Group H

Spain Spain

This profile is based on 100,000 simulations using the current WC26 simulator engine. The numbers are a model snapshot, not a guarantee. Team ratings, squads and injury updates may change over time.

Champion 15.3%
Group qualification 99.1%
Squad value €1.27b
Avg age 26.8
Avg height 1.815m
Manager Luis de la Fuente

Group

Finish probabilities

1st 74.4%
2nd 22.0%
3rd qualified 2.7%
3rd not qualified 0.4%
4th 0.5%

Tournament

Stage reach probabilities

R32 99.1%
R16 72.3%
QF 51.7%
SF 37.9%
Final 24.5%
Champion 15.3%

Conditional path

Path by group finish

Finish Sample R32R16QFSFFinalChampion
1st 74.4% 100.0%75.8%52.8%39.3%25.4%15.8%
2nd 22.0% 100.0%63.3%50.5%35.2%22.5%14.5%
3rd 3.1% 86.2%65.3%44.1%29.0%19.4%12.8%

Overall opponent pool

Most common opponents by round

If reached shows the opponent split among this team's matches in that round. All sims shows how often the matchup happens across the full 100,000-simulation snapshot.

R32

Austria Austria If reached: 35.8% All sims: 35.5% Win rate: 77.3%
Argentina Argentina If reached: 31.7% All sims: 31.4% Win rate: 56.2%
Algeria Algeria If reached: 25.8% All sims: 25.6% Win rate: 83.8%
Jordan Jordan If reached: 3.9% All sims: 3.9% Win rate: 96.7%
Mexico Mexico If reached: 0.7% All sims: 0.7% Win rate: 72.7%

R16

Croatia Croatia If reached: 18.4% All sims: 13.3% Win rate: 70.7%
Colombia Colombia If reached: 17.1% All sims: 12.4% Win rate: 72.0%
England England If reached: 14.8% All sims: 10.7% Win rate: 56.0%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 13.5% All sims: 9.8% Win rate: 59.0%
Ghana Ghana If reached: 6.6% All sims: 4.8% Win rate: 85.5%

QF

Belgium Belgium If reached: 22.4% All sims: 11.6% Win rate: 67.9%
USA USA If reached: 9.8% All sims: 5.1% Win rate: 73.7%
Türkiye Türkiye If reached: 9.1% All sims: 4.7% Win rate: 73.3%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 6.8% All sims: 3.5% Win rate: 59.8%
Switzerland Switzerland If reached: 5.9% All sims: 3.0% Win rate: 74.8%

SF

France France If reached: 21.4% All sims: 8.1% Win rate: 51.0%
Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 10.9% All sims: 4.1% Win rate: 61.9%
Germany Germany If reached: 10.7% All sims: 4.1% Win rate: 62.2%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 9.6% All sims: 3.6% Win rate: 56.2%
Norway Norway If reached: 5.5% All sims: 2.1% Win rate: 70.4%

Final

Argentina Argentina If reached: 14.6% All sims: 3.6% Win rate: 54.9%
England England If reached: 11.1% All sims: 2.7% Win rate: 55.8%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 10.4% All sims: 2.5% Win rate: 57.7%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 9.4% All sims: 2.3% Win rate: 56.6%
France France If reached: 9.4% All sims: 2.3% Win rate: 51.7%

Finish 1st

Spain opponent pool if finishing 1st

For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.

R32

Austria Austria If reached: 42.5% Path sims: 42.5% Win rate: 77.3%
Algeria Algeria If reached: 31.5% Path sims: 31.5% Win rate: 83.7%
Argentina Argentina If reached: 21.0% Path sims: 21.0% Win rate: 55.8%
Jordan Jordan If reached: 5.0% Path sims: 5.0% Win rate: 96.7%

R16

Croatia Croatia If reached: 23.2% Path sims: 17.6% Win rate: 70.6%
Colombia Colombia If reached: 21.8% Path sims: 16.5% Win rate: 72.0%
England England If reached: 17.9% Path sims: 13.6% Win rate: 56.0%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 17.3% Path sims: 13.1% Win rate: 59.0%
Ghana Ghana If reached: 8.4% Path sims: 6.4% Win rate: 85.4%

