Group
Finish probabilities
1st 0%
2nd 100.0%
3rd place 0% Qualified from 3rd 0% Eliminated in 3rd 0%
4th 0%
Group J
Austria
Red Bull football, exported to a national team. The gegenpresse system is genuine and well-drilled, and Sabitzer quietly holds the whole thing together. The problem is up front: they lack a striker who can finish the chances the system creates, which is a significant flaw in a system that creates a lot of chances.
This profile summarizes Austria's World Cup 2026 simulation path from the latest current-state snapshot: group outlook, finish distribution, possible knockout routes, opponent pools, squad context, and title chances.
Champion 0%
Group qualification 100%
Squad market €271.7m
Avg age 28.6
Avg height 1.848m
Manager Ralf Rangnick
Current-state snapshot
This profile is based on 10k current-state simulations using the WC26 simulator engine. The numbers are a model snapshot, not a guarantee. Team ratings, squads and injury updates may change over time.
Latest result included: France 0-2 Spain
Guide
How to read this team profile
Group finish and stage reach values are model outputs from the latest current-state team profile snapshot. Path sections show how Austria's route changes by group finish, while opponent pools summarize the teams most often appearing in each round.
This page uses Knockout-phase current-state snapshot using latest committed Match Updates, official locked results, current ratings, and fixed knockout bracket state as of 15 Jul 2026 1:47 PM UTC+3. Other public forecast pages may still use root compatibility datasets until they are updated separately, and custom Team Strength settings can change future tournament paths in the live simulator.
Tournament
Stage reach probabilities
R32 100%
R16 0%
QF 0%
SF 0%
Final 0%
Champion 0%
Conditional path
Path by group finish
| Finish | Sample | R32 | R16 | QF | SF | Final | Champion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | No longer possible | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2nd | 100.0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3rd | n/a | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Overall opponent pool
Most common opponents by round
If reached shows the opponent split among this team's matches in that round. All sims shows how often the matchup happens across the latest current-state snapshot.
R32
Spain If reached: 100.0% All sims: 100.0% Matchup win rate: 0% R16
No opponent samples.
QF
No opponent samples.
SF
No opponent samples.
Final
No opponent samples.
Finish 1st
Austria opponent pool if finishing 1st
For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.
R32
No longer possible
R16
No longer possible
QF
No longer possible
SF
No longer possible
Final
No longer possible
Finish 2nd
Austria opponent pool if finishing 2nd
For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.
R32
Spain If reached: 100.0% Path sims: 100.0% Matchup win rate: 0% R16
Not enough samples.
QF
Not enough samples.
SF
Not enough samples.
Final
Not enough samples.
Finish 3rd
Austria opponent pool if finishing 3rd
For group-finish paths, If reached is measured within that finish path and round. Path sims shows how often the matchup happens among simulations where the team finished in that position.
R32
Not enough samples.
R16
Not enough samples.
QF
Not enough samples.
SF
Not enough samples.
Final
Not enough samples.
Squad
Current squad
| Pos | Player | Age | Height | Club | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GK | Patrick Pentz | 29 | 1,83m | Bröndby IF | €2.2m |
| GK | Florian Wiegele | 25 | 2,05m | FC Viktoria Plzen | €2.2m |
| GK | Alexander Schlager | 30 | 1,84m | Red Bull Salzburg | €2.0m |
| CB | Kevin Danso | 27 | 1,90m | Tottenham Hotspur | €20.0m |
| CB | Philipp Lienhart | 29 | 1,89m | SC Freiburg | €10.0m |
| CB | Marco Friedl | 28 | 1,87m | SV Werder Bremen | €10.0m |
| CB | David Affengruber | 25 | 1,85m | Elche CF | €9.0m |
| CB | Stefan Posch | 29 | 1,90m | 1.FSV Mainz 05 | €6.0m |
| CB | David Alaba | 33 | 1,80m | Real Madrid | €3.5m |
| CB | Michael Svoboda | 27 | 1,95m | Venezia FC | €3.0m |
| LB | Phillipp Mwene | 32 | 1,70m | 1.FSV Mainz 05 | €1.5m |
| RB | Konrad Laimer | 29 | 1,80m | Bayern Munich | €32.0m |
| DM | Nicolas Seiwald | 25 | 1,80m | RB Leipzig | €25.0m |
| DM | Florian Grillitsch | 30 | 1,87m | SC Braga | €2.5m |
| CM | Carney Chukwuemeka | 22 | 1,88m | Borussia Dortmund | €20.0m |
| CM | Xaver Schlager | 28 | 1,74m | RB Leipzig | €10.0m |
| CM | Marcel Sabitzer | 32 | 1,78m | Borussia Dortmund | €6.0m |
| CM | Alessandro Schöpf | 32 | 1,78m | Wolfsberger AC | €800k |
| LM | Alexander Prass | 25 | 1,82m | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | €9.0m |
| AM | Christoph Baumgartner | 26 | 1,80m | RB Leipzig | €40.0m |
| AM | Paul Wanner | 20 | 1,85m | PSV Eindhoven | €22.0m |
| AM | Romano Schmid | 26 | 1,68m | SV Werder Bremen | €15.0m |
| RW | Patrick Wimmer | 25 | 1,82m | VfL Wolfsburg | €12.0m |
| CF | Sasa Kalajdzic | 28 | 2,00m | LASK | €4.0m |
| CF | Marko Arnautovic | 37 | 1,92m | Red Star Belgrade | €2.5m |
| CF | Michael Gregoritsch | 32 | 1,93m | FC Augsburg | €1.5m |
Important note: This simulator and its probability outputs are for entertainment and informational purposes only. They are not investment advice, financial advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, trade, or participate in any prediction market. No real-money contest is offered or accepted on baplab.