Group
Finish probabilities
1st 0%
2nd 100.0%
3rd place 0% Qualified from 3rd 0% Eliminated in 3rd 0%
4th 0%
Group D
Australia
The Socceroos run until someone stops them. High press, physical duels, set pieces: they make up in effort what they lack in technical quality. European-based players give them more quality than the geography suggests, but shallow squad depth means one injury can unravel everything.
This profile summarizes Australia's World Cup 2026 simulation path from the latest current-state snapshot: group outlook, finish distribution, possible knockout routes, opponent pools, squad context, and title chances.
Champion 0%
Group qualification 100%
Squad market €73.7m
Avg age 27.4
Avg height 1.831m
Manager Tony Popovic
Current-state snapshot
This profile is based on 10k current-state simulations using the WC26 simulator engine. The numbers are a model snapshot, not a guarantee. Team ratings, squads and injury updates may change over time.
Latest result included: France 0-2 Spain
Guide
How to read this team profile
Group finish and stage reach values are model outputs from the latest current-state team profile snapshot. Path sections show how Australia's route changes by group finish, while opponent pools summarize the teams most often appearing in each round.
This page uses Knockout-phase current-state snapshot using latest committed Match Updates, official locked results, current ratings, and fixed knockout bracket state as of 15 Jul 2026 1:47 PM UTC+3. Other public forecast pages may still use root compatibility datasets until they are updated separately, and custom Team Strength settings can change future tournament paths in the live simulator.
Tournament
Stage reach probabilities
R32 100%
R16 0%
QF 0%
SF 0%
Final 0%
Champion 0%
Conditional path
Path by group finish
| Finish | Sample | R32 | R16 | QF | SF | Final | Champion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | No longer possible | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2nd | 100.0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3rd | n/a | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Overall opponent pool
Most common opponents by round
If reached shows the opponent split among this team's matches in that round. All sims shows how often the matchup happens across the latest current-state snapshot.
R32
Egypt If reached: 100.0% All sims: 100.0% Matchup win rate: 0% R16
No opponent samples.
QF
No opponent samples.
SF
No opponent samples.
Final
No opponent samples.
Finish 1st
Australia opponent pool if finishing 1st
For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.
R32
No longer possible
R16
No longer possible
QF
No longer possible
SF
No longer possible
Final
No longer possible
Finish 2nd
Australia opponent pool if finishing 2nd
For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.
R32
Egypt If reached: 100.0% Path sims: 100.0% Matchup win rate: 0% R16
Not enough samples.
QF
Not enough samples.
SF
Not enough samples.
Final
Not enough samples.
Finish 3rd
Australia opponent pool if finishing 3rd
For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.
R32
Not enough samples.
R16
Not enough samples.
QF
Not enough samples.
SF
Not enough samples.
Final
Not enough samples.
Squad
Current squad
| Pos | Player | Age | Height | Club | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GK | Mathew Ryan | 34 | 1,84m | Levante UD | €2.0m |
| GK | Patrick Beach | 22 | 1,90m | Melbourne City FC | €1.0m |
| GK | Paul Izzo | 31 | 1,85m | Randers FC | €500k |
| CB | Alessandro Circati | 22 | 1,90m | Parma Calcio 1913 | €12.0m |
| CB | Harry Souttar | 27 | 1,96m | Leicester City | €3.5m |
| CB | Cameron Burgess | 30 | 1,94m | Swansea City | €1.5m |
| CB | Lucas Herrington | 18 | 1,93m | Colorado Rapids | €1.5m |
| LB | Jordan Bos | 23 | 1,80m | Feyenoord Rotterdam | €12.0m |
| LB | Aziz Behich | 35 | 1,70m | Melbourne City FC | €250k |
| RB | Jacob Italiano | 24 | 1,77m | Grazer AK 1902 | €600k |
| RB | Milos Degenek | 32 | 1,87m | APOEL Nicosia | €500k |
| RB | Jason Geria | 33 | 1,83m | Albirex Niigata | €400k |
| DM | Aiden O'Neill | 27 | 1,78m | New York City FC | €3.0m |
| DM | Paul Okon-Engstler | 21 | 1,86m | Sydney FC | €1.2m |
| DM | Kai Trewin | 25 | 1,83m | New York City FC | €1.0m |
| CM | Cammy Devlin | 28 | 1,78m | Heart of Midlothian FC | €2.0m |
| CM | Connor Metcalfe | 27 | 1,83m | FC St. Pauli | €1.5m |
| CM | Jackson Irvine | 33 | 1,83m | FC St. Pauli | €1.0m |
| CM | Ajdin Hrustic | 29 | 1,80m | Heracles Almelo | €600k |
| AM | Cristian Volpato | 22 | 1,79m | US Sassuolo | €10.0m |
| LW | Nishan Velupillay | 25 | 1,81m | Melbourne Victory | €650k |
| LW | Awer Mabil | 30 | 1,78m | CD Castellón | €400k |
| LW | Mathew Leckie | 35 | 1,82m | Melbourne City FC | €300k |
| RW | Nestory Irankunda | 20 | 1,75m | Watford FC | €8.0m |
| CF | Mohamed Touré | 22 | 1,82m | Norwich City | €8.0m |
| CF | Tete Yengi | 25 | 1,84m | Machida Zelvia | €250k |
Important note: This simulator and its probability outputs are for entertainment and informational purposes only. They are not investment advice, financial advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, trade, or participate in any prediction market. No real-money contest is offered or accepted on baplab.