Match analysis
Paraguay vs Australia 
Match forecast and score distribution for Match 60, Group D, generated from the current simulator ratings.
Forecast last updated:
Goal bands
Total goals distribution
0 12.2%
1 25.8%
2 27.1%
3 18.9%
4 9.8%
5+ 6.3%
Goal thresholds
Total-goal thresholds
Total 0.5 At least 87.8% Below 12.2%
Total 1.5 At least 62.1% Below 37.9%
Total 2.5 At least 35.0% Below 65.0%
Total 3.5 At least 16.1% Below 83.9%
Total 4.5 At least 6.3% Below 93.7%
Team goals
Paraguay goal thresholds
Paraguay 0.5 At least 69.5% Below 30.5%
Paraguay 1.5 At least 32.9% Below 67.1%
Paraguay 2.5 At least 11.6% Below 88.4%
Paraguay 3.5 At least 3.3% Below 96.7%
Paraguay 4.5 At least 0.9% Below 99.2%
Team goals
Australia goal thresholds
Australia 0.5 At least 60.4% Below 39.6%
Australia 1.5 At least 23.3% Below 76.7%
Australia 2.5 At least 6.4% Below 93.6%
Australia 3.5 At least 1.5% Below 98.5%
Australia 4.5 At least 0.3% Below 99.7%
Scoring frequency
Both teams scoring
Both teams score 42.1%
Paraguay clean sheet 39.6%
Australia clean sheet 30.5%
Common scorelines
Top exact scores
1 Paraguay 1-0 Australia 14.3%
2 Paraguay 1-1 Australia 13.6%
3 Paraguay 0-0 Australia 12.2%
4 Paraguay 0-1 Australia 11.4%
5 Paraguay 2-0 Australia 8.5%
6 Paraguay 2-1 Australia 7.9%
7 Paraguay 1-2 Australia 6.3%
8 Paraguay 0-2 Australia 5.1%
9 Paraguay 2-2 Australia 3.6%
10 Paraguay 3-0 Australia 3.3%
Guide
What this simulation preview shows
This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.
Score distribution
How to read the numbers
Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.
Model note
Simulation reference, not certainty
A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee or betting advice.