Match analysis
Spain vs Saudi Arabia 
Match forecast and score distribution for Match 38, Group H, generated from the current simulator ratings.
Forecast last updated:
Goal bands
Total goals distribution
0 5.1%
1 15.4%
2 22.5%
3 22.7%
4 16.6%
5+ 17.7%
Goal thresholds
Total-goal thresholds
Total 0.5 At least 94.9% Below 5.1%
Total 1.5 At least 79.5% Below 20.5%
Total 2.5 At least 57.0% Below 43.0%
Total 3.5 At least 34.3% Below 65.7%
Total 4.5 At least 17.7% Below 82.3%
Team goals
Spain goal thresholds
Spain 0.5 At least 91.8% Below 8.3%
Spain 1.5 At least 71.0% Below 29.0%
Spain 2.5 At least 45.4% Below 54.6%
Spain 3.5 At least 23.7% Below 76.3%
Spain 4.5 At least 10.6% Below 89.4%
Team goals
Saudi Arabia goal thresholds
Saudi Arabia 0.5 At least 37.8% Below 62.2%
Saudi Arabia 1.5 At least 8.4% Below 91.6%
Saudi Arabia 2.5 At least 1.4% Below 98.6%
Saudi Arabia 3.5 At least 0.2% Below 99.8%
Saudi Arabia 4.5 At least 0.0% Below 100.0%
Scoring frequency
Both teams scoring
Both teams score 34.7%
Spain clean sheet 62.2%
Saudi Arabia clean sheet 8.3%
Common scorelines
Top exact scores
1 Spain 2-0 Saudi Arabia 15.9%
2 Spain 3-0 Saudi Arabia 13.6%
3 Spain 1-0 Saudi Arabia 13.0%
4 Spain 4-0 Saudi Arabia 8.1%
5 Spain 2-1 Saudi Arabia 7.5%
6 Spain 3-1 Saudi Arabia 6.3%
7 Spain 1-1 Saudi Arabia 6.0%
8 Spain 0-0 Saudi Arabia 5.1%
9 Spain 4-1 Saudi Arabia 3.9%
10 Spain 5-0 Saudi Arabia 3.8%
Guide
What this simulation preview shows
This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.
Score distribution
How to read the numbers
Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.
Model note
Simulation reference, not certainty
A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee or betting advice.