Match analysis
Austria vs Jordan 
Match forecast and score distribution for Match 20, Group J, generated from the current simulator ratings.
Forecast reference: Jun 10, 2026
Official result is now known: Austria 3-1 Jordan ยท Final. This page shows the model's simulated score distribution for comparison.
Goal bands
Total goals distribution
0 5.9%
1 16.7%
2 23.8%
3 22.4%
4 15.5%
5+ 15.6%
Goal thresholds
Total-goal thresholds
Total 0.5 At least 94.1% Below 5.9%
Total 1.5 At least 77.4% Below 22.6%
Total 2.5 At least 53.6% Below 46.4%
Total 3.5 At least 31.2% Below 68.8%
Total 4.5 At least 15.6% Below 84.4%
Team goals
Austria goal thresholds
Austria 0.5 At least 88.6% Below 11.5%
Austria 1.5 At least 63.5% Below 36.5%
Austria 2.5 At least 36.5% Below 63.5%
Austria 3.5 At least 16.7% Below 83.3%
Austria 4.5 At least 6.5% Below 93.5%
Team goals
Jordan goal thresholds
Jordan 0.5 At least 49.2% Below 50.8%
Jordan 1.5 At least 14.8% Below 85.2%
Jordan 2.5 At least 3.0% Below 97.0%
Jordan 3.5 At least 0.5% Below 99.4%
Jordan 4.5 At least 0.1% Below 99.9%
Scoring frequency
Both teams scoring
Both teams score 43.7%
Austria clean sheet 50.8%
Jordan clean sheet 11.5%
Common scorelines
Top exact scores
1 Austria 2-0 Jordan 13.9%
2 Austria 1-0 Jordan 12.7%
3 Austria 3-0 Jordan 10.0%
4 Austria 2-1 Jordan 9.3%
5 Austria 1-1 Jordan 8.6%
6 Austria 3-1 Jordan 6.7%
7 Austria 0-0 Jordan 5.9%
8 Austria 4-0 Jordan 5.1%
9 Austria 0-1 Jordan 4.0%
10 Austria 4-1 Jordan 3.5%
Guide
What this simulation preview shows
This page is a direct match simulation reference for one fixture. It uses the simulator's current team ratings and venue context to estimate score patterns, not a full tournament-path run.
Score distribution
How to read the numbers
Average score is the mean goals per team across all runs. Total-goal bands group matches by combined goals, both-team scoring frequency shows how often each side scores at least once, and common scorelines show the most frequent exact results in the sample.
Model note
Simulation reference, not certainty
A real match can land far away from the most common model outcomes. Use these outputs as a way to understand the range of plausible scorelines, not as a guarantee or betting advice.