Match analysis
Senegal vs Iraq 
Match forecast and score distribution for Match 62, Group I, generated from the current simulator ratings.
Forecast last updated:
Goal bands
Total goals distribution
0 5.7%
1 16.4%
2 22.6%
3 22.3%
4 16.1%
5+ 16.9%
Goal thresholds
Total-goal thresholds
Total 0.5 At least 94.3% Below 5.7%
Total 1.5 At least 77.9% Below 22.1%
Total 2.5 At least 55.3% Below 44.7%
Total 3.5 At least 33.0% Below 67.0%
Total 4.5 At least 16.9% Below 83.1%
Team goals
Senegal goal thresholds
Senegal 0.5 At least 87.8% Below 12.2%
Senegal 1.5 At least 62.8% Below 37.2%
Senegal 2.5 At least 36.0% Below 64.1%
Senegal 3.5 At least 17.3% Below 82.7%
Senegal 4.5 At least 6.8% Below 93.2%
Team goals
Iraq goal thresholds
Iraq 0.5 At least 52.8% Below 47.2%
Iraq 1.5 At least 17.6% Below 82.4%
Iraq 2.5 At least 4.2% Below 95.8%
Iraq 3.5 At least 0.7% Below 99.3%
Iraq 4.5 At least 0.1% Below 99.9%
Scoring frequency
Both teams scoring
Both teams score 46.3%
Senegal clean sheet 47.2%
Iraq clean sheet 12.2%
Common scorelines
Top exact scores
1 Senegal 2-0 Iraq 12.6%
2 Senegal 1-0 Iraq 11.9%
3 Senegal 2-1 Iraq 9.5%
4 Senegal 3-0 Iraq 8.9%
5 Senegal 1-1 Iraq 8.6%
6 Senegal 3-1 Iraq 6.5%
7 Senegal 0-0 Iraq 5.7%
8 Senegal 4-0 Iraq 5.0%
9 Senegal 0-1 Iraq 4.5%
10 Senegal 4-1 Iraq 3.7%
Guide
What this simulation preview shows
This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.
Score distribution
How to read the numbers
Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.
Model note
Simulation reference, not certainty
A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee.