Group I

Iraq Iraq

This profile is based on 100,000 simulations using the current WC26 simulator engine. The numbers are a model snapshot, not a guarantee. Team ratings, squads and injury updates may change over time.

Champion 0.0%
Group qualification 10.2%
Squad value €21.1m
Avg age 27.2
Avg height 1.835m
Manager Graham Arnold

Group

Finish probabilities

1st 0.5%
2nd 3.2%
3rd qualified 6.5%
3rd not qualified 8.1%
4th 81.7%

Tournament

Stage reach probabilities

R32 10.2%
R16 1.6%
QF 0.3%
SF 0.0%
Final 0.0%
Champion 0.0%

Conditional path

Path by group finish

Finish Sample R32R16QFSFFinalChampion
1st 0.5% 100.0%25.6%3.6%0.4%0.0%0.0%
2nd 3.2% 100.0%18.0%2.1%0.5%0.1%0.0%
3rd 14.6% 44.3%6.5%1.5%0.2%0.0%0.0%

Overall opponent pool

Most common opponents by round

If reached shows the opponent split among this team's matches in that round. All sims shows how often the matchup happens across the full 100,000-simulation snapshot.

R32

England England If reached: 14.9% All sims: 1.5% Win rate: 6.6%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 11.0% All sims: 1.1% Win rate: 8.5%
Ivory Coast Ivory Coast If reached: 10.7% All sims: 1.1% Win rate: 18.8%
Ecuador Ecuador If reached: 10.5% All sims: 1.1% Win rate: 19.2%
Germany Germany If reached: 8.6% All sims: 0.9% Win rate: 9.9%

R16

Brazil Brazil If reached: 15.7% All sims: 0.3% Win rate: 4.3%
Switzerland Switzerland If reached: 6.7% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 17.3%
Morocco Morocco If reached: 5.0% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 16.9%
Belgium Belgium If reached: 5.0% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 12.2%
Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 4.9% All sims: 0.1% Win rate: 10.0%

QF

Spain Spain If reached: 13.9% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 11.6%
Argentina Argentina If reached: 10.3% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 12.5%
England England If reached: 9.7% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 20.0%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 8.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 4.0%
Germany Germany If reached: 5.2% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 18.8%

SF

Argentina Argentina If reached: 15.9% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 14.3%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 9.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Colombia Colombia If reached: 6.8% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 33.3%
Spain Spain If reached: 6.8% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 6.8% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%

Final

Croatia Croatia If reached: 11.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
England England If reached: 11.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Colombia Colombia If reached: 11.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 11.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Ivory Coast Ivory Coast If reached: 11.1% All sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%

Finish 1st

Iraq opponent pool if finishing 1st

For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.

R32

Sweden Sweden If reached: 20.1% Path sims: 20.1% Win rate: 19.6%
Japan Japan If reached: 15.6% Path sims: 15.6% Win rate: 24.1%
Tunisia Tunisia If reached: 11.8% Path sims: 11.8% Win rate: 39.7%
Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 10.0% Path sims: 10.0% Win rate: 3.8%
Paraguay Paraguay If reached: 5.6% Path sims: 5.6% Win rate: 16.7%

R16

Germany Germany If reached: 41.9% Path sims: 10.7% Win rate: 5.3%
Ecuador Ecuador If reached: 14.7% Path sims: 3.8% Win rate: 15.0%
Ivory Coast Ivory Coast If reached: 11.0% Path sims: 2.8% Win rate: 33.3%
Morocco Morocco If reached: 6.6% Path sims: 1.7% Win rate: 0.0%
Paraguay Paraguay If reached: 5.1% Path sims: 1.3% Win rate: 14.3%

QF

Bosnia-Herz. Bosnia-Herz. If reached: 21.1% Path sims: 0.8% Win rate: 0.0%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 21.1% Path sims: 0.8% Win rate: 0.0%
Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 10.5% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 50.0%
Canada Canada If reached: 10.5% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 0.0%
Japan Japan If reached: 5.3% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 0.0%

SF

Spain Spain If reached: 50.0% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 0.0%
Argentina Argentina If reached: 50.0% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 0.0%

Final

Not enough samples.

Finish 2nd

Iraq opponent pool if finishing 2nd

For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.

