Match analysis
Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay 
Match forecast and score distribution for Match 13, Group H, generated from the current simulator ratings.
Forecast reference: Jun 10, 2026
Official result is now known: Saudi Arabia 1-1 Uruguay ยท Final. This page shows the model's simulated score distribution for comparison.
Goal bands
Total goals distribution
0 8.1%
1 20.2%
2 25.8%
3 21.7%
4 13.1%
5+ 11.1%
Goal thresholds
Total-goal thresholds
Total 0.5 At least 91.9% Below 8.1%
Total 1.5 At least 71.7% Below 28.3%
Total 2.5 At least 45.9% Below 54.1%
Total 3.5 At least 24.2% Below 75.8%
Total 4.5 At least 11.1% Below 88.9%
Team goals
Saudi Arabia goal thresholds
Saudi Arabia 0.5 At least 48.4% Below 51.6%
Saudi Arabia 1.5 At least 14.4% Below 85.6%
Saudi Arabia 2.5 At least 3.3% Below 96.8%
Saudi Arabia 3.5 At least 0.5% Below 99.5%
Saudi Arabia 4.5 At least 0.1% Below 99.9%
Team goals
Uruguay goal thresholds
Uruguay 0.5 At least 84.5% Below 15.5%
Uruguay 1.5 At least 55.3% Below 44.7%
Uruguay 2.5 At least 27.9% Below 72.1%
Uruguay 3.5 At least 11.4% Below 88.6%
Uruguay 4.5 At least 4.0% Below 96.0%
Scoring frequency
Both teams scoring
Both teams score 41.0%
Saudi Arabia clean sheet 15.5%
Uruguay clean sheet 51.6%
Common scorelines
Top exact scores
1 Saudi Arabia 0-1 Uruguay 15.0%
2 Saudi Arabia 0-2 Uruguay 14.0%
3 Saudi Arabia 1-1 Uruguay 10.2%
4 Saudi Arabia 1-2 Uruguay 9.5%
5 Saudi Arabia 0-3 Uruguay 8.6%
6 Saudi Arabia 0-0 Uruguay 8.1%
7 Saudi Arabia 1-3 Uruguay 5.4%
8 Saudi Arabia 1-0 Uruguay 5.2%
9 Saudi Arabia 0-4 Uruguay 3.8%
10 Saudi Arabia 2-1 Uruguay 3.1%
Guide
What this simulation preview shows
This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.
Score distribution
How to read the numbers
Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.
Model note
Simulation reference, not certainty
A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee or betting advice.