QF

Belgium Belgium If reached: 29.1% Path sims: 15.4% Win rate: 67.8%
USA USA If reached: 12.9% Path sims: 6.8% Win rate: 73.7%
Türkiye Türkiye If reached: 12.0% Path sims: 6.3% Win rate: 73.3%
Egypt Egypt If reached: 4.5% Path sims: 2.4% Win rate: 84.2%
Mexico Mexico If reached: 4.0% Path sims: 2.1% Win rate: 75.1%

SF

France France If reached: 24.9% Path sims: 9.8% Win rate: 50.9%
Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 12.8% Path sims: 5.0% Win rate: 62.1%
Germany Germany If reached: 12.1% Path sims: 4.8% Win rate: 62.5%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 7.9% Path sims: 3.1% Win rate: 56.5%
Morocco Morocco If reached: 5.9% Path sims: 2.3% Win rate: 72.4%

Final

Argentina Argentina If reached: 17.1% Path sims: 4.4% Win rate: 55.0%
England England If reached: 12.8% Path sims: 3.3% Win rate: 56.1%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 12.0% Path sims: 3.0% Win rate: 57.5%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 10.5% Path sims: 2.7% Win rate: 56.0%
France France If reached: 7.3% Path sims: 1.9% Win rate: 52.2%

Finish 2nd

Spain opponent pool if finishing 2nd

For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.

R32

Argentina Argentina If reached: 71.9% Path sims: 71.9% Win rate: 56.7%
Austria Austria If reached: 17.5% Path sims: 17.5% Win rate: 77.2%
Algeria Algeria If reached: 9.9% Path sims: 9.9% Win rate: 84.8%
Jordan Jordan If reached: 0.7% Path sims: 0.7% Win rate: 96.8%

R16

Türkiye Türkiye If reached: 20.2% Path sims: 12.8% Win rate: 74.3%
USA USA If reached: 19.6% Path sims: 12.4% Win rate: 74.8%
Egypt Egypt If reached: 18.0% Path sims: 11.4% Win rate: 86.8%
Belgium Belgium If reached: 14.2% Path sims: 9.0% Win rate: 68.4%
Paraguay Paraguay If reached: 12.7% Path sims: 8.1% Win rate: 84.4%

QF

Portugal Portugal If reached: 31.2% Path sims: 15.8% Win rate: 59.8%
Switzerland Switzerland If reached: 14.3% Path sims: 7.2% Win rate: 73.8%
Colombia Colombia If reached: 10.1% Path sims: 5.1% Win rate: 72.7%
Canada Canada If reached: 5.0% Path sims: 2.5% Win rate: 80.0%
Croatia Croatia If reached: 4.5% Path sims: 2.3% Win rate: 69.4%

SF

England England If reached: 20.0% Path sims: 7.1% Win rate: 56.2%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 17.0% Path sims: 6.0% Win rate: 55.5%
France France If reached: 9.8% Path sims: 3.5% Win rate: 51.5%
Norway Norway If reached: 7.4% Path sims: 2.6% Win rate: 74.3%
Germany Germany If reached: 6.4% Path sims: 2.2% Win rate: 59.3%

Final

France France If reached: 17.1% Path sims: 3.8% Win rate: 50.2%
Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 7.8% Path sims: 1.8% Win rate: 56.1%
Germany Germany If reached: 7.5% Path sims: 1.7% Win rate: 59.7%
Belgium Belgium If reached: 7.3% Path sims: 1.6% Win rate: 74.9%
Uruguay Uruguay If reached: 5.7% Path sims: 1.3% Win rate: 73.9%

Finish 3rd

Spain opponent pool if finishing 3rd

For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.

