Match analysis
Senegal vs Iraq 
Match forecast and score distribution for Match 62, Group I, generated from the current simulator ratings.
Forecast last updated:
Goal bands
Total goals distribution
0 5.8%
1 16.3%
2 23.4%
3 22.6%
4 15.9%
5+ 16.0%
Goal thresholds
Total-goal thresholds
Total 0.5 At least 94.2% Below 5.8%
Total 1.5 At least 77.9% Below 22.1%
Total 2.5 At least 54.5% Below 45.5%
Total 3.5 At least 31.9% Below 68.1%
Total 4.5 At least 16.0% Below 84.0%
Team goals
Senegal goal thresholds
Senegal 0.5 At least 88.0% Below 12.0%
Senegal 1.5 At least 62.3% Below 37.7%
Senegal 2.5 At least 35.1% Below 64.9%
Senegal 3.5 At least 16.2% Below 83.8%
Senegal 4.5 At least 6.2% Below 93.8%
Team goals
Iraq goal thresholds
Iraq 0.5 At least 52.7% Below 47.3%
Iraq 1.5 At least 17.2% Below 82.8%
Iraq 2.5 At least 4.0% Below 96.0%
Iraq 3.5 At least 0.6% Below 99.4%
Iraq 4.5 At least 0.1% Below 99.9%
Scoring frequency
Both teams scoring
Both teams score 46.5%
Senegal clean sheet 47.3%
Iraq clean sheet 12.0%
Common scorelines
Top exact scores
1 Senegal 2-0 Iraq 12.8%
2 Senegal 1-0 Iraq 12.1%
3 Senegal 2-1 Iraq 9.9%
4 Senegal 1-1 Iraq 9.1%
5 Senegal 3-0 Iraq 8.8%
6 Senegal 3-1 Iraq 6.7%
7 Senegal 0-0 Iraq 5.8%
8 Senegal 4-0 Iraq 4.8%
9 Senegal 0-1 Iraq 4.2%
10 Senegal 2-2 Iraq 3.5%
Guide
What this simulation preview shows
This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.
Score distribution
How to read the numbers
Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.
Model note
Simulation reference, not certainty
A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee or betting advice.