Group
Finish probabilities
1st 0%
2nd 0%
3rd place 0% Qualified from 3rd 0% Eliminated in 3rd 0%
4th 100.0%
Group D
Türkiye
Emotionally chaotic and tactically brilliant on the same afternoon. Çalhanoğlu orchestrates from deep, Güler and Yıldız provide the creative spark and composure this generation needed. Defensive errors arrive at the worst possible moments and game management remains a stubborn weakness. Euro 2024 was proof they can beat anyone and collapse against anyone.
This profile summarizes Türkiye's World Cup 2026 simulation path from the latest current-state snapshot: group outlook, finish distribution, possible knockout routes, opponent pools, squad context, and title chances.
Champion 0%
Group qualification 0%
Squad market €472.7m
Avg age 27.7
Avg height 1.838m
Manager Vincenzo Montella
Saved forecast
Forecast as of Updated 2026-07-15 10:47 UTC, based on 10k current-state simulations. Tournament-wide official results included at that time stay fixed. These are saved model forecasts, not the team's actual final finish.
Tournament-wide result cutoff: France 0-2 Spain
Guide
How to read this team profile
Group finish and stage reach values are model outputs from the latest current-state team profile snapshot. Path sections show how Türkiye's route changes by group finish, while opponent pools summarize the teams most often appearing in each round.
Other forecast pages may show a different saved date. The interactive replay simulator is separate: changing Team Strength settings creates alternative scenarios without changing this saved forecast.
Tournament
Stage reach probabilities
R32 0%
R16 0%
QF 0%
SF 0%
Final 0%
Champion 0%
Conditional path
Path by group finish
| Finish | Sample | R32 | R16 | QF | SF | Final | Champion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | No longer possible | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2nd | No longer possible | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3rd | No longer possible | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Overall opponent pool
Most common opponents by round
If reached shows the opponent split among this team's matches in that round. All sims shows how often the matchup happens across the latest current-state snapshot.
R32
No opponent samples.
R16
No opponent samples.
QF
No opponent samples.
SF
No opponent samples.
Final
No opponent samples.
Finish 1st
Türkiye opponent pool if finishing 1st
For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.
R32
No longer possible
R16
No longer possible
QF
No longer possible
SF
No longer possible
Final
No longer possible
Finish 2nd
Türkiye opponent pool if finishing 2nd
For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.
R32
No longer possible
R16
No longer possible
QF
No longer possible
SF
No longer possible
Final
No longer possible
Finish 3rd
Türkiye opponent pool if finishing 3rd
For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.
R32
No longer possible
R16
No longer possible
QF
No longer possible
SF
No longer possible
Final
No longer possible
Squad
Current squad
| Pos | Player | Age | Height | Club | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GK | Uğurcan Çakır | 30 | 1,91m | Galatasaray | €15.0m |
| GK | Altay Bayındır | 28 | 1,98m | Manchester United | €7.0m |
| GK | Mert Günok | 37 | 1,96m | Fenerbahçe | €500k |
| CB | Ozan Kabak | 26 | 1,87m | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | €15.0m |
| CB | Merih Demiral | 28 | 1,90m | Al-Ahli SFC | €14.0m |
| CB | Abdülkerim Bardakcı | 31 | 1,85m | Galatasaray | €6.5m |
| CB | Çağlar Söyüncü | 30 | 1,85m | Fenerbahçe | €3.5m |
| CB | Samet Akaydin | 32 | 1,90m | Caykur Rizespor | €1.2m |
| LB | Ferdi Kadıoğlu | 26 | 1,74m | Brighton & Hove Albion | €30.0m |
| LB | Eren Elmalı | 25 | 1,81m | Galatasaray | €5.0m |
| RB | Zeki Çelik | 29 | 1,80m | AS Roma | €14.0m |
| RB | Mert Müldür | 27 | 1,84m | Fenerbahçe | €7.0m |
| DM | Hakan Çalhanoğlu | 32 | 1,78m | Inter Milan | €16.0m |
| DM | İsmail Yüksek | 27 | 1,83m | Fenerbahçe | €15.0m |
| DM | Salih Özcan | 28 | 1,83m | Borussia Dortmund | €3.5m |
| DM | Kaan Ayhan | 31 | 1,85m | Galatasaray | €1.5m |
| CM | Orkun Kökçü | 25 | 1,75m | Beşiktaş | €25.0m |
| AM | Arda Güler | 21 | 1,75m | Real Madrid | €90.0m |
| AM | Can Uzun | 20 | 1,86m | Eintracht Frankfurt | €45.0m |
| LW | Kenan Yıldız | 21 | 1,87m | Juventus FC | €75.0m |
| LW | Barış Alper Yılmaz | 26 | 1,86m | Galatasaray | €30.0m |
| LW | Kerem Aktürkoğlu | 27 | 1,73m | Fenerbahçe | €20.0m |
| LW | Oğuz Aydın | 25 | 1,83m | Fenerbahçe | €7.0m |
| RW | Yunus Akgün | 25 | 1,73m | Galatasaray | €18.0m |
| RW | İrfan Can Kahveci | 30 | 1,80m | Kasımpaşa | €3.0m |
| CF | Deniz Gül | 21 | 1,90m | FC Porto | €5.0m |
Important note: This simulator and its probability outputs are for entertainment and informational purposes only. They are not investment advice, financial advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, trade, or participate in any prediction market. No real-money contest is offered or accepted on baplab.