Match analysis
Spain vs Uruguay 
Match forecast and score distribution for Match 66, Group H, generated from the current simulator ratings.
Forecast last updated:
Goal bands
Total goals distribution
0 9.1%
1 21.9%
2 26.0%
3 20.8%
4 12.6%
5+ 9.7%
Goal thresholds
Total-goal thresholds
Total 0.5 At least 90.9% Below 9.1%
Total 1.5 At least 69.0% Below 31.0%
Total 2.5 At least 43.0% Below 57.0%
Total 3.5 At least 22.2% Below 77.8%
Total 4.5 At least 9.7% Below 90.3%
Team goals
Spain goal thresholds
Spain 0.5 At least 79.0% Below 21.0%
Spain 1.5 At least 45.7% Below 54.3%
Spain 2.5 At least 20.5% Below 79.5%
Spain 3.5 At least 7.3% Below 92.7%
Spain 4.5 At least 2.1% Below 97.8%
Team goals
Uruguay goal thresholds
Uruguay 0.5 At least 56.9% Below 43.1%
Uruguay 1.5 At least 20.8% Below 79.2%
Uruguay 2.5 At least 5.6% Below 94.4%
Uruguay 3.5 At least 1.1% Below 98.9%
Uruguay 4.5 At least 0.2% Below 99.8%
Scoring frequency
Both teams scoring
Both teams score 45.1%
Spain clean sheet 43.1%
Uruguay clean sheet 21.0%
Common scorelines
Top exact scores
1 Spain 1-0 Uruguay 14.3%
2 Spain 1-1 Uruguay 12.1%
3 Spain 2-0 Uruguay 10.7%
4 Spain 0-0 Uruguay 9.1%
5 Spain 2-1 Uruguay 9.1%
6 Spain 0-1 Uruguay 7.6%
7 Spain 3-0 Uruguay 5.7%
8 Spain 1-2 Uruguay 5.1%
9 Spain 3-1 Uruguay 4.7%
10 Spain 2-2 Uruguay 3.9%
Guide
What this simulation preview shows
This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.
Score distribution
How to read the numbers
Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.
Model note
Simulation reference, not certainty
A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee or betting advice.