R32

Ivory Coast Ivory Coast If reached: 34.5% Path sims: 34.5% Win rate: 18.8%
Ecuador Ecuador If reached: 33.8% Path sims: 33.8% Win rate: 19.2%
Germany Germany If reached: 27.5% Path sims: 27.5% Win rate: 9.9%
Curaçao Curaçao If reached: 4.2% Path sims: 4.2% Win rate: 54.1%

R16

Brazil Brazil If reached: 43.9% Path sims: 7.9% Win rate: 4.4%
Sweden Sweden If reached: 13.5% Path sims: 2.4% Win rate: 13.0%
Netherlands Netherlands If reached: 13.4% Path sims: 2.4% Win rate: 10.5%
Japan Japan If reached: 11.8% Path sims: 2.1% Win rate: 11.9%
Morocco Morocco If reached: 10.5% Path sims: 1.9% Win rate: 18.3%

QF

England England If reached: 36.4% Path sims: 0.8% Win rate: 25.0%
Germany Germany If reached: 9.1% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 33.3%
South Korea South Korea If reached: 9.1% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 0.0%
Croatia Croatia If reached: 9.1% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 16.7%
Mexico Mexico If reached: 7.6% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 40.0%

SF

Argentina Argentina If reached: 20.0% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 33.3%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 13.3% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Austria Austria If reached: 13.3% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Spain Spain If reached: 13.3% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Türkiye Türkiye If reached: 6.7% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%

Final

Colombia Colombia If reached: 50.0% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
France France If reached: 50.0% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%

Finish 3rd

Iraq opponent pool if finishing 3rd

For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.

R32

England England If reached: 23.5% Path sims: 10.4% Win rate: 6.6%
Portugal Portugal If reached: 17.2% Path sims: 7.6% Win rate: 8.5%
Croatia Croatia If reached: 10.6% Path sims: 4.7% Win rate: 14.0%
Colombia Colombia If reached: 8.6% Path sims: 3.8% Win rate: 16.6%
Belgium Belgium If reached: 7.3% Path sims: 3.2% Win rate: 8.2%

R16

Switzerland Switzerland If reached: 11.7% Path sims: 0.8% Win rate: 17.3%
Belgium Belgium If reached: 8.7% Path sims: 0.6% Win rate: 12.2%
Mexico Mexico If reached: 6.7% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 19.0%
South Korea South Korea If reached: 6.4% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 33.3%
Canada Canada If reached: 5.5% Path sims: 0.4% Win rate: 26.9%

QF

Spain Spain If reached: 18.7% Path sims: 0.3% Win rate: 11.9%
Argentina Argentina If reached: 14.2% Path sims: 0.2% Win rate: 12.5%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 9.3% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 4.8%
Uruguay Uruguay If reached: 7.1% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 12.5%
Germany Germany If reached: 4.4% Path sims: 0.1% Win rate: 10.0%

SF

Brazil Brazil If reached: 14.8% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
France France If reached: 11.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 33.3%
Argentina Argentina If reached: 11.1% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Paraguay Paraguay If reached: 7.4% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 50.0%
Colombia Colombia If reached: 7.4% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 50.0%

Final

Croatia Croatia If reached: 14.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
England England If reached: 14.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Brazil Brazil If reached: 14.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Ivory Coast Ivory Coast If reached: 14.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%
Türkiye Türkiye If reached: 14.3% Path sims: <0.1% Win rate: 0.0%

Squad

Current squad

26 players
Pos Player Age Height Club Value
GK Ahmed Basil Fadhil 29 1,86m Al-Shorta SC €450k
GK Fahad Talib 31 1,93m Al-Talaba SC €400k
GK Jalal Hassan 35 1,84m Al-Zawraa SC €300k
CB Akam Hashem 27 1,86m Al-Zawraa SC €600k
CB Zaid Tahseen 25 1,87m Pakhtakor Tashkent €600k
CB Manaf Younis 29 1,90m Al-Shorta SC €350k
CB Frans Dhia Putros 32 1,81m PERSIB Bandung €325k
CB Rebin Sulaka 34 1,92m Port FC €100k
LB Merchas Doski 26 1,73m FC Viktoria Plzen €1.7m
LB Ahmed Yahya 30 1,78m Al-Shorta SC €500k
RB Hussein Ali 24 1,83m Pogon Szczecin €300k
RB Mustafa Saadoon 25 1,80m Al-Shorta SC €300k
DM Amir Al-Ammari 28 1,84m Cracovia €850k
DM Zaid Ismail 24 1,85m Al-Talaba SC €400k
CM Aimar Sher 23 1,80m Sarpsborg 08 FF €1.5m
CM Zidane Iqbal 23 1,81m FC Utrecht U21 €1.0m
CM Kevin Yakob 25 1,84m Aarhus GF €850k
AM Ibrahim Bayesh 26 1,77m Al-Dhafra FC €800k
LW Marko Farji 22 1,84m Venezia FC €1.8m
LW Youssef Amyn 22 1,75m AEK Larnaca €600k
LW Ali Jasim 22 1,78m Al-Najma SC €550k
RW Ahmed Qasem 22 1,79m Nashville SC €3.5m
CF Ali Al-Hamadi 24 1,87m Luton Town €1.5m
CF Mohanad Ali 25 1,83m Dibba SCC €1.2m
CF Aymen Hussein 30 1,89m Al-Karma €450k
CF Ali Yousif 30 1,92m Al-Talaba SC €125k