Group H

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

This profile is based on 100,000 simulations using the current WC26 simulator engine. The numbers are a model snapshot, not a guarantee. Team ratings, squads and injury updates may change over time.

Champion 0.0%
Group qualification 31.8%
Squad value €36.8m
Avg age 28.0
Avg height 1.799m
Manager Georgios Donis

Group

Finish probabilities

1st 1.6%
2nd 10.9%
3rd qualified 19.2%
3rd not qualified 23.5%
4th 44.8%

Tournament

Stage reach probabilities

R32 31.8%
R16 6.4%
QF 1.3%
SF 0.2%
Final 0.0%
Champion 0.0%

Conditional path

Path by group finish

Finish Sample R32R16QFSFFinalChampion
1st 1.6% 100.0%23.9%5.2%1.8%0.2%0.0%
2nd 10.9% 100.0%14.4%3.7%0.7%0.1%0.0%
3rd 42.7% 45.1%10.4%1.9%0.3%0.1%0.0%

Overall opponent pool

Most common opponents by round

If reached shows the opponent split among this team's matches in that round. All sims shows how often the matchup happens across the full 100,000-simulation snapshot.

R32

Argentina Argentina If reached: 25.7% All sims: 8.2% Win rate: 8.6%
Mexico Mexico If reached: 15.3% All sims: 4.8% Win rate: 21.4%
South Korea South Korea If reached: 11.7% All sims: 3.7% Win rate: 26.2%
Belgium Belgium If reached: 9.8% All sims: 3.1% Win rate: 15.5%
Austria Austria If reached: 8.3% All sims: 2.6% Win rate: 25.8%

R16

England England If reached: 23.5% All sims: 1.5% Win rate: 10.1%
Croatia Croatia If reached: 9.1% All sims: 0.6% Win rate: 17.1%
USA USA If reached: 8.7% All sims: 0.6% Win rate: 19.9%
Türkiye Türkiye If reached: 8.2% All sims: 0.5% Win rate: 22.5%
Egypt Egypt If reached: 4.8% All sims: 0.3% Win rate: 25.8%

QF

Portugal Portugal If reached: 12.2% All sims: 0.2% Win rate: 10.8%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 11.6% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 13.4%
Spain Spain If reached: 6.9% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Norway Norway If reached: 5.6% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 25.0%
Colombia Colombia If reached: 5.5% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 18.6%

SF

France France If reached: 12.5% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 3.4%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 10.3% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 16.7%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 8.6% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 5.0%
Argentina Argentina If reached: 6.9% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Uruguay Uruguay If reached: 6.5% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 20.0%

Final

Spain Spain If reached: 15.0% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 16.7%
France France If reached: 12.5% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
England England If reached: 10.0% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Germany Germany If reached: 7.5% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 7.5% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%

Finish 1st

Saudi Arabia opponent pool if finishing 1st

For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.

R32

Austria Austria If reached: 42.1% Path sims: 42.1% Win rate: 25.0%
Algeria Algeria If reached: 30.5% Path sims: 30.5% Win rate: 29.5%
Argentina Argentina If reached: 22.4% Path sims: 22.4% Win rate: 7.0%
Jordan Jordan If reached: 4.9% Path sims: 4.9% Win rate: 57.0%

R16

Colombia Colombia If reached: 22.5% Path sims: 5.4% Win rate: 24.4%
Croatia Croatia If reached: 22.3% Path sims: 5.3% Win rate: 16.5%
England England If reached: 21.5% Path sims: 5.1% Win rate: 12.2%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 16.5% Path sims: 3.9% Win rate: 12.7%
Ghana Ghana If reached: 7.3% Path sims: 1.8% Win rate: 39.3%

QF

Belgium Belgium If reached: 25.3% Path sims: 1.3% Win rate: 9.5%
USA USA If reached: 12.0% Path sims: 0.6% Win rate: 30.0%
South Korea South Korea If reached: 10.8% Path sims: 0.6% Win rate: 66.7%
Türkiye Türkiye If reached: 10.8% Path sims: 0.6% Win rate: 33.3%
Czechia Czechia If reached: 6.0% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 80.0%

SF

France France If reached: 25.0% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 14.3%
Germany Germany If reached: 14.3% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 0.0%
Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 14.3% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 0.0%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 10.7% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 0.0%
Mexico Mexico If reached: 7.1% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 0.0%

Final

Switzerland Switzerland If reached: 33.3% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Croatia Croatia If reached: 33.3% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Spain Spain If reached: 33.3% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 0.0%

Finish 2nd

Saudi Arabia opponent pool if finishing 2nd

For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.

