Match analysis
USA vs Australia 
Match forecast and score distribution for Match 32, Group D, generated from the current simulator ratings.
Forecast last updated:
Goal bands
Total goals distribution
0 10.7%
1 23.5%
2 27.4%
3 20.1%
4 10.9%
5+ 7.4%
Goal thresholds
Total-goal thresholds
Total 0.5 At least 89.3% Below 10.7%
Total 1.5 At least 65.8% Below 34.2%
Total 2.5 At least 38.4% Below 61.6%
Total 3.5 At least 18.3% Below 81.7%
Total 4.5 At least 7.4% Below 92.6%
Team goals
USA goal thresholds
USA 0.5 At least 77.2% Below 22.8%
USA 1.5 At least 43.9% Below 56.1%
USA 2.5 At least 18.8% Below 81.2%
USA 3.5 At least 6.3% Below 93.7%
USA 4.5 At least 1.8% Below 98.2%
Team goals
Australia goal thresholds
Australia 0.5 At least 52.8% Below 47.2%
Australia 1.5 At least 17.0% Below 83.0%
Australia 2.5 At least 3.7% Below 96.4%
Australia 3.5 At least 0.8% Below 99.2%
Australia 4.5 At least 0.1% Below 99.9%
Scoring frequency
Both teams scoring
Both teams score 40.7%
USA clean sheet 47.2%
Australia clean sheet 22.8%
Common scorelines
Top exact scores
1 USA 1-0 Australia 15.4%
2 USA 1-1 Australia 12.2%
3 USA 2-0 Australia 12.1%
4 USA 0-0 Australia 10.7%
5 USA 2-1 Australia 8.6%
6 USA 0-1 Australia 8.2%
7 USA 3-0 Australia 6.2%
8 USA 1-2 Australia 4.5%
9 USA 3-1 Australia 4.4%
10 USA 2-2 Australia 3.4%
Guide
What this simulation preview shows
This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.
Score distribution
How to read the numbers
Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.
Model note
Simulation reference, not certainty
A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee or betting advice.