Group
Finish probabilities
1st 100.0%
2nd 0%
3rd place 0% Qualified from 3rd 0% Eliminated in 3rd 0%
4th 0%
Group E
Germany
Rebuilding, re-emerging, and doing it with characteristic German structure. The Bundesliga tactical base provides a coherent identity that many national teams lack. Defensively still vulnerable to pace and directness. The 2022 and 2018 exits scarred a generation but the response has been methodical rather than panicked.
This profile summarizes Germany's World Cup 2026 simulation path from the latest current-state snapshot: group outlook, finish distribution, possible knockout routes, opponent pools, squad context, and title chances.
Champion 0%
Group qualification 100%
Squad market €998.0m
Avg age 28.0
Avg height 1.857m
Manager Julian Nagelsmann
Saved forecast
Forecast as of Updated 2026-07-15 10:47 UTC, based on 10k current-state simulations. Tournament-wide official results included at that time stay fixed. These are saved model forecasts, not the team's actual final finish.
Tournament-wide result cutoff: France 0-2 Spain
Guide
How to read this team profile
Group finish and stage reach values are model outputs from the latest current-state team profile snapshot. Path sections show how Germany's route changes by group finish, while opponent pools summarize the teams most often appearing in each round.
Other forecast pages may show a different saved date. The interactive replay simulator is separate: changing Team Strength settings creates alternative scenarios without changing this saved forecast.
Tournament
Stage reach probabilities
R32 100%
R16 0%
QF 0%
SF 0%
Final 0%
Champion 0%
Conditional path
Path by group finish
| Finish | Sample | R32 | R16 | QF | SF | Final | Champion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 100.0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 2nd | No longer possible | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3rd | No longer possible | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Overall opponent pool
Most common opponents by round
If reached shows the opponent split among this team's matches in that round. All sims shows how often the matchup happens across the latest current-state snapshot.
R32
Paraguay If reached: 100.0% All sims: 100.0% Matchup win rate: 0% R16
No opponent samples.
QF
No opponent samples.
SF
No opponent samples.
Final
No opponent samples.
Finish 1st
Germany opponent pool if finishing 1st
For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.
R32
Paraguay If reached: 100.0% Path sims: 100.0% Matchup win rate: 0% R16
Not enough samples.
QF
Not enough samples.
SF
Not enough samples.
Final
Not enough samples.
Finish 2nd
Germany opponent pool if finishing 2nd
For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.
R32
No longer possible
R16
No longer possible
QF
No longer possible
SF
No longer possible
Final
No longer possible
Finish 3rd
Germany opponent pool if finishing 3rd
For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.
R32
No longer possible
R16
No longer possible
QF
No longer possible
SF
No longer possible
Final
No longer possible
Squad
Current squad
| Pos | Player | Age | Height | Club | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GK | Alexander Nübel | 29 | 1,93m | VfB Stuttgart | €12.0m |
| GK | Manuel Neuer | 40 | 1,93m | Bayern Munich | €4.0m |
| GK | Oliver Baumann | 36 | 1,87m | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | €2.5m |
| CB | Nico Schlotterbeck | 26 | 1,91m | Borussia Dortmund | €55.0m |
| CB | Malick Thiaw | 24 | 1,94m | Newcastle United | €45.0m |
| CB | Jonathan Tah | 30 | 1,95m | Bayern Munich | €28.0m |
| CB | Waldemar Anton | 29 | 1,89m | Borussia Dortmund | €18.0m |
| CB | Antonio Rüdiger | 33 | 1,90m | Real Madrid | €9.0m |
| LB | Nathaniel Brown | 22 | 1,76m | Eintracht Frankfurt | €40.0m |
| LB | David Raum | 28 | 1,81m | RB Leipzig | €25.0m |
| DM | Aleksandar Pavlovic | 22 | 1,88m | Bayern Munich | €90.0m |
| DM | Angelo Stiller | 25 | 1,83m | VfB Stuttgart | €45.0m |
| DM | Joshua Kimmich | 31 | 1,77m | Bayern Munich | €35.0m |
| CM | Felix Nmecha | 25 | 1,90m | Borussia Dortmund | €50.0m |
| CM | Nadiem Amiri | 29 | 1,80m | 1.FSV Mainz 05 | €17.0m |
| CM | Leon Goretzka | 31 | 1,89m | Bayern Munich | €12.0m |
| CM | Pascal Groß | 35 | 1,81m | Brighton & Hove Albion | €3.5m |
| AM | Florian Wirtz | 23 | 1,77m | Liverpool FC | €110.0m |
| AM | Jamal Musiala | 23 | 1,86m | Bayern Munich | €100.0m |
| AM | Lennart Karl | 18 | 1,68m | Bayern Munich | €60.0m |
| RW | Jamie Leweling | 25 | 1,84m | VfB Stuttgart | €40.0m |
| RW | Leroy Sané | 30 | 1,83m | Galatasaray | €20.0m |
| CF | Nick Woltemade | 24 | 1,98m | Newcastle United | €65.0m |
| CF | Kai Havertz | 27 | 1,93m | Arsenal FC | €50.0m |
| CF | Maximilian Beier | 23 | 1,83m | Borussia Dortmund | €40.0m |
| CF | Deniz Undav | 29 | 1,79m | VfB Stuttgart | €22.0m |
Important note: This simulator and its probability outputs are for entertainment and informational purposes only. They are not investment advice, financial advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, trade, or participate in any prediction market. No real-money contest is offered or accepted on baplab.