Match analysis

Uruguay Uruguay vs Cape Verde Cape Verde

Match forecast and score distribution for Match 37, Group H, generated from the current simulator ratings.

Group H Miami, USA

Forecast last updated:

Average score Uruguay 1.86 - 0.63 Cape Verde Total goals average 2.49
Uruguay win 67.0%
Draw 20.9%
Cape Verde win 12.1%

Goal bands

Total goals distribution

0 8.2%
1 21.1%
2 25.7%
3 21.2%
4 13.1%
5+ 10.8%

Goal thresholds

Total-goal thresholds

Total 0.5 At least 91.9% Below 8.2%
Total 1.5 At least 70.8% Below 29.2%
Total 2.5 At least 45.2% Below 54.9%
Total 3.5 At least 23.9% Below 76.0%
Total 4.5 At least 10.8% Below 89.2%

Team goals

Uruguay goal thresholds

Uruguay 0.5 At least 84.4% Below 15.6%
Uruguay 1.5 At least 55.3% Below 44.8%
Uruguay 2.5 At least 28.6% Below 71.4%
Uruguay 3.5 At least 12.0% Below 88.0%
Uruguay 4.5 At least 4.0% Below 96.0%

Team goals

Cape Verde goal thresholds

Cape Verde 0.5 At least 46.5% Below 53.5%
Cape Verde 1.5 At least 13.1% Below 86.9%
Cape Verde 2.5 At least 2.7% Below 97.3%
Cape Verde 3.5 At least 0.4% Below 99.6%
Cape Verde 4.5 At least 0.1% Below 99.9%

Scoring frequency

Both teams scoring

Both teams score 39.1%
Uruguay clean sheet 53.5%
Cape Verde clean sheet 15.6%

Common scorelines

Top exact scores

1 Uruguay 1-0 Cape Verde 15.7%
2 Uruguay 2-0 Cape Verde 14.4%
3 Uruguay 1-1 Cape Verde 9.6%
4 Uruguay 3-0 Cape Verde 8.9%
5 Uruguay 2-1 Cape Verde 8.8%
6 Uruguay 0-0 Cape Verde 8.2%
7 Uruguay 3-1 Cape Verde 5.5%
8 Uruguay 0-1 Cape Verde 5.4%
9 Uruguay 4-0 Cape Verde 4.2%
10 Uruguay 1-2 Cape Verde 3.0%

Guide

What this simulation preview shows

This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.

Score distribution

How to read the numbers

Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.

Model note

Simulation reference, not certainty

A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee or betting advice.

Model note: These are simulation outputs for understanding possible score patterns. They are not betting advice or gambling guidance.