Match analysis
Australia vs Türkiye 
Match forecast and score distribution for Match 6, Group D, generated from the current simulator ratings.
Forecast reference: Jun 10, 2026
Official result is now known: Australia 2-0 Türkiye · Final. This page shows the model's simulated score distribution for comparison.
Goal bands
Total goals distribution
0 11.7%
1 24.9%
2 26.8%
3 19.3%
4 10.3%
5+ 7.0%
Goal thresholds
Total-goal thresholds
Total 0.5 At least 88.3% Below 11.7%
Total 1.5 At least 63.4% Below 36.6%
Total 2.5 At least 36.6% Below 63.4%
Total 3.5 At least 17.3% Below 82.7%
Total 4.5 At least 7.0% Below 93.0%
Team goals
Australia goal thresholds
Australia 0.5 At least 52.8% Below 47.2%
Australia 1.5 At least 17.6% Below 82.4%
Australia 2.5 At least 4.2% Below 95.8%
Australia 3.5 At least 0.8% Below 99.3%
Australia 4.5 At least 0.1% Below 99.9%
Team goals
Türkiye goal thresholds
Türkiye 0.5 At least 75.1% Below 24.9%
Türkiye 1.5 At least 40.9% Below 59.1%
Türkiye 2.5 At least 16.9% Below 83.1%
Türkiye 3.5 At least 5.4% Below 94.6%
Türkiye 4.5 At least 1.5% Below 98.5%
Scoring frequency
Both teams scoring
Both teams score 39.6%
Australia clean sheet 24.9%
Türkiye clean sheet 47.2%
Common scorelines
Top exact scores
1 Australia 0-1 Türkiye 16.4%
2 Australia 1-1 Türkiye 12.0%
3 Australia 0-0 Türkiye 11.7%
4 Australia 0-2 Türkiye 11.3%
5 Australia 1-0 Türkiye 8.6%
6 Australia 1-2 Türkiye 8.6%
7 Australia 0-3 Türkiye 5.5%
8 Australia 2-1 Türkiye 4.5%
9 Australia 1-3 Türkiye 4.0%
10 Australia 2-0 Türkiye 3.5%
Guide
What this simulation preview shows
This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.
Score distribution
How to read the numbers
Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.
Model note
Simulation reference, not certainty
A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee or betting advice.