Group E

Ivory Coast Ivory Coast

This profile is based on 100,000 simulations using the current WC26 simulator engine. The numbers are a model snapshot, not a guarantee. Team ratings, squads and injury updates may change over time.

Champion 0.7%
Group qualification 81.2%
Squad value €525.9m
Avg age 25.9
Avg height 1.834m
Manager Emerse Faé

Group

Finish probabilities

1st 20.8%
2nd 33.0%
3rd qualified 27.4%
3rd not qualified 9.0%
4th 9.8%

Tournament

Stage reach probabilities

R32 81.2%
R16 38.0%
QF 14.7%
SF 5.9%
Final 2.0%
Champion 0.7%

Conditional path

Path by group finish

Finish Sample R32R16QFSFFinalChampion
1st 20.8% 100.0%56.2%19.0%8.7%3.0%1.0%
2nd 33.0% 100.0%39.1%14.8%6.1%2.2%0.7%
3rd 36.4% 75.2%36.8%16.0%5.7%1.9%0.6%

Overall opponent pool

Most common opponents by round

If reached shows the opponent split among this team's matches in that round. All sims shows how often the matchup happens across the full 100,000-simulation snapshot.

R32

Norway Norway If reached: 16.9% All sims: 13.7% Win rate: 38.0%
Senegal Senegal If reached: 11.7% All sims: 9.5% Win rate: 49.5%
France France If reached: 10.7% All sims: 8.7% Win rate: 24.0%
Mexico Mexico If reached: 7.9% All sims: 6.4% Win rate: 46.7%
South Korea South Korea If reached: 6.0% All sims: 4.9% Win rate: 53.0%

R16

France France If reached: 15.6% All sims: 5.9% Win rate: 23.5%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 15.1% All sims: 5.7% Win rate: 29.7%
England England If reached: 9.6% All sims: 3.6% Win rate: 28.7%
Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 6.5% All sims: 2.5% Win rate: 32.4%
Japan Japan If reached: 6.4% All sims: 2.4% Win rate: 45.6%

QF

England England If reached: 11.4% All sims: 1.7% Win rate: 29.0%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 10.1% All sims: 1.5% Win rate: 28.1%
Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 7.8% All sims: 1.1% Win rate: 35.4%
Mexico Mexico If reached: 5.6% All sims: 0.8% Win rate: 44.4%
Morocco Morocco If reached: 4.9% All sims: 0.7% Win rate: 46.2%

SF

Argentina Argentina If reached: 15.1% All sims: 0.9% Win rate: 24.9%
Spain Spain If reached: 13.5% All sims: 0.8% Win rate: 19.0%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 12.6% All sims: 0.7% Win rate: 31.7%
Belgium Belgium If reached: 5.9% All sims: 0.3% Win rate: 40.8%
England England If reached: 5.5% All sims: 0.3% Win rate: 26.1%

Final

Spain Spain If reached: 14.6% All sims: 0.3% Win rate: 22.7%
France France If reached: 13.3% All sims: 0.3% Win rate: 23.8%
Germany Germany If reached: 7.8% All sims: 0.2% Win rate: 32.7%
Argentina Argentina If reached: 7.2% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 35.4%
England England If reached: 7.1% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 27.4%

Finish 1st

Ivory Coast opponent pool if finishing 1st

For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.

R32

Scotland Scotland If reached: 17.0% Path sims: 17.0% Win rate: 58.3%
Paraguay Paraguay If reached: 15.2% Path sims: 15.2% Win rate: 60.8%
Australia Australia If reached: 12.1% Path sims: 12.1% Win rate: 72.5%
Morocco Morocco If reached: 11.5% Path sims: 11.5% Win rate: 46.9%
USA USA If reached: 10.9% Path sims: 10.9% Win rate: 47.1%

R16

France France If reached: 49.3% Path sims: 27.7% Win rate: 23.4%
Norway Norway If reached: 17.0% Path sims: 9.5% Win rate: 36.6%
Senegal Senegal If reached: 6.7% Path sims: 3.8% Win rate: 46.5%
Sweden Sweden If reached: 6.2% Path sims: 3.5% Win rate: 47.8%
Japan Japan If reached: 6.1% Path sims: 3.5% Win rate: 46.2%

QF

Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 21.4% Path sims: 4.1% Win rate: 36.1%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 12.4% Path sims: 2.4% Win rate: 29.9%
Morocco Morocco If reached: 11.7% Path sims: 2.2% Win rate: 46.9%
Mexico Mexico If reached: 8.7% Path sims: 1.7% Win rate: 42.6%
Switzerland Switzerland If reached: 7.7% Path sims: 1.5% Win rate: 45.7%

SF

Spain Spain If reached: 29.9% Path sims: 2.6% Win rate: 18.3%
Belgium Belgium If reached: 12.1% Path sims: 1.1% Win rate: 39.5%
England England If reached: 7.4% Path sims: 0.6% Win rate: 25.9%
Argentina Argentina If reached: 6.2% Path sims: 0.5% Win rate: 20.5%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 5.8% Path sims: 0.5% Win rate: 38.1%

Final

Argentina Argentina If reached: 13.1% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 39.5%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 11.1% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 30.4%
England England If reached: 10.3% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 20.3%
Germany Germany If reached: 9.2% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 29.8%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 8.9% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 29.1%

Finish 2nd

Ivory Coast opponent pool if finishing 2nd

For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.

