Match analysis
Germany vs Curaçao 
Match forecast and score distribution for Match 10, Group E, generated from the current simulator ratings.
Forecast reference: Jun 10, 2026
Official result is now known: Germany 7-1 Curaçao · Final. This page shows the model's simulated score distribution for comparison.
Goal bands
Total goals distribution
0 2.5%
1 9.4%
2 18.1%
3 21.7%
4 19.0%
5+ 29.3%
Goal thresholds
Total-goal thresholds
Total 0.5 At least 97.5% Below 2.5%
Total 1.5 At least 88.0% Below 11.9%
Total 2.5 At least 70.0% Below 30.0%
Total 3.5 At least 48.2% Below 51.8%
Total 4.5 At least 29.3% Below 70.8%
Team goals
Germany goal thresholds
Germany 0.5 At least 95.9% Below 4.1%
Germany 1.5 At least 82.3% Below 17.7%
Germany 2.5 At least 60.3% Below 39.8%
Germany 3.5 At least 37.6% Below 62.4%
Germany 4.5 At least 20.4% Below 79.6%
Team goals
Curaçao goal thresholds
Curaçao 0.5 At least 38.3% Below 61.7%
Curaçao 1.5 At least 8.6% Below 91.4%
Curaçao 2.5 At least 1.4% Below 98.7%
Curaçao 3.5 At least 0.2% Below 99.8%
Curaçao 4.5 At least 0.0% Below 100.0%
Scoring frequency
Both teams scoring
Both teams score 36.7%
Germany clean sheet 61.7%
Curaçao clean sheet 4.1%
Common scorelines
Top exact scores
1 Germany 3-0 Curaçao 14.1%
2 Germany 2-0 Curaçao 13.5%
3 Germany 4-0 Curaçao 10.5%
4 Germany 1-0 Curaçao 8.3%
5 Germany 5-0 Curaçao 7.1%
6 Germany 2-1 Curaçao 6.7%
7 Germany 3-1 Curaçao 6.6%
8 Germany 4-1 Curaçao 5.1%
9 Germany 1-1 Curaçao 4.2%
10 Germany 6-0 Curaçao 3.3%
Guide
What this simulation preview shows
This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.
Score distribution
How to read the numbers
Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.
Model note
Simulation reference, not certainty
A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee or betting advice.