Match analysis
France vs Iraq 
Match forecast and score distribution for Match 42, Group I, generated from the current simulator ratings.
Forecast last updated:
Goal bands
Total goals distribution
0 2.7%
1 9.2%
2 16.6%
3 21.3%
4 18.9%
5+ 31.3%
Goal thresholds
Total-goal thresholds
Total 0.5 At least 97.3% Below 2.7%
Total 1.5 At least 88.1% Below 11.9%
Total 2.5 At least 71.5% Below 28.5%
Total 3.5 At least 50.2% Below 49.8%
Total 4.5 At least 31.3% Below 68.7%
Team goals
France goal thresholds
France 0.5 At least 95.9% Below 4.2%
France 1.5 At least 82.8% Below 17.2%
France 2.5 At least 62.4% Below 37.6%
France 3.5 At least 40.0% Below 60.0%
France 4.5 At least 22.3% Below 77.7%
Team goals
Iraq goal thresholds
Iraq 0.5 At least 38.1% Below 61.9%
Iraq 1.5 At least 8.4% Below 91.6%
Iraq 2.5 At least 1.2% Below 98.8%
Iraq 3.5 At least 0.1% Below 99.9%
Iraq 4.5 At least 0.0% Below 100.0%
Scoring frequency
Both teams scoring
Both teams score 36.6%
France clean sheet 61.9%
Iraq clean sheet 4.2%
Common scorelines
Top exact scores
1 France 3-0 Iraq 14.0%
2 France 2-0 Iraq 12.5%
3 France 4-0 Iraq 10.8%
4 France 1-0 Iraq 8.1%
5 France 5-0 Iraq 7.0%
6 France 3-1 Iraq 6.5%
7 France 2-1 Iraq 6.3%
8 France 4-1 Iraq 5.4%
9 France 6-0 Iraq 3.9%
10 France 1-1 Iraq 3.8%
Guide
What this simulation preview shows
This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.
Score distribution
How to read the numbers
Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.
Model note
Simulation reference, not certainty
A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee or betting advice.