Match analysis
Spain vs Uruguay 
Match forecast and score distribution for Match 66, Group H, generated from the current simulator ratings.
Forecast last updated:
Goal bands
Total goals distribution
0 8.3%
1 20.2%
2 26.0%
3 21.2%
4 13.1%
5+ 11.2%
Goal thresholds
Total-goal thresholds
Total 0.5 At least 91.7% Below 8.3%
Total 1.5 At least 71.5% Below 28.5%
Total 2.5 At least 45.5% Below 54.5%
Total 3.5 At least 24.3% Below 75.7%
Total 4.5 At least 11.2% Below 88.8%
Team goals
Spain goal thresholds
Spain 0.5 At least 80.9% Below 19.1%
Spain 1.5 At least 49.1% Below 50.9%
Spain 2.5 At least 23.0% Below 77.0%
Spain 3.5 At least 8.6% Below 91.4%
Spain 4.5 At least 2.7% Below 97.3%
Team goals
Uruguay goal thresholds
Uruguay 0.5 At least 57.3% Below 42.7%
Uruguay 1.5 At least 21.2% Below 78.8%
Uruguay 2.5 At least 5.4% Below 94.6%
Uruguay 3.5 At least 1.1% Below 98.9%
Uruguay 4.5 At least 0.2% Below 99.8%
Scoring frequency
Both teams scoring
Both teams score 46.5%
Spain clean sheet 42.7%
Uruguay clean sheet 19.1%
Common scorelines
Top exact scores
1 Spain 1-0 Uruguay 13.5%
2 Spain 1-1 Uruguay 11.6%
3 Spain 2-0 Uruguay 11.3%
4 Spain 2-1 Uruguay 9.4%
5 Spain 0-0 Uruguay 8.3%
6 Spain 0-1 Uruguay 6.7%
7 Spain 3-0 Uruguay 6.0%
8 Spain 3-1 Uruguay 5.2%
9 Spain 1-2 Uruguay 5.0%
10 Spain 2-2 Uruguay 4.0%
Guide
What this simulation preview shows
This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.
Score distribution
How to read the numbers
Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.
Model note
Simulation reference, not certainty
A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee.