Group
Finish probabilities
1st 0%
2nd 0%
3rd place 0% Qualified from 3rd 0% Eliminated in 3rd 0%
4th 100.0%
Group H
Saudi Arabia
They beat Argentina in 2022 in one of the greatest upsets in World Cup history, and it was not entirely a fluke. The high press was organized and Al-Dawsari was brilliant. Whether that level is reproducible or was a perfect-storm performance remains the central question. Technically limited squad, inconsistent quality, but capable of a moment.
This profile summarizes Saudi Arabia's World Cup 2026 simulation path from the latest current-state snapshot: group outlook, finish distribution, possible knockout routes, opponent pools, squad context, and title chances.
Champion 0%
Group qualification 0%
Squad market €36.8m
Avg age 28.0
Avg height 1.799m
Manager Georgios Donis
Saved forecast
Forecast as of Updated 2026-07-15 10:47 UTC, based on 10k current-state simulations. Tournament-wide official results included at that time stay fixed. These are saved model forecasts, not the team's actual final finish.
Tournament-wide result cutoff: France 0-2 Spain
Guide
How to read this team profile
Group finish and stage reach values are model outputs from the latest current-state team profile snapshot. Path sections show how Saudi Arabia's route changes by group finish, while opponent pools summarize the teams most often appearing in each round.
Other forecast pages may show a different saved date. The interactive replay simulator is separate: changing Team Strength settings creates alternative scenarios without changing this saved forecast.
Tournament
Stage reach probabilities
R32 0%
R16 0%
QF 0%
SF 0%
Final 0%
Champion 0%
Conditional path
Path by group finish
| Finish | Sample | R32 | R16 | QF | SF | Final | Champion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | No longer possible | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2nd | No longer possible | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3rd | n/a | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Overall opponent pool
Most common opponents by round
If reached shows the opponent split among this team's matches in that round. All sims shows how often the matchup happens across the latest current-state snapshot.
R32
No opponent samples.
R16
No opponent samples.
QF
No opponent samples.
SF
No opponent samples.
Final
No opponent samples.
Finish 1st
Saudi Arabia opponent pool if finishing 1st
For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.
R32
No longer possible
R16
No longer possible
QF
No longer possible
SF
No longer possible
Final
No longer possible
Finish 2nd
Saudi Arabia opponent pool if finishing 2nd
For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.
R32
No longer possible
R16
No longer possible
QF
No longer possible
SF
No longer possible
Final
No longer possible
Finish 3rd
Saudi Arabia opponent pool if finishing 3rd
For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.
R32
Not enough samples.
R16
Not enough samples.
QF
Not enough samples.
SF
Not enough samples.
Final
Not enough samples.
Squad
Current squad
| Pos | Player | Age | Height | Club | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GK | Nawaf Al-Aqidi | 26 | 1,86m | Al-Nassr FC | €700k |
| GK | Mohammed Al-Owais | 34 | 1,88m | Al-Ula FC | €300k |
| GK | Ahmed Al-Kassar | 35 | 1,79m | Al-Qadsiah FC | €175k |
| CB | Hassan Tambakti | 27 | 1,90m | Al-Hilal SFC | €1.8m |
| CB | Abdulelah Al-Amri | 29 | 1,83m | Al-Nassr FC | €1.0m |
| CB | Jehad Thakri | 24 | 1,84m | Al-Qadsiah FC | €900k |
| CB | Ali Lajami | 30 | 1,85m | Al-Hilal SFC | €800k |
| LB | Ayman Yahya | 25 | 1,68m | Al-Nassr FC | €1.4m |
| LB | Moteb Al-Harbi | 26 | 1,78m | Al-Hilal SFC | €1.2m |
| LB | Hassan Kadesh | 33 | 1,79m | Al-Ittihad Club | €300k |
| RB | Saud Abdulhamid | 26 | 1,75m | RC Lens | €9.0m |
| RB | Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat | 23 | 1,80m | Al-Qadsiah FC | €1.4m |
| RB | Nawaf Boushal | 26 | 1,76m | Al-Nassr FC | €1.4m |
| RB | Ali Majrashi | 27 | 1,69m | Al-Ahli SFC | €1.2m |
| DM | Ziyad Al-Johani | 24 | 1,80m | Al-Ahli SFC | €800k |
| CM | Musab Al-Juwayr | 22 | 1,78m | Al-Qadsiah FC | €4.5m |
| CM | Mohamed Kanno | 31 | 1,92m | Al-Hilal SFC | €900k |
| CM | Nasser Al-Dawsari | 27 | 1,70m | Al-Hilal SFC | €800k |
| CM | Alaa Hejji | 31 | 1,79m | NEOM SC | €150k |
| LW | Marwan Al-Sahafi | 22 | 1,88m | Royal Antwerp FC | €1.0m |
| LW | Khalid Al-Ghannam | 25 | 1,71m | Al-Ettifaq FC | €900k |
| LW | Turki Al-Ammar | 26 | 1,78m | Al-Qadsiah FC | €900k |
| RW | Sultan Mandash | 31 | 1,72m | Al-Hilal SFC | €400k |
| CF | Firas Al-Buraikan | 26 | 1,81m | Al-Ahli SFC | €4.0m |
| CF | Saleh Al-Shehri | 33 | 1,84m | Al-Ittihad Club | €550k |
| CF | Abdullah Al-Hamdan | 26 | 1,84m | Al-Nassr FC | €325k |
Important note: This simulator and its probability outputs are for entertainment and informational purposes only. They are not investment advice, financial advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, trade, or participate in any prediction market. No real-money contest is offered or accepted on baplab.