Match analysis
USA vs Türkiye 
Match forecast and score distribution for Match 59, Group D, generated from the current simulator ratings.
Forecast last updated:
Goal bands
Total goals distribution
0 9.8%
1 22.3%
2 26.6%
3 21.0%
4 11.7%
5+ 8.6%
Goal thresholds
Total-goal thresholds
Total 0.5 At least 90.2% Below 9.8%
Total 1.5 At least 67.9% Below 32.1%
Total 2.5 At least 41.3% Below 58.7%
Total 3.5 At least 20.3% Below 79.7%
Total 4.5 At least 8.6% Below 91.4%
Team goals
USA goal thresholds
USA 0.5 At least 69.7% Below 30.3%
USA 1.5 At least 33.6% Below 66.4%
USA 2.5 At least 11.8% Below 88.3%
USA 3.5 At least 3.4% Below 96.7%
USA 4.5 At least 0.8% Below 99.3%
Team goals
Türkiye goal thresholds
Türkiye 0.5 At least 68.1% Below 31.9%
Türkiye 1.5 At least 31.5% Below 68.5%
Türkiye 2.5 At least 10.3% Below 89.7%
Türkiye 3.5 At least 2.8% Below 97.2%
Türkiye 4.5 At least 0.6% Below 99.4%
Scoring frequency
Both teams scoring
Both teams score 47.6%
USA clean sheet 31.9%
Türkiye clean sheet 30.3%
Common scorelines
Top exact scores
1 USA 1-1 Türkiye 13.1%
2 USA 1-0 Türkiye 11.3%
3 USA 0-1 Türkiye 11.0%
4 USA 0-0 Türkiye 9.8%
5 USA 2-1 Türkiye 8.2%
6 USA 1-2 Türkiye 8.0%
7 USA 2-0 Türkiye 7.0%
8 USA 0-2 Türkiye 6.5%
9 USA 2-2 Türkiye 4.4%
10 USA 3-1 Türkiye 3.1%
Guide
What this simulation preview shows
This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.
Score distribution
How to read the numbers
Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.
Model note
Simulation reference, not certainty
A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee or betting advice.