Match analysis

Germany Germany vs Ivory Coast Ivory Coast

Match forecast and score distribution for Match 33, Group E, generated from the current simulator ratings.

Group E Toronto, Canada

Forecast last updated:

Average score Germany 1.59 - 0.91 Ivory Coast Total goals average 2.50
Germany win 53.5%
Draw 24.9%
Ivory Coast win 21.6%

Goal bands

Total goals distribution

0 8.2%
1 20.5%
2 25.6%
3 21.7%
4 13.2%
5+ 10.8%

Goal thresholds

Total-goal thresholds

Total 0.5 At least 91.8% Below 8.2%
Total 1.5 At least 71.3% Below 28.7%
Total 2.5 At least 45.7% Below 54.3%
Total 3.5 At least 24.0% Below 76.0%
Total 4.5 At least 10.8% Below 89.2%

Team goals

Germany goal thresholds

Germany 0.5 At least 79.6% Below 20.4%
Germany 1.5 At least 47.1% Below 53.0%
Germany 2.5 At least 21.5% Below 78.5%
Germany 3.5 At least 7.8% Below 92.2%
Germany 4.5 At least 2.3% Below 97.8%

Team goals

Ivory Coast goal thresholds

Ivory Coast 0.5 At least 59.7% Below 40.3%
Ivory Coast 1.5 At least 22.9% Below 77.1%
Ivory Coast 2.5 At least 6.3% Below 93.7%
Ivory Coast 3.5 At least 1.4% Below 98.6%
Ivory Coast 4.5 At least 0.3% Below 99.8%

Scoring frequency

Both teams scoring

Both teams score 47.6%
Germany clean sheet 40.3%
Ivory Coast clean sheet 20.4%

Common scorelines

Top exact scores

1 Germany 1-0 Ivory Coast 13.2%
2 Germany 1-1 Ivory Coast 11.8%
3 Germany 2-0 Ivory Coast 10.3%
4 Germany 2-1 Ivory Coast 9.6%
5 Germany 0-0 Ivory Coast 8.2%
6 Germany 0-1 Ivory Coast 7.4%
7 Germany 1-2 Ivory Coast 5.5%
8 Germany 3-0 Ivory Coast 5.5%
9 Germany 3-1 Ivory Coast 5.1%
10 Germany 2-2 Ivory Coast 4.1%

Guide

What this simulation preview shows

This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.

Score distribution

How to read the numbers

Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.

Model note

Simulation reference, not certainty

A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee or betting advice.

Model note: These are simulation outputs for understanding possible score patterns. They are not betting advice or gambling guidance.