Match analysis
Spain vs Cape Verde 
Match forecast and score distribution for Match 14, Group H, generated from the current simulator ratings.
Forecast reference: Jun 10, 2026
Official result is now known: Spain 0-0 Cape Verde ยท Final. This page shows the model's simulated score distribution for comparison.
Goal bands
Total goals distribution
0 5.1%
1 15.4%
2 22.8%
3 22.4%
4 16.4%
5+ 18.0%
Goal thresholds
Total-goal thresholds
Total 0.5 At least 95.0% Below 5.1%
Total 1.5 At least 79.6% Below 20.4%
Total 2.5 At least 56.8% Below 43.2%
Total 3.5 At least 34.4% Below 65.6%
Total 4.5 At least 18.0% Below 82.0%
Team goals
Spain goal thresholds
Spain 0.5 At least 91.9% Below 8.1%
Spain 1.5 At least 71.2% Below 28.8%
Spain 2.5 At least 45.5% Below 54.5%
Spain 3.5 At least 24.4% Below 75.6%
Spain 4.5 At least 11.0% Below 89.0%
Team goals
Cape Verde goal thresholds
Cape Verde 0.5 At least 36.9% Below 63.1%
Cape Verde 1.5 At least 8.2% Below 91.8%
Cape Verde 2.5 At least 1.3% Below 98.8%
Cape Verde 3.5 At least 0.1% Below 99.9%
Cape Verde 4.5 At least 0.0% Below 100.0%
Scoring frequency
Both teams scoring
Both teams score 33.9%
Spain clean sheet 63.1%
Cape Verde clean sheet 8.1%
Common scorelines
Top exact scores
1 Spain 2-0 Cape Verde 16.1%
2 Spain 3-0 Cape Verde 13.5%
3 Spain 1-0 Cape Verde 13.0%
4 Spain 4-0 Cape Verde 8.5%
5 Spain 2-1 Cape Verde 7.5%
6 Spain 1-1 Cape Verde 6.2%
7 Spain 3-1 Cape Verde 5.9%
8 Spain 0-0 Cape Verde 5.1%
9 Spain 5-0 Cape Verde 4.3%
10 Spain 4-1 Cape Verde 3.7%
Guide
What this simulation preview shows
This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.
Score distribution
How to read the numbers
Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.
Model note
Simulation reference, not certainty
A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee or betting advice.