R32

Argentina Argentina If reached: 71.3% Path sims: 71.3% Win rate: 8.7%
Austria Austria If reached: 17.9% Path sims: 17.9% Win rate: 26.1%
Algeria Algeria If reached: 10.0% Path sims: 10.0% Win rate: 31.4%
Jordan Jordan If reached: 0.7% Path sims: 0.7% Win rate: 54.4%

R16

Türkiye Türkiye If reached: 20.4% Path sims: 2.9% Win rate: 25.2%
Egypt Egypt If reached: 19.4% Path sims: 2.8% Win rate: 25.8%
USA USA If reached: 17.9% Path sims: 2.6% Win rate: 19.1%
Belgium Belgium If reached: 14.3% Path sims: 2.1% Win rate: 12.4%
Paraguay Paraguay If reached: 11.9% Path sims: 1.7% Win rate: 32.4%

QF

Portugal Portugal If reached: 33.0% Path sims: 1.2% Win rate: 10.4%
Switzerland Switzerland If reached: 14.3% Path sims: 0.5% Win rate: 13.8%
Colombia Colombia If reached: 12.1% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 18.4%
Canada Canada If reached: 4.9% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 30.0%
Bosnia-Herz. Bosnia-Herz. If reached: 3.9% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 50.0%

SF

Brazil Brazil If reached: 20.5% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 6.3%
France France If reached: 12.8% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
England England If reached: 11.5% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 11.1%
Norway Norway If reached: 9.0% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 28.6%
Mexico Mexico If reached: 7.7% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 50.0%

Final

France France If reached: 23.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
England England If reached: 15.4% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Uruguay Uruguay If reached: 7.7% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Türkiye Türkiye If reached: 7.7% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 7.7% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%

Finish 3rd

Saudi Arabia opponent pool if finishing 3rd

For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.

R32

Mexico Mexico If reached: 25.2% Path sims: 11.4% Win rate: 21.4%
South Korea South Korea If reached: 19.4% Path sims: 8.7% Win rate: 26.2%
Belgium Belgium If reached: 16.1% Path sims: 7.3% Win rate: 15.5%
Czechia Czechia If reached: 13.0% Path sims: 5.9% Win rate: 30.4%
France France If reached: 8.9% Path sims: 4.0% Win rate: 7.1%

R16

England England If reached: 32.0% Path sims: 3.3% Win rate: 10.0%
Croatia Croatia If reached: 11.2% Path sims: 1.2% Win rate: 17.2%
USA USA If reached: 6.2% Path sims: 0.6% Win rate: 20.7%
Türkiye Türkiye If reached: 4.7% Path sims: 0.5% Win rate: 18.3%
Senegal Senegal If reached: 4.4% Path sims: 0.5% Win rate: 19.0%

QF

Brazil Brazil If reached: 18.7% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 13.4%
Spain Spain If reached: 10.8% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 0.0%
Norway Norway If reached: 7.9% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 23.8%
France France If reached: 7.7% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 4.9%
Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 6.4% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 11.8%

SF

Portugal Portugal If reached: 18.3% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 17.4%
Argentina Argentina If reached: 12.7% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
France France If reached: 9.5% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Uruguay Uruguay If reached: 9.5% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 16.7%
Spain Spain If reached: 7.9% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%

Final

Spain Spain If reached: 16.7% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 25.0%
Germany Germany If reached: 12.5% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
England England If reached: 8.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
France France If reached: 8.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 8.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%

Squad

Current squad

26 players
Pos Player Age Height Club Value
GK Nawaf Al-Aqidi 26 1,86m Al-Nassr FC €700k
GK Mohammed Al-Owais 34 1,88m Al-Ula FC €300k
GK Ahmed Al-Kassar 35 1,79m Al-Qadsiah FC €175k
CB Hassan Tambakti 27 1,90m Al-Hilal SFC €1.8m
CB Abdulelah Al-Amri 29 1,83m Al-Nassr FC €1.0m
CB Jehad Thakri 24 1,84m Al-Qadsiah FC €900k
CB Ali Lajami 30 1,85m Al-Hilal SFC €800k
LB Ayman Yahya 25 1,68m Al-Nassr FC €1.4m
LB Moteb Al-Harbi 26 1,78m Al-Hilal SFC €1.2m
LB Hassan Kadesh 33 1,79m Al-Ittihad Club €300k
RB Saud Abdulhamid 26 1,75m RC Lens €9.0m
RB Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat 23 1,80m Al-Qadsiah FC €1.4m
RB Nawaf Boushal 26 1,76m Al-Nassr FC €1.4m
RB Ali Majrashi 27 1,69m Al-Ahli SFC €1.2m
DM Ziyad Al-Johani 24 1,80m Al-Ahli SFC €800k
CM Musab Al-Juwayr 22 1,78m Al-Qadsiah FC €4.5m
CM Mohamed Kanno 31 1,92m Al-Hilal SFC €900k
CM Nasser Al-Dawsari 27 1,70m Al-Hilal SFC €800k
CM Alaa Hejji 31 1,79m NEOM SC €150k
LW Marwan Al-Sahafi 22 1,88m Royal Antwerp FC €1.0m
LW Khalid Al-Ghannam 25 1,71m Al-Ettifaq FC €900k
LW Turki Al-Ammar 26 1,78m Al-Qadsiah FC €900k
RW Sultan Mandash 31 1,72m Al-Hilal SFC €400k
CF Firas Al-Buraikan 26 1,81m Al-Ahli SFC €4.0m
CF Saleh Al-Shehri 33 1,84m Al-Ittihad Club €550k
CF Abdullah Al-Hamdan 26 1,84m Al-Nassr FC €325k