R32

Mexico Mexico If reached: 25.2% Path sims: 21.8% Win rate: 72.7%
South Korea South Korea If reached: 19.9% Path sims: 17.1% Win rate: 81.6%
Belgium Belgium If reached: 15.9% Path sims: 13.7% Win rate: 72.2%
Czechia Czechia If reached: 14.1% Path sims: 12.2% Win rate: 84.5%
France France If reached: 8.5% Path sims: 7.3% Win rate: 57.3%

R16

England England If reached: 29.7% Path sims: 19.4% Win rate: 54.6%
Croatia Croatia If reached: 10.2% Path sims: 6.6% Win rate: 74.9%
USA USA If reached: 5.9% Path sims: 3.8% Win rate: 72.5%
Türkiye Türkiye If reached: 5.7% Path sims: 3.8% Win rate: 69.2%
Germany Germany If reached: 5.3% Path sims: 3.4% Win rate: 57.0%

QF

Brazil Brazil If reached: 17.4% Path sims: 7.7% Win rate: 53.8%
Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 7.8% Path sims: 3.5% Win rate: 59.3%
France France If reached: 7.6% Path sims: 3.4% Win rate: 56.2%
Norway Norway If reached: 7.5% Path sims: 3.3% Win rate: 73.8%
Germany Germany If reached: 6.8% Path sims: 3.0% Win rate: 56.4%

SF

Argentina Argentina If reached: 20.2% Path sims: 5.9% Win rate: 52.5%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 14.6% Path sims: 4.2% Win rate: 63.6%
France France If reached: 8.2% Path sims: 2.4% Win rate: 59.5%
Switzerland Switzerland If reached: 5.1% Path sims: 1.5% Win rate: 76.1%
Belgium Belgium If reached: 4.5% Path sims: 1.3% Win rate: 80.5%

Final

Argentina Argentina If reached: 14.1% Path sims: 2.7% Win rate: 52.9%
France France If reached: 13.2% Path sims: 2.6% Win rate: 58.8%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 8.4% Path sims: 1.6% Win rate: 54.9%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 8.1% Path sims: 1.6% Win rate: 55.1%
England England If reached: 7.3% Path sims: 1.4% Win rate: 56.8%

Squad

Current squad

26 players
Pos Player Age Height Club Value
GK Joan García 25 1,94m FC Barcelona €40.0m
GK David Raya 30 1,83m Arsenal FC €35.0m
GK Unai Simón 29 1,90m Athletic Bilbao €25.0m
CB Pau Cubarsí 19 1,84m FC Barcelona €80.0m
CB Eric García 25 1,80m FC Barcelona €35.0m
CB Marc Pubill 22 1,90m Atlético de Madrid €28.0m
CB Aymeric Laporte 32 1,91m Athletic Bilbao €9.0m
LB Marc Cucurella 27 1,73m Chelsea FC €50.0m
LB Alejandro Grimaldo 30 1,71m Bayer 04 Leverkusen €20.0m
RB Pedro Porro 26 1,73m Tottenham Hotspur €40.0m
RB Marcos Llorente 31 1,84m Atlético de Madrid €22.0m
DM Martín Zubimendi 27 1,81m Arsenal FC €80.0m
DM Rodri 29 1,91m Manchester City €65.0m
CM Pedri 23 1,74m FC Barcelona €150.0m
CM Fabián Ruiz 30 1,89m Paris Saint-Germain €40.0m
CM Mikel Merino 29 1,89m Arsenal FC €30.0m
CM Gavi 21 1,73m FC Barcelona €30.0m
AM Dani Olmo 28 1,79m FC Barcelona €60.0m
LW Álex Baena 24 1,74m Atlético de Madrid €45.0m
LW Víctor Muñoz 22 1,73m CA Osasuna €20.0m
RW Lamine Yamal 18 1,80m FC Barcelona €200.0m
LW Nico Williams 23 1,81m Athletic Bilbao €50.0m
RW Yéremy Pino 23 1,72m Crystal Palace €35.0m
CF Ferran Torres 26 1,82m FC Barcelona €50.0m
CF Mikel Oyarzabal 29 1,81m Real Sociedad €25.0m
CF Borja Iglesias 33 1,87m Celta de Vigo €3.0m