro Monteiro 32 1,75m PEC Zwolle €650k
CM Yannick Semedo 30 1,71m SC Farense €300k
CF Benchimol 24 1,87m Akron Tolyatti €1.2m
CF Dailon Livramento 25 1,85m Casa Pia AC €800k
CF Nuno Da Costa 35 1,84m Basaksehir FK €400k
RW Telmo Arcanjo 24 1,80m Vitória Guimarães SC €3.0m
LW Hélio Varela 24 1,76m Maccabi Tel Aviv €1.2m
LW Willy Semedo 32 1,85m Omonia Nicosia €1.0m
LW Jovane Cabral 28 1,74m CF Estrela Amadora €1.0m
RW Garry Rodrigues 35 1,73m Apollon Limassol €325k
LW Ryan Mendes 36 1,78m Igdir FK €200k