Group
Finish probabilities
1st 0%
2nd 0%
3rd place 100.0% Qualified from 3rd 100.0% Eliminated in 3rd 0%
4th 0%
Group D
Paraguay
Guaraní heart and a defensive tradition that goes back decades. Hard, physical, and set-piece dangerous. The lack of creative midfield play and consistent finishing is a ceiling they have not broken through in some time. Will make life difficult for anyone in their group, which is genuinely more than some expected.
This profile summarizes Paraguay's World Cup 2026 simulation path from the latest current-state snapshot: group outlook, finish distribution, possible knockout routes, opponent pools, squad context, and title chances.
Champion 0%
Group qualification 100%
Squad market €157.2m
Avg age 29.0
Avg height 1.817m
Manager Gustavo Alfaro
Current-state snapshot
This profile is based on 10k current-state simulations using the WC26 simulator engine. The numbers are a model snapshot, not a guarantee. Team ratings, squads and injury updates may change over time.
Latest result included: France 0-2 Spain
Guide
How to read this team profile
Group finish and stage reach values are model outputs from the latest current-state team profile snapshot. Path sections show how Paraguay's route changes by group finish, while opponent pools summarize the teams most often appearing in each round.
This page uses Knockout-phase current-state snapshot using latest committed Match Updates, official locked results, current ratings, and fixed knockout bracket state as of 15 Jul 2026 1:47 PM UTC+3. Other public forecast pages may still use root compatibility datasets until they are updated separately, and custom Team Strength settings can change future tournament paths in the live simulator.
Tournament
Stage reach probabilities
R32 100%
R16 100%
QF 0%
SF 0%
Final 0%
Champion 0%
Conditional path
Path by group finish
| Finish | Sample | R32 | R16 | QF | SF | Final | Champion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | No longer possible | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2nd | n/a | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3rd | 100.0% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Overall opponent pool
Most common opponents by round
If reached shows the opponent split among this team's matches in that round. All sims shows how often the matchup happens across the latest current-state snapshot.
R32
Germany If reached: 100.0% All sims: 100.0% Matchup win rate: 100.0% R16
France If reached: 100.0% All sims: 100.0% Matchup win rate: 0% QF
No opponent samples.
SF
No opponent samples.
Final
No opponent samples.
Finish 1st
Paraguay opponent pool if finishing 1st
For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.
R32
No longer possible
R16
No longer possible
QF
No longer possible
SF
No longer possible
Final
No longer possible
Finish 2nd
Paraguay opponent pool if finishing 2nd
For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.
R32
Not enough samples.
R16
Not enough samples.
QF
Not enough samples.
SF
Not enough samples.
Final
Not enough samples.
Finish 3rd
Paraguay opponent pool if finishing 3rd
For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.
R32
Germany If reached: 100.0% Path sims: 100.0% Matchup win rate: 100.0% R16
France If reached: 100.0% Path sims: 100.0% Matchup win rate: 0% QF
Not enough samples.
SF
Not enough samples.
Final
Not enough samples.
Squad
Current squad
| Pos | Player | Age | Height | Club | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GK | Orlando Gill | 26 | 1,98m | CA San Lorenzo | €6.0m |
| GK | Gastón Olveira | 33 | 1,91m | Olimpia Asunción | €500k |
| GK | Roberto Fernández | 38 | 1,91m | Club Cerro Porteño | €100k |
| CB | Omar Alderete | 29 | 1,88m | Sunderland AFC | €15.0m |
| CB | Gustavo Gómez | 33 | 1,85m | Palmeiras | €3.5m |
| CB | José Canale | 29 | 1,87m | CA Lanús | €2.2m |
| CB | Júnior Alonso | 33 | 1,85m | Atlético Mineiro | €1.5m |
| CB | Fabián Balbuena | 34 | 1,89m | Grêmio | €900k |
| CB | Gustavo Velázquez | 35 | 1,79m | Club Cerro Porteño | €400k |
| LB | Alexandro Maidana | 20 | 1,78m | CA Talleres | €2.5m |
| RB | Juan José Cáceres | 26 | 1,77m | Dynamo Moscow | €5.0m |
| DM | Andrés Cubas | 30 | 1,66m | Vancouver Whitecaps | €4.0m |
| DM | Braian Ojeda | 25 | 1,73m | Orlando City SC | €3.5m |
| CM | Diego Gómez | 23 | 1,85m | Brighton & Hove Albion | €25.0m |
| CM | Damián Bobadilla | 24 | 1,81m | São Paulo FC | €6.0m |
| CM | Matías Galarza | 24 | 1,75m | Atlanta United FC | €3.0m |
| AM | Kaku | 31 | 1,71m | Al-Ain FC | €4.5m |
| AM | Julio Enciso | 22 | 1,73m | RC Strasbourg | €25.0m |
| AM | Mauricio | 24 | 1,74m | Palmeiras | €15.0m |
| CF | Isidro Pitta | 26 | 1,83m | Red Bull Bragantino | €7.5m |
| LW | Gustavo Caballero | 24 | 1,86m | Portsmouth FC | €1.0m |
| RW | Miguel Almirón | 32 | 1,74m | Atlanta United FC | €9.0m |
| SS | Ramón Sosa | 26 | 1,79m | Palmeiras | €10.0m |
| CF | Álex Arce | 30 | 1,87m | CS Independiente Rivadavia | €3.5m |
| CF | Antonio Sanabria | 30 | 1,80m | US Cremonese | €1.8m |
| CF | Gabriel Ávalos | 35 | 1,90m | CA Independiente | €750k |
Important note: This simulator and its probability outputs are for entertainment and informational purposes only. They are not investment advice, financial advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, trade, or participate in any prediction market. No real-money contest is offered or accepted on baplab.