Match analysis

Paraguay Paraguay vs Türkiye Türkiye

Match forecast and score distribution for Match 31, Group D, generated from the current simulator ratings.

Group D San Francisco, USA

Forecast last updated:

Average score Paraguay 0.93 - 1.40 Türkiye Total goals average 2.33
Paraguay win 24.8%
Draw 27.5%
Türkiye win 47.7%

Goal bands

Total goals distribution

0 9.6%
1 22.7%
2 26.4%
3 20.8%
4 11.9%
5+ 8.6%

Goal thresholds

Total-goal thresholds

Total 0.5 At least 90.4% Below 9.6%
Total 1.5 At least 67.7% Below 32.3%
Total 2.5 At least 41.3% Below 58.7%
Total 3.5 At least 20.6% Below 79.4%
Total 4.5 At least 8.6% Below 91.3%

Team goals

Paraguay goal thresholds

Paraguay 0.5 At least 61.1% Below 38.9%
Paraguay 1.5 At least 23.8% Below 76.2%
Paraguay 2.5 At least 6.7% Below 93.3%
Paraguay 3.5 At least 1.4% Below 98.6%
Paraguay 4.5 At least 0.2% Below 99.8%

Team goals

Türkiye goal thresholds

Türkiye 0.5 At least 75.6% Below 24.4%
Türkiye 1.5 At least 40.8% Below 59.2%
Türkiye 2.5 At least 16.7% Below 83.3%
Türkiye 3.5 At least 5.3% Below 94.7%
Türkiye 4.5 At least 1.4% Below 98.6%

Scoring frequency

Both teams scoring

Both teams score 46.3%
Paraguay clean sheet 24.4%
Türkiye clean sheet 38.9%

Common scorelines

Top exact scores

1 Paraguay 0-1 Türkiye 13.6%
2 Paraguay 1-1 Türkiye 13.0%
3 Paraguay 0-0 Türkiye 9.6%
4 Paraguay 0-2 Türkiye 9.3%
5 Paraguay 1-0 Türkiye 9.1%
6 Paraguay 1-2 Türkiye 9.0%
7 Paraguay 2-1 Türkiye 6.0%
8 Paraguay 0-3 Türkiye 4.4%
9 Paraguay 1-3 Türkiye 4.2%
10 Paraguay 2-2 Türkiye 4.2%

Guide

What this simulation preview shows

This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.

Score distribution

How to read the numbers

Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.

Model note

Simulation reference, not certainty

A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee or betting advice.

Model note: These are simulation outputs for understanding possible score patterns. They are not betting advice or gambling guidance.