Match analysis
Germany vs Ecuador 
Match forecast and score distribution for Match 56, Group E, generated from the current simulator ratings.
Forecast last updated:
Goal bands
Total goals distribution
0 9.2%
1 22.1%
2 26.3%
3 20.9%
4 12.3%
5+ 9.1%
Goal thresholds
Total-goal thresholds
Total 0.5 At least 90.8% Below 9.2%
Total 1.5 At least 68.7% Below 31.3%
Total 2.5 At least 42.4% Below 57.6%
Total 3.5 At least 21.5% Below 78.5%
Total 4.5 At least 9.1% Below 90.9%
Team goals
Germany goal thresholds
Germany 0.5 At least 78.3% Below 21.7%
Germany 1.5 At least 44.4% Below 55.6%
Germany 2.5 At least 19.0% Below 81.0%
Germany 3.5 At least 6.6% Below 93.4%
Germany 4.5 At least 1.8% Below 98.2%
Team goals
Ecuador goal thresholds
Ecuador 0.5 At least 57.9% Below 42.1%
Ecuador 1.5 At least 21.2% Below 78.8%
Ecuador 2.5 At least 5.9% Below 94.1%
Ecuador 3.5 At least 1.2% Below 98.8%
Ecuador 4.5 At least 0.3% Below 99.7%
Scoring frequency
Both teams scoring
Both teams score 45.4%
Germany clean sheet 42.1%
Ecuador clean sheet 21.7%
Common scorelines
Top exact scores
1 Germany 1-0 Ecuador 14.2%
2 Germany 1-1 Ecuador 12.5%
3 Germany 2-0 Ecuador 10.5%
4 Germany 2-1 Ecuador 9.4%
5 Germany 0-0 Ecuador 9.2%
6 Germany 0-1 Ecuador 7.9%
7 Germany 3-0 Ecuador 5.4%
8 Germany 1-2 Ecuador 5.2%
9 Germany 3-1 Ecuador 4.5%
10 Germany 2-2 Ecuador 4.0%
Guide
What this simulation preview shows
This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.
Score distribution
How to read the numbers
Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.
Model note
Simulation reference, not certainty
A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee or betting advice.