Group
Finish probabilities
1st 100.0%
2nd 0%
3rd place 0% Qualified from 3rd 0% Eliminated in 3rd 0%
4th 0%
Group H
Spain
The team that reinvented how football could look and then kept reinventing it. La Masia keeps producing, and Yamal is a generational talent arriving at exactly the right moment. The tactical framework is the deepest in the world and the fullback positions are the only place the depth visibly thins. Still the most coherent football project on the planet.
This profile summarizes Spain's World Cup 2026 simulation path from the latest current-state snapshot: group outlook, finish distribution, possible knockout routes, opponent pools, squad context, and title chances.
Champion 60.5%
Group qualification 100%
Squad market €1.27b
Avg age 26.8
Avg height 1.815m
Manager Luis de la Fuente
Current-state snapshot
This profile is based on 10k current-state simulations using the WC26 simulator engine. The numbers are a model snapshot, not a guarantee. Team ratings, squads and injury updates may change over time.
Latest result included: France 0-2 Spain
Guide
How to read this team profile
Group finish and stage reach values are model outputs from the latest current-state team profile snapshot. Path sections show how Spain's route changes by group finish, while opponent pools summarize the teams most often appearing in each round.
This page uses Knockout-phase current-state snapshot using latest committed Match Updates, official locked results, current ratings, and fixed knockout bracket state as of 15 Jul 2026 1:47 PM UTC+3. Other public forecast pages may still use root compatibility datasets until they are updated separately, and custom Team Strength settings can change future tournament paths in the live simulator.
Tournament
Stage reach probabilities
R32 100%
R16 100%
QF 100%
SF 100%
Final 100%
Champion 60.5%
Conditional path
Path by group finish
| Finish | Sample | R32 | R16 | QF | SF | Final | Champion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 100.0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 60.5% |
| 2nd | No longer possible | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3rd | No longer possible | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Overall opponent pool
Most common opponents by round
If reached shows the opponent split among this team's matches in that round. All sims shows how often the matchup happens across the latest current-state snapshot.
R32
Austria If reached: 100.0% All sims: 100.0% Matchup win rate: 100.0% R16
Portugal If reached: 100.0% All sims: 100.0% Matchup win rate: 100.0% QF
Belgium If reached: 100.0% All sims: 100.0% Matchup win rate: 100.0% SF
France If reached: 100.0% All sims: 100.0% Matchup win rate: 100.0% Final
Argentina If reached: 52.4% All sims: 52.4% Matchup win rate: 60.4% 
England If reached: 47.6% All sims: 47.6% Matchup win rate: 60.5% Finish 1st
Spain opponent pool if finishing 1st
For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.
R32
Austria If reached: 100.0% Path sims: 100.0% Matchup win rate: 100.0% R16
Portugal If reached: 100.0% Path sims: 100.0% Matchup win rate: 100.0% QF
Belgium If reached: 100.0% Path sims: 100.0% Matchup win rate: 100.0% SF
France If reached: 100.0% Path sims: 100.0% Matchup win rate: 100.0% Final
Argentina If reached: 52.4% Path sims: 52.4% Matchup win rate: 60.4% England If reached: 47.6% Path sims: 47.6% Matchup win rate: 60.5% Finish 2nd
Spain opponent pool if finishing 2nd
For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.
R32
No longer possible
R16
No longer possible
QF
No longer possible
SF
No longer possible
Final
No longer possible
Finish 3rd
Spain opponent pool if finishing 3rd
For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.
R32
No longer possible
R16
No longer possible
QF
No longer possible
SF
No longer possible
Final
No longer possible
Squad
Current squad
| Pos | Player | Age | Height | Club | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GK | Joan García | 25 | 1,94m | FC Barcelona | €40.0m |
| GK | David Raya | 30 | 1,83m | Arsenal FC | €35.0m |
| GK | Unai Simón | 29 | 1,90m | Athletic Bilbao | €25.0m |
| CB | Pau Cubarsí | 19 | 1,84m | FC Barcelona | €80.0m |
| CB | Eric García | 25 | 1,80m | FC Barcelona | €35.0m |
| CB | Marc Pubill | 22 | 1,90m | Atlético de Madrid | €28.0m |
| CB | Aymeric Laporte | 32 | 1,91m | Athletic Bilbao | €9.0m |
| LB | Marc Cucurella | 27 | 1,73m | Chelsea FC | €50.0m |
| LB | Alejandro Grimaldo | 30 | 1,71m | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | €20.0m |
| RB | Pedro Porro | 26 | 1,73m | Tottenham Hotspur | €40.0m |
| RB | Marcos Llorente | 31 | 1,84m | Atlético de Madrid | €22.0m |
| DM | Martín Zubimendi | 27 | 1,81m | Arsenal FC | €80.0m |
| DM | Rodri | 29 | 1,91m | Manchester City | €65.0m |
| CM | Pedri | 23 | 1,74m | FC Barcelona | €150.0m |
| CM | Fabián Ruiz | 30 | 1,89m | Paris Saint-Germain | €40.0m |
| CM | Mikel Merino | 29 | 1,89m | Arsenal FC | €30.0m |
| CM | Gavi | 21 | 1,73m | FC Barcelona | €30.0m |
| AM | Dani Olmo | 28 | 1,79m | FC Barcelona | €60.0m |
| LW | Álex Baena | 24 | 1,74m | Atlético de Madrid | €45.0m |
| LW | Víctor Muñoz | 22 | 1,73m | CA Osasuna | €20.0m |
| RW | Lamine Yamal | 18 | 1,80m | FC Barcelona | €200.0m |
| LW | Nico Williams | 23 | 1,81m | Athletic Bilbao | €50.0m |
| RW | Yéremy Pino | 23 | 1,72m | Crystal Palace | €35.0m |
| CF | Ferran Torres | 26 | 1,82m | FC Barcelona | €50.0m |
| CF | Mikel Oyarzabal | 29 | 1,81m | Real Sociedad | €25.0m |
| CF | Borja Iglesias | 33 | 1,87m | Celta de Vigo | €3.0m |
Important note: This simulator and its probability outputs are for entertainment and informational purposes only. They are not investment advice, financial advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, trade, or participate in any prediction market. No real-money contest is offered or accepted on baplab.