R32

Norway Norway If reached: 41.5% Path sims: 41.5% Win rate: 38.0%
Senegal Senegal If reached: 28.8% Path sims: 28.8% Win rate: 49.5%
France France If reached: 26.3% Path sims: 26.3% Win rate: 24.0%
Iraq Iraq If reached: 3.3% Path sims: 3.3% Win rate: 81.2%

R16

Brazil Brazil If reached: 44.3% Path sims: 17.3% Win rate: 29.7%
Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 14.3% Path sims: 5.6% Win rate: 33.0%
Japan Japan If reached: 13.2% Path sims: 5.1% Win rate: 45.3%
Morocco Morocco If reached: 12.0% Path sims: 4.7% Win rate: 43.0%
Sweden Sweden If reached: 10.8% Path sims: 4.2% Win rate: 50.3%

QF

England England If reached: 32.6% Path sims: 4.8% Win rate: 29.4%
Croatia Croatia If reached: 9.7% Path sims: 1.4% Win rate: 45.5%
Mexico Mexico If reached: 9.6% Path sims: 1.4% Win rate: 45.7%
Ecuador Ecuador If reached: 7.3% Path sims: 1.1% Win rate: 51.4%
South Korea South Korea If reached: 5.8% Path sims: 0.9% Win rate: 51.9%

SF

Argentina Argentina If reached: 23.1% Path sims: 1.4% Win rate: 25.6%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 19.2% Path sims: 1.2% Win rate: 32.2%
Spain Spain If reached: 7.8% Path sims: 0.5% Win rate: 22.3%
Uruguay Uruguay If reached: 6.6% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 42.1%
Switzerland Switzerland If reached: 5.0% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 48.0%

Final

Spain Spain If reached: 19.7% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 22.4%
France France If reached: 17.4% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 27.0%
Germany Germany If reached: 8.0% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 31.0%
Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 6.5% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 38.3%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 5.5% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 25.0%

Finish 3rd

Ivory Coast opponent pool if finishing 3rd

For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.

R32

Mexico Mexico If reached: 22.9% Path sims: 17.2% Win rate: 46.7%
South Korea South Korea If reached: 17.1% Path sims: 12.8% Win rate: 53.0%
Czechia Czechia If reached: 11.7% Path sims: 8.8% Win rate: 58.8%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 9.6% Path sims: 7.2% Win rate: 30.7%
England England If reached: 4.7% Path sims: 3.5% Win rate: 27.8%

R16

England England If reached: 27.2% Path sims: 10.0% Win rate: 28.7%
Croatia Croatia If reached: 10.5% Path sims: 3.9% Win rate: 41.9%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 7.4% Path sims: 2.7% Win rate: 29.2%
Colombia Colombia If reached: 6.0% Path sims: 2.2% Win rate: 43.6%
Belgium Belgium If reached: 5.9% Path sims: 2.2% Win rate: 40.0%

QF

Brazil Brazil If reached: 15.8% Path sims: 2.5% Win rate: 27.6%
Argentina Argentina If reached: 10.2% Path sims: 1.6% Win rate: 26.9%
Spain Spain If reached: 8.9% Path sims: 1.4% Win rate: 21.5%
France France If reached: 7.3% Path sims: 1.2% Win rate: 21.7%
Norway Norway If reached: 7.0% Path sims: 1.1% Win rate: 37.4%

SF

Argentina Argentina If reached: 15.1% Path sims: 0.9% Win rate: 25.3%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 12.2% Path sims: 0.7% Win rate: 28.2%
France France If reached: 7.2% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 20.3%
England England If reached: 6.9% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 26.8%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 5.6% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 26.7%

Final

Spain Spain If reached: 16.6% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 23.1%
France France If reached: 13.2% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 21.5%
Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 6.4% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 48.9%
Germany Germany If reached: 6.3% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 38.6%
England England If reached: 6.3% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 27.3%

Squad

Current squad

26 players
Pos Player Age Height Club Value
GK Yahia Fofana 25 1,94m Caykur Rizespor €5.0m
GK Alban Lafont 27 1,96m Panathinaikos €3.0m
GK Mohamed Koné 24 1,86m Royal Charleroi SC €800k
CB Ousmane Diomande 23 1,90m Sporting CP €42.0m
CB Evan Ndicka 26 1,92m AS Roma €35.0m
CB Wilfried Singo 25 1,90m Galatasaray €23.0m
CB Emmanuel Agbadou 28 1,92m Besiktas JK €16.0m
CB Odilon Kossounou 25 1,91m Atalanta BC €15.0m
LB Christopher Operi 29 1,82m Basaksehir FK €4.0m
LB Ghislain Konan 30 1,76m Gil Vicente FC €3.0m
RB Guéla Doué 23 1,86m RC Strasbourg Alsace €18.0m
DM Ibrahim Sangaré 29 1,91m Nottingham Forest €22.0m
DM Jean Michaël Seri 34 1,68m NK Maribor €100k
CM Christ Inao Oulaï 20 1,73m Trabzonspor €23.0m
CM Franck Kessié 29 1,83m Al-Ahli SFC €12.0m
CM Seko Fofana 31 1,85m FC Porto €8.0m
LW Yan Diomande 19 1.80m RB Leipzig €90.0m
LW Bazoumana Touré 20 1,75m TSG 1899 Hoffenheim €40.0m
LW Simon Adingra 24 1,75m AS Monaco €25.0m
LW Parfait Guiagon 25 1,65m Royal Charleroi SC €5.0m
RW Amad Diallo 23 1,73m Manchester United €50.0m
RW Evann Guessand 24 1,88m Crystal Palace €28.0m
RW Nicolas Pépé 31 1,83m Villarreal CF €6.0m
CF Ange-Yoan Bonny 22 1,89m Inter Milan €35.0m
CF Elye Wahi 23 1,84m OGC Nice €12.0m
CF Oumar Diakité 22 1,82m Cercle Brugge